ATL: LEE - Remnants - Discussion

[Dean4Storms]

Latest NAM has leave pushing WSW from current location and then south as it intensifies into a hurricane!

http://mag.ncep.noaa.gov/NCOMAGWEB/appc ... mageSize=M

NAM on drugs!!!

[pwrdog]

One thing to keep in mind with Lee is that it's not a typically-structured tropical storm. There are no heavy squalls near the center, and strongest winds are far-removed from the center out over the Gulf off the southeast LA coast. As it moves inland, the tropical storm force winds will remain offshore. They won't be around Lee's center. It's that band of squalls extending southward from southeast LA out across the Gulf that has the TS winds (over water).

Latest recon doesn't seem to be finding any surface evidence of 60 mph winds. Strongest winds in actual surface obs are way east near the mouth of the MS River - about 40-45 kts.

Galveston Tx is at 30 mph gusting to near 40 mph
Palmetta Beach, AL is at 42 mph gusting to 49 mph

Reminds me of Irene...

[HenkL]

000
URNT15 KNHC 031439
AF307 0513A LEE HDOB 23 20110903
143000 2800N 09054W 8429 01490 //// +180 //// 220028 028 027 000 05
143030 2801N 09055W 8425 01494 //// +165 //// 221029 032 028 004 05
143100 2802N 09056W 8429 01486 //// +175 //// 221031 032 024 000 01
143130 2804N 09058W 8430 01485 //// +177 //// 220031 032 024 000 01
143200 2805N 09059W 8429 01485 //// +177 //// 222032 032 024 000 05
143230 2806N 09100W 8429 01484 //// +180 //// 221031 031 024 000 01
143300 2808N 09101W 8431 01482 //// +180 //// 218030 030 024 000 05
143330 2809N 09102W 8429 01483 //// +177 //// 217031 032 024 000 01
143400 2810N 09104W 8426 01486 //// +176 //// 222030 031 023 000 01
143430 2812N 09105W 8429 01480 //// +175 //// 222028 028 024 000 01
143500 2813N 09106W 8425 01486 //// +169 //// 221027 027 027 000 01
143530 2814N 09107W 8432 01477 //// +171 //// 221029 029 024 000 01
143600 2816N 09108W 8430 01479 //// +175 //// 217030 030 020 001 01
143630 2817N 09109W 8426 01481 //// +175 //// 216029 030 025 000 01
143700 2818N 09111W 8429 01478 //// +175 //// 218030 030 025 000 05
143730 2819N 09112W 8432 01474 //// +174 //// 219029 029 025 000 01
143800 2821N 09113W 8429 01476 //// +172 //// 220030 031 026 000 05
143830 2822N 09114W 8431 01472 //// +175 //// 218032 032 026 000 01
143900 2823N 09115W 8430 01474 //// +175 //// 217031 031 026 000 01
143930 2825N 09117W 8430 01470 //// +175 //// 218028 028 025 000 01

[pwrdog]

I know this isn't models thread (but that thread is dead) so check out the latest NAM at 54 hrs. Moves Lee WSW then south and intensifies into a hurricane as another piece of energy from LEE is heading up into the mid atlanta. Crazy.

http://img192.imageshack.us/img192/2011 ... precip.gif

It does look like it's turning WSW...

I really think this storm is a unknown still.... Weak steering... Means tough to almost impossible to forecast..

[swampdude]

Lee's first wave of rain now hitting us along the TX/LA state line. Wind gust maxed at 29mph so far. Very pleasant temperature, though!

[Tireman4]

I am looking at the radar. Now, I am dumber than a box of rocks, but I swear the rainbands are moving west. I swear I am seeing a whole bunch of something heading our way. Now, I am sure I am wrong.


http://www.srh.noaa.gov/hgx/

[BigB0882]

I guess Baton Rouge is in the dry slot for now. If this moves off to the East as planned later then we should get all the back end of it. I did notice most forecasts call for more rain for us tonight than during the day today, this is probably why.

[nashrobertsx]

i love "windnrain " in baton rouge.... "nothing is going on here." and then the next post "looks like my apartment is going under water"... hahahhaha....

[sphelps8681]

We have had a some steady light rain here for the last hour. Does fill really good outside. We are under a flash flood watch accoring to the NWS but I don't think we will really get enough rain out of it for that.

