ATL: KATIA - Post Tropical - Discussion

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Aric Dunn
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Re: ATL: KATIA - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#2301 Postby Aric Dunn » Sat Sep 03, 2011 4:25 pm

WeatherEmperor wrote:
Aric Dunn wrote:just noticed the motion is back wnw..


What was it before? Was it NW? So now that the motion is WNW does that mean that the models tonight could shift more west?


well they already started shifting today... the difference between the nw motion and wnw now was not very much. 305 is basically nw they say its moving at 300
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#2302 Postby cpdaman » Sat Sep 03, 2011 4:30 pm

i mean the NHC really increased their messsage that after 36 hours ....the path may change significantly so this one is back to being excitin
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#2303 Postby meriland23 » Sat Sep 03, 2011 4:31 pm

gfs running, this is exciting. Here is current position

Image
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#2304 Postby meriland23 » Sat Sep 03, 2011 4:43 pm

h24
Image
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#2305 Postby meriland23 » Sat Sep 03, 2011 4:57 pm

h48
Image
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#2306 Postby meriland23 » Sat Sep 03, 2011 5:06 pm

h72
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Re: ATL: KATIA - Models

#2307 Postby ROCK » Sat Sep 03, 2011 5:11 pm

hard to believe 84hrs from now we will still be messing with Lee....looks like hes trying to intercept Kat... :D
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#2308 Postby meriland23 » Sat Sep 03, 2011 5:11 pm

h96
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Re: ATL: KATIA - Models

#2309 Postby ROCK » Sat Sep 03, 2011 5:13 pm

90hrs...getting close to the bend west at 4-5 days...IMO....

http://mag.ncep.noaa.gov/NCOMAGWEB/appc ... mageSize=M
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Re: ATL: KATIA - Models

#2310 Postby SFLcane » Sat Sep 03, 2011 5:13 pm

Still think recurve is very likely with the perminent gap in the ridge between between bermuda and southeast US.

Very similar to 2010 actually.
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Re: ATL: KATIA - Models

#2311 Postby ROCK » Sat Sep 03, 2011 5:16 pm

102..Lee and Kat about to meet each other :lol:

http://mag.ncep.noaa.gov/NCOMAGWEB/appc ... mageSize=M


114hr they do....
Last edited by ROCK on Sat Sep 03, 2011 5:18 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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#2312 Postby meriland23 » Sat Sep 03, 2011 5:18 pm

h120
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#2313 Postby meriland23 » Sat Sep 03, 2011 5:20 pm

Image
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Re: ATL: KATIA - Models

#2314 Postby SEASON_CANCELED » Sat Sep 03, 2011 5:21 pm

gfs a hair closer to NE this run. Still uncertain of course. No consensus at all.
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#2315 Postby meriland23 » Sat Sep 03, 2011 5:21 pm

Image
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Re: ATL: KATIA - Models

#2316 Postby SEASON_CANCELED » Sat Sep 03, 2011 5:25 pm

Still safely out to sea :sun:
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Re: ATL: KATIA - Models

#2317 Postby Hurricaneman » Sat Sep 03, 2011 5:28 pm

SEASON_CANCELED wrote:Still safely out to sea :sun:


Not quite, Nova Scotia is going to have a problem if this happens
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#2318 Postby maxintensity » Sat Sep 03, 2011 5:44 pm

I think NHC is breathing a sigh of relief after each GFS run that misses the NE. The last thing they wont is anything sniffing the NE after the irene debacle.
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#2319 Postby Gustywind » Sat Sep 03, 2011 5:51 pm

In Guadeloupe due to Katia... given of Pro Mets of Meteo-France, some waves have reached 3meters60 this afternoon and some big waves 6meters40! A man is maybe dead :oops: while i was fishing :(. Looks like a big wave has swept him (not official as he's always wanted). I will give you more if i have any infos...
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#2320 Postby Maritimer71 » Sat Sep 03, 2011 5:58 pm

Ugh... Hopefully if that is scenario - she will run out of steam by the time she gets here...

Still too early, so I'll keep monitoring...
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