Season Cancel!

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jinftl
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Re: Season Cancel!

#101 Postby jinftl » Sat Aug 20, 2011 8:43 am

Basins are dead...atlantic and east pacific...nothing to track right now, nothing to track that may develop. Just nothing. Nada.

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Re: Season Cancel!

#102 Postby Kory » Sat Aug 20, 2011 8:45 am

jinftl wrote:Basins are dead...atlantic and east pacific...nothing to track right now, nothing to track that may develop. Just nothing. Nada.

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Haha good one!
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Re: Season Cancel!

#103 Postby jinftl » Sat Aug 20, 2011 7:24 pm

Cancel this thread?
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dwsqos2

Re: Season Cancel!

#104 Postby dwsqos2 » Fri Sep 09, 2011 9:03 am

This season is reminding me of some combo of 2000 and 2001: lots of low-level flow issues.
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#105 Postby Frank2 » Fri Sep 09, 2011 2:00 pm

Interesting though that the season hasn't really had a true landfalling hurricane, however it's made up for it when it comes to inland flooding...

Truly a disasterous year for USA natural disasters, per TWC's segment that gave the long list of the various types of natural disasters to befall us this year - and it's not over yet...

Frank
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#106 Postby somethingfunny » Sun Sep 11, 2011 12:01 am

Happy climatological peak of the season! :D

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Re: Season Cancel!

#107 Postby LarryWx » Sun Sep 11, 2011 1:13 am

I firmly believe that CONUSers will no longer be crying "season cancel" once we get to the period near 9/18-24. Enjoy the quiet while we have it. There are ominous signs in the model consensus. See my post in the general models thread for my reasoning.
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dwsqos2

Re: Season Cancel!

#108 Postby dwsqos2 » Sun Sep 11, 2011 12:08 pm

I am so sick and tired of seasons without a coherent MJO; in a way I guess that means I am sick of Ninas.
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#109 Postby WeatherGuesser » Tue Sep 13, 2011 9:11 am

Currently only 23 registered members on-line and several of those are search-bots.
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Re: Season Cancel!

#110 Postby bg1 » Tue Sep 13, 2011 6:46 pm

There isn't even anything in the Eastern Pacific! At least those storms are mildly interesting when there's nothing in the Atlantic.

The West Pacific only has a weak storm right now.

This is more like a Northern Hemisphere season cancel right now, not that I'm calling for the destruction cyclones bring. Of course, things can change quickly.
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Re: Season Cancel!

#111 Postby bexar » Tue Sep 13, 2011 8:51 pm

not counting Irene, 2011 is easily the most lackluster hurricane season ever in the recent years :bored:
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Re: Season Cancel!

#112 Postby rainstorm » Wed Sep 14, 2011 7:26 am

bexar wrote:not counting Irene, 2011 is easily the most lackluster hurricane season ever in the recent years :bored:



14/2/2 may go down as one of the most hard to explain seasons ever. most forecasters at the beginning of the season stressed "quality over quantity" this season. its been just the opposite.
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#113 Postby hurricanetrack » Wed Sep 14, 2011 10:25 am

Looks like a lot of learning still going on with regards to seasonal forecasting. Just when we think they may have it almost nailed, "vertical instability" gets thrown in to the mix- of the lack thereof. Who knew? I blame Texas as I jokingly wrote about today on the hurricanetrack.com homepage. Texas Air Layer = fewer hurricanes. Hope Dr. K will incorporate this in to the 2012 forecast, the first which is due out in December.... :wink:
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#114 Postby vbhoutex » Wed Sep 14, 2011 5:46 pm

hurricanetrack wrote:Looks like a lot of learning still going on with regards to seasonal forecasting. Just when we think they may have it almost nailed, "vertical instability" gets thrown in to the mix- of the lack thereof. Who knew? I blame Texas as I jokingly wrote about today on the hurricanetrack.com homepage. Texas Air Layer = fewer hurricanes. Hope Dr. K will incorporate this in to the 2012 forecast, the first which is due out in December.... :wink:

Your statement is incorrect sir. :cheesy: :cheesy: TAL= NO HURRICANES The TAL or at least the Eastward extension thereof is what threw the dry air into Irene and ramped her down from what was expected. If I didn't know better I would think that there really is a Texas Air Layer after what we have seen this year.
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Re: Season Cancel!