[Dean4Storms]

Folks, the rain is wrapping around the center giving an illusion of a WSW movement. You must watch the center itself and it appears to be moving southward on radar. I know that is not the surface LLC but the MLC is definitely moving southward.

[Dean4Storms]

It does appear that the rain will spiral around into much of SE TX!!!

[pwrdog]

I am looking at the radar. Now, I am dumber than a box of rocks, but I swear the rainbands are moving west. I swear I am seeing a whole bunch of something heading our way. Now, I am sure I am wrong.


http://www.srh.noaa.gov/hgx/

They are moving that way.... just how long that will continue is the big question... That dry slot might try and cut this thing in half?????????

[cycloneye]

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM LEE ADVISORY NUMBER 8
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL132011
1000 AM CDT SAT SEP 03 2011

...LEE APPROACHING ATCHAFALAYA BAY...HEAVY RAINS...STRONG GUSTY
WINDS...AND POSSIBLE TORNADOES LASHING SOUTHEASTERN LOUISIANA...


SUMMARY OF 1000 AM CDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...29.3N 91.8W
ABOUT 45 MI...75 KM SW OF MORGAN CITY LOUISIANA
ABOUT 65 MI...100 KM S OF LAFAYETTE LOUISIANA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH...95 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 5 DEGREES AT 6 MPH...9 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...993 MB...29.32 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* ALABAMA/FLORIDA BORDER WESTWARD TO SABINE PASS TEXAS...INCLUDING
THE CITY OF NEW ORLEANS...LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN...AND LAKE MAUREPAS

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* ALABAMA/FLORIDA BORDER EASTWARD TO DESTIN FLORIDA

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY
YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 1000 AM CDT...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM LEE WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 29.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 91.8 WEST. LEE IS
MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 6 MPH...9 KM/H. A SLOW AND POSSIBLY
ERRATIC MOTION TOWARD THE NORTH OR NORTH-NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED
DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS...FOLLOWED BY A GRADUAL TURN TOWARD THE
NORTHEAST. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF LEE IS EXPECTED
TO CROSS THE LOUISIANA COAST LATER THIS MORNING OR EARLY
AFTERNOON...THEN MOVE SLOWLY ACROSS SOUTHERN LOUISIANA TONIGHT
AND SUNDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 60 MPH...95 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. SOME FLUCTUATIONS IN STRENGTH ARE POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON
AND EVENING...WITH GRADUAL WEAKENING FORECAST TO OCCUR ON SUNDAY.

TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 230 MILES...370 KM
FROM THE CENTER. A SUSTAINED WIND OF 49 MPH...80 KM/H AND A GUST TO
54 MPH...87 KM/H WERE RECENTLY REPORTED AT THE NOAA BUOY LOCATED
ABOUT 50 MILES EAST OF THE MOUTH OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER...AND A
WIND GUSTS TO NEAR 60 MPH HAVE BEEN REPORTED IN THE NEW ORLEANS
METROPOLITAN AREA THIS MORNING.

A STORM SURGE OF 4 FEET WAS RECENTLY REPORTED AT SHELL BEACH
LOUISIANA. A SURGE HEIGHT OF 3.5 FEET HAS BEEN REPORTED IN LAKE
PONTCHARTRAIN AT NEW CANAL STATION...AND A SURGE HEIGHT OF 2 FEET
HAS BEEN REPORTED AS FAR EAST AS PASCAGOULA MISSISSIPPI.

RAINFALL AMOUNTS UP TO 7 INCHES HAVE OCCURRED THUS FAR ACROSS
PORTIONS OF SOUTHEASTERN LOUISIANA.

THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE RECENTLY REPORTED BY AN AIR FORCE
RESERVE RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT WAS 993 MB...29.32 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL...TROPICAL STORM LEE IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAIN
ACCUMULATIONS OF 10 TO 15 INCHES OVER SOUTHERN LOUISIANA...SOUTHERN
MISSISSIPPI...AND SOUTHERN ALABAMA THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...WITH
POSSIBLE ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 20 INCHES. THESE RAINS ARE
EXPECTED TO CAUSE EXTENSIVE FLOODING. RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 4 TO 8
INCHES WILL BE POSSIBLE OVER THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE THROUGH SUNDAY
NIGHT.

