ATL: LEE - Remnants - Discussion

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wxman57
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Re: ATL: LEE - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#2661 Postby wxman57 » Sat Sep 03, 2011 9:17 pm

hriverajr wrote:Looking at the last four hours of radar... it definitely has drifted to the west. Outer rain band getting real close to Baytown area. I wonder how close the rain will get to Houston proper?
On another note.. pretty strong front moving through the Texas panhandle


Yeah, that cool air should be flowing to the coast late tomorrow or early Monday. If Lee is still hanging around then the cool dry air will flow right into Lee. But I think Lee will be moving off to the northeast by then. Have my sprinkler going for the past 4 hours watering about 1/3 of the back yard. I'm not counting on that rain reaching me just outside the SW loop of 610.
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Re:

#2662 Postby ROCK » Sat Sep 03, 2011 9:20 pm

southerngale wrote:Good luck ROCK, jasons, and the rest of y'all to my west. It's been raining here steadily since about noon, and I've been doing my best to blow it westward. P

Quite windy as well.



Welcome to Storm2k, PointTaken! Thanks for the update and stay safe!!


I have now been outside for 3 hours waiting for rain....I just go spit on and it stopped...Lee is doing this on purpose... :roll:
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Re: ATL: LEE - Models

#2663 Postby ROCK » Sat Sep 03, 2011 9:24 pm

The NAM might have pulled it off....now that the GFDL is on board...Never thought I would say that about the NAM..but it might have set the trend....0Z GFS in a hour...lets see if it bites....that would really jack up the NHC forecasters.... :lol:
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Re: ATL: LEE - Models

#2664 Postby tropicwatch » Sat Sep 03, 2011 9:26 pm

I think the headaches have already started.
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Re: ATL: LEE - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#2665 Postby ROCK » Sat Sep 03, 2011 9:26 pm

moving looks SW to me....and the LLC is partially offshore....
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Re: Re:

#2666 Postby Dave » Sat Sep 03, 2011 9:27 pm

ROCK wrote:
southerngale wrote:Good luck ROCK, jasons, and the rest of y'all to my west. It's been raining here steadily since about noon, and I've been doing my best to blow it westward. P

Quite windy as well.



Welcome to Storm2k, PointTaken! Thanks for the update and stay safe!!


I have now been outside for 3 hours waiting for rain....I just go spit on and it stopped...Lee is doing this on purpose... :roll:


Rock go back inside and it'll probably start raining on ya. ;)
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#2667 Postby CYCLONE MIKE » Sat Sep 03, 2011 9:27 pm

PTrackerLA wrote:00z NAM rolling now. At 30 hrs so far he's back in the gulf heading south...


PT, when does it show Lee start the move back south into the gulf? Think that would be a good starting place to watch for this to come to fruition. I know its drifting around wsw right now but anything more definitive.
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Re: ATL: LEE - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#2668 Postby indian » Sat Sep 03, 2011 9:27 pm

ROCK wrote:moving looks SW to me....and the LLC is partially offshore....



do you think it has time to strengthen
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Re: ATL: LEE - Models

#2669 Postby cycloneye » Sat Sep 03, 2011 9:30 pm

At 57 hours it has a hurricane!

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#2670 Postby Rgv20 » Sat Sep 03, 2011 9:31 pm

NAM is crazy it has Lee SE of Brownsville by 9zTuesday :eek:
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Re: ATL: LEE - Models

#2671 Postby BigA » Sat Sep 03, 2011 9:32 pm

CYCLONE MIKE wrote:
PTrackerLA wrote:00z NAM rolling now. At 30 hrs so far he's back in the gulf heading south...


PT, when does it show Lee start the move back south into the gulf? Think that would be a good starting place to watch for this to come to fruition. I know its drifting around wsw right now but anything more definitive.


Looks like the NAM starts the serious southward movement in about 21 hours from 00Z, which is 21Z Sunday, corresponding to about 5 PM eastern.
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Re: ATL: LEE - Models

#2672 Postby ROCK » Sat Sep 03, 2011 9:33 pm

they need to update the forecast points... :lol: he is way west of those now....
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#2673 Postby jasons2k » Sat Sep 03, 2011 9:33 pm

I've had a steady light rain here for about an hour now and the winds really picked-up as the rain moved-in. The rain is transporting some of the higher winds up above down to the surface. I'm glad it's raining but it's not amounting to much...and the band upstream is slowly falling apart.
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Re: ATL: LEE - Models

#2674 Postby KFDM Meteorologist » Sat Sep 03, 2011 9:33 pm

We'll see if it's on to something!!!
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Re: ATL: LEE - Models

#2675 Postby KFDM Meteorologist » Sat Sep 03, 2011 9:34 pm

ROCK wrote:they need to update the forecast points... :lol: he is way west of those now....
Yes they do! NAM may be on to something
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Re: ATL: LEE - Models

#2676 Postby TexWx » Sat Sep 03, 2011 9:36 pm

Lots of crow...
This is just out there
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Re: ATL: LEE - Models

#2677 Postby tropicwatch » Sat Sep 03, 2011 9:37 pm

ROCK wrote:they need to update the forecast points... :lol: he is way west of those now....


To me it looks like the center is currently south of White Lake.


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Re: ATL: LEE - Models

#2678 Postby ROCK » Sat Sep 03, 2011 9:38 pm

There is plenty of heat in the GOM for Lee to become a hurricane...the potential is there if he decides to follow the NAM...
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Re: ATL: LEE - Models

#2679 Postby Jagno » Sat Sep 03, 2011 9:40 pm

panamatropicwatch wrote:
ROCK wrote:they need to update the forecast points... :lol: he is way west of those now....


To me it looks like the center is currently south of White Lake.

And just where might this be?
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Re: ATL: LEE - Models

#2680 Postby 3090 » Sat Sep 03, 2011 9:42 pm

I don't know where the crow is coming from. A number of models two days ago predicted a loop as being possible. Go back and look. The real southward movement however, was no where. I don't think a real south movement is going to happen. I do think the loop may be starting, with an eventual turn to the ENE/NE as the eventual final movement towards the mid coast of LA.
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