#115 Postby hurricanehunter69 » Wed Sep 14, 2011 7:10 pm

The fall cold front came through the New Orleans area on Sept. 5th....! Really? I have no memory of the fall cold front comin through this early! "Usually" the season is by all intensive purposes "Over" Once the fall cold front passes through.....Fwiw...it's depressing lookin at water vapor loops lately, and I'm personally trying to squeeze in as much beach and pool time as possible in anticipation of an early winter!
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Re: Season Cancel!

#116 Postby CrazyC83 » Wed Sep 14, 2011 7:50 pm

rainstorm wrote:
bexar wrote:not counting Irene, 2011 is easily the most lackluster hurricane season ever in the recent years :bored:



14/2/2 may go down as one of the most hard to explain seasons ever. most forecasters at the beginning of the season stressed "quality over quantity" this season. its been just the opposite.


This season really reminds me of 2007. Dean and Felix did all the heavy lifting that year, and everything else pretty much remained weak.
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Re: Season Cancel!

#117 Postby bg1 » Wed Sep 14, 2011 9:07 pm

CrazyC83 wrote:This season really reminds me of 2007. Dean and Felix did all the heavy lifting that year, and everything else pretty much remained weak.


It also reminds me of 09 where it seemed every storm was sheared. At this point the total was 6/2/2 then, with 2 CV hurricanes and 3 storms that were sheared.

I don't think there were any storms that formed from fronts at that point. This year there were 6, so this season really isn't that much better than 09 in terms of the deep tropics, only a two storm difference.
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Re: Season Cancel!

#118 Postby UpTheCreek » Thu Sep 15, 2011 5:47 am

hurricanehunter69 wrote:The fall cold front came through the New Orleans area on Sept. 5th....! Really? I have no memory of the fall cold front comin through this early! "Usually" the season is by all intensive purposes "Over" Once the fall cold front passes through.....Fwiw...it's depressing lookin at water vapor loops lately, and I'm personally trying to squeeze in as much beach and pool time as possible in anticipation of an early winter!



It's been a very hot, humid summer here in eastern NC. Forecast to be another 90 degree day. Tomorrow's forecast, highs in the upper 60's! That's a cold front and I believe someone turned on the autumn switch!

Good, I can finish my Irene cleanup and actually enjoy being outdoors..........
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Re: Season Cancel!

#119 Postby sandyb » Thu Sep 15, 2011 10:13 am

UpTheCreek wrote:
hurricanehunter69 wrote:The fall cold front came through the New Orleans area on Sept. 5th....! Really? I have no memory of the fall cold front comin through this early! "Usually" the season is by all intensive purposes "Over" Once the fall cold front passes through.....Fwiw...it's depressing lookin at water vapor loops lately, and I'm personally trying to squeeze in as much beach and pool time as possible in anticipation of an early winter!



It's been a very hot, humid summer here in eastern NC. Forecast to be another 90 degree day. Tomorrow's forecast, highs in the upper 60's! That's a cold front and I believe someone turned on the autumn switch!

I am so excited about the cooler weather although it won't last here in eastern NC we will more hot weather thu mid oct as we dont close the pool at the condos until the middle of Oct and people still use it up till then. I have not heard 60's for highs but low 70's with showers but sure hope for the 60's

Good, I can finish my Irene cleanup and actually enjoy being outdoors..........
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#120 Postby WeatherGuesser » Thu Sep 15, 2011 10:25 am

Ohio Valley, mid 80s yesterday, low 60s today and very windy. Hang onto your hats NC!!


Hope this doesn't mean a long, cold winter! :froze:
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