STORM SURGE...A STORM SURGE WILL RAISE WATER LEVELS BY AS MUCH AS
3 TO 5 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL ALONG THE LOUISIANA COAST...AND BY AS
MUCH AS 2 TO 4 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL ALONG THE MISSISSIPPI AND
ALABAMA COASTS INCLUDING MOBILE BAY. SEE PRODUCTS ISSUED BY LOCAL
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICES FOR MORE DETAILS.

WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE OVER
PORTIONS OF THE WARNING AREA TODAY.

TORNADOES...A FEW TORNADOES WILL BE POSSIBLE THROUGH TONIGHT OVER
PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN LOUISIANA...SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI...SOUTHERN
ALABAMA...AND THE FAR WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...100 PM CDT.
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...400 PM CDT.

$$
FORECASTER STEWART


TROPICAL STORM LEE DISCUSSION NUMBER 8
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL132011
1000 AM CDT SAT SEP 03 2011

DATA FROM RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT AND NOAA DOPPLER WEATHER RADARS
INDICATE THAT LEE HAS STRENGTHENED A LITTLE MORE THIS MORNING. LONG
PATCHES OF DOPPLER VELOCITIES OF 58-70 KT BETWEEN 2500-9500 FEET IN
AREAS OF 35-45 DBZ RADAR ECHOES HAVE BEEN NOTED OVER WATER AND OVER
LAND IN EXTREME SOUTHEASTERN LOUISIANA. RECON DATA ALSO INDICATED
60-KT 850 MB FLIGHT-LEVEL WINDS IN THE SAME GENERAL AREA AS THE
DOPPLER VELOCITIES. THIS INFORMATION SUPPORTS AN INTENSITY OF 50 KT.

THERE ARE TWO LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTERS APPARENT IN SATELLITE
IMAGERY...AND THE INITIAL POSITION AND FORWARD MOTION OF 005/05 KT
IS BASED ON THE MEAN POSITION BETWEEN THOSE TWO VORTICES...WHICH IS
CLOSE TO THE RECON 850 MB FLIGHT-LEVEL CENTER. THE GLOBAL AND
REGIONAL MODELS ARE GENERALLY IN GOOD AGREEMENT ON THE FORECAST
TRACK FOR THE NEXT 72 HOURS OR SO. UPPER-AIR DATA THIS MORNING
INDICATES THE WESTERN EDGE OF THE BLOCKING HIGH OVER THE
SOUTHEASTERN U.S. IS BEGINNING TO ERODE AS A SHORTWAVE TROUGH OVER
THE SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL U.S. PLAINS STATES MOVES SLOWLY EASTWARD.
WEAK SOUTHERLY FLOW DEVELOPING ON THE WEST SIDE OF THE RIDGE SHOULD
SLOWLY LIFT LEE NORTHWARD ACROSS CENTRAL LOUISIANA DURING THE NEXT
24 HOURS OR SO. AS THE TROUGH APPROACHES FROM THE WEST...LEE IS
FORECAST TO TURN TOWARD THE NORTHEAST AND ACCELERATE SLIGHTLY ON
DAYS 2-3. BY DAY 4...IF NOT SOONER...LEE IS EXPECTED TO MERGE WITH A
FRONTAL SYSTEM OVER THE SOUTHEASTERN UNITED STATES...WHICH IS VERY
ACLIMATOLOGICAL FOR THIS TIME OF THE YEAR. THE MODELS DIFFER
SIGNIFICANTLY WITH THE EVOLUTION AND FUTURE TRACK OF LEE ON DAYS 4
AND 5 WITH THE ECMWF KEEPING LEE UNDER A LARGE CUTOFF LOW FORECAST
TO DEVELOP OVER THE OHIO VALLEY...WHILE THE OTHER MODELS RACE
THE REMNANTS OF LEE OFF TO THE NORTHEAST UNDER A MORE PROGRESSIVE
MID-LATITUDE FLOW PATTERN. GIVEN THE RUN-TO-RUN CONSISTENCY OF THE
ECMWF THE PAST COUPLE OF DAYS...THE NHC TRACK LEANS TOWARD THE
ECMWF MODEL IN MOVING LEE MORE SLOWLY TO THE NORTHEAST ON DAYS 4
AND 5. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST TRACK IS SIMILAR TO THE PREVIOUS
ADVISORY...AND LIES TO RIGHT OF THE NHC MODEL CONSENSUS USING THE
ECMWF MODEL TRACK SPEEDS.

LEE IS NOT EXPECTED TO STRENGTHEN MUCH...IF ANY...DUE TO THE
ENTRAINMENT OF AN ABUNDANCE OF VERY DRY AIR INTO THE SOUTHWESTERN
SEMICIRCLE OF THE CYCLONE. HOWEVER...DUE TO THE VERY LARGE SIZE OF
THE CIRCULATION...ONLY SLOW WEAKENING IS EXPECTED EVEN AFTER LEE
MOVES INLAND OVER LOUISIANA LATER TODAY. THE 34-KT WIND RADII WERE
EXPANDED IN THE NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE BASED ON 43-KT SUSTAINED WINDS
REPORTED AT NOAA BUOY 42040.

IT SHOULD BE NOTED THAT THE WINDS AND RAINS OF LEE EXTEND FAR FROM
THE CENTER...SO IT IS IMPORTANT NOT TO FOCUS TOO MUCH ON THE EXACT
FORECAST TRACK.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 03/1500Z 29.3N 91.8W 50 KT 60 MPH
12H 04/0000Z 29.7N 91.7W 50 KT 60 MPH
24H 04/1200Z 30.3N 91.6W 50 KT 60 MPH...INLAND
36H 05/0000Z 30.9N 91.1W 45 KT 50 MPH...INLAND
48H 05/1200Z 31.4N 90.1W 40 KT 45 MPH...INLAND
72H 06/1200Z 33.0N 87.5W 30 KT 35 MPH...INLAND
96H 07/1200Z 35.0N 84.5W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
120H 08/1200Z 37.5N 81.0W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP

$$
FORECASTER STEWART

[pwrdog]

I am looking at the radar. Now, I am dumber than a box of rocks, but I swear the rainbands are moving west. I swear I am seeing a whole bunch of something heading our way. Now, I am sure I am wrong.


http://www.srh.noaa.gov/hgx/

They are expanding that way.... just how long that will continue is the big question... That dry slot might try and cut this thing in half?????????

[HenkL]

000
URNT15 KNHC 031449
AF307 0513A LEE HDOB 24 20110903
144000 2826N 09118W 8430 01469 //// +174 //// 221029 030 026 000 01
144030 2827N 09119W 8430 01468 //// +175 //// 226030 031 026 000 01
144100 2829N 09120W 8433 01465 //// +177 //// 227029 029 025 000 01
144130 2830N 09121W 8428 01468 //// +181 //// 223031 032 026 000 01
144200 2831N 09123W 8430 01466 //// +180 //// 221032 032 026 000 01
144230 2832N 09124W 8430 01465 //// +179 //// 223029 031 026 000 01
144300 2834N 09125W 8432 01462 //// +178 //// 223028 028 026 000 05
144330 2835N 09126W 8428 01465 //// +180 //// 225028 029 026 000 05
144400 2836N 09127W 8433 01458 //// +180 //// 226028 029 027 000 05
144430 2838N 09129W 8430 01459 //// +180 //// 226028 029 026 000 05
144500 2839N 09130W 8430 01459 //// +179 //// 224028 029 027 000 05
144530 2840N 09131W 8432 01456 //// +180 //// 225026 027 027 000 01
144600 2842N 09132W 8429 01457 //// +180 //// 225027 027 027 000 01
144630 2843N 09133W 8429 01456 //// +182 //// 225027 028 027 000 01
144700 2844N 09135W 8428 01455 //// +185 //// 221027 027 027 000 01
144730 2845N 09136W 8431 01450 //// +185 //// 219027 027 027 000 01
144800 2847N 09137W 8429 01451 //// +185 //// 217027 028 026 000 01
144830 2848N 09138W 8429 01451 //// +185 //// 218028 029 024 000 01
144900 2849N 09139W 8429 01448 //// +185 //// 213028 028 025 000 01
144930 2851N 09141W 8430 01445 //// +183 //// 213028 029 025 000 01

Approaching center from SE.

[cycloneye]

SUMMARY OF 1000 AM CDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...29.3N 91.8W
ABOUT 45 MI...75 KM SW OF MORGAN CITY LOUISIANA
ABOUT 65 MI...100 KM S OF LAFAYETTE LOUISIANA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH...95 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 5 DEGREES AT 6 MPH...9 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...993 MB...29.32 INCHES

[Dean4Storms]

SUMMARY OF 1000 AM CDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...29.3N 91.8W
ABOUT 45 MI...75 KM SW OF MORGAN CITY LOUISIANA
ABOUT 65 MI...100 KM S OF LAFAYETTE LOUISIANA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH...95 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 5 DEGREES AT 6 MPH...9 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...993 MB...29.32 INCHES

Very strange, I don't a north movement on radar at all, if anything a drift south.

[northjaxpro]

SUMMARY OF 1000 AM CDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...29.3N 91.8W
ABOUT 45 MI...75 KM SW OF MORGAN CITY LOUISIANA
ABOUT 65 MI...100 KM S OF LAFAYETTE LOUISIANA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH...95 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 5 DEGREES AT 6 MPH...9 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...993 MB...29.32 INCHES

Very strange, I don't a north movement on radar at all, if anything a drift south.

Yeah, the motion is going to remain erratic for some time ahead. I read where NHC said the center will cross the coast later this afternoon. I think that may not occur until a bit later because it is possible the center will either become stationary or meander around where it is curently right on through the short term. Very weak steering currents down there for sure.

[sphelps8681]

The lastest update from NWS

Short Term Forecast
SHORT TERM FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
916 AM CDT SAT SEP 3 2011

GMZ430-432-435-450-452-455-470-472-475-LAZ027>033-041>045-051>055-
TXZ180-201-215-216-259>262-031530-
SABINE LAKE-CALCASIEU LAKE-VERMILION BAY-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAMERON LA TO HIGH ISLAND TX OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM INTRACOASTAL CITY TO CAMERON LA OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER TO INTRACOASTAL CITY
LA OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM CAMERON LA TO HIGH ISLAND TX FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
WATERS FROM INTRACOASTAL CITY TO CAMERON LA FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
WATERS FROM LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER TO INTRACOASTAL CITY LA FROM
20 TO 60 NM-VERNON-RAPIDES-AVOYELLES-BEAUREGARD-ALLEN-EVANGELINE-
ST. LANDRY-CALCASIEU-JEFFERSON DAVIS-ACADIA-LAFAYETTE-
UPPER ST. MARTIN-CAMERON-VERMILION-IBERIA-ST. MARY-
LOWER ST. MARTIN-TYLER-HARDIN-JEFFERSON-ORANGE-NORTHERN JASPER-
NORTHERN NEWTON-SOUTHERN JASPER-SOUTHERN NEWTON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LEESVILLE...NEW LLANO...ALEXANDRIA...
PINEVILLE...MARKSVILLE...BUNKIE...COTTONPORT...SIMMESPORT...
MANSURA...DE RIDDER...OAKDALE...KINDER...VILLE PLATTE...MAMOU...
OPELOUSAS...EUNICE...LAKE CHARLES...SULPHUR...CROWLEY...RAYNE...
CHURCH POINT...LAFAYETTE...BREAUX BRIDGE...ST. MARTINVILLE...
CAMERON...HACKBERRY...ABBEVILLE...KAPLAN...NEW IBERIA...
MORGAN CITY...FRANKLIN...PATTERSON...BERWICK...BAYOU VISTA...
STEPHENSVILLE...WOODVILLE...COLMESNEIL...LUMBERTON...SILSBEE...
BEAUMONT...PORT ARTHUR...ORANGE...VIDOR...BRIDGE CITY
916 AM CDT SAT SEP 3 2011

.NOW...LIGHT TO MODERATE SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE ACROSS SOUTH AND
CENTRAL LOUISIANA...WHILE SPREADING WEST INTO SOUTHEAST TEXAS.
SHOWERS WILL ALSO CONTINUE OVER THE NEAR COASTAL WATERS PRIMARILY
WEST OF MARSH ISLAND. STRONGER BANDS OF SHOWERS WILL HAVE THE
POTENTIAL FOR GUSTY WINDS FROM 30 TO 40 MPH.


$$






--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


Hazardous Weather Outlook
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
719 AM CDT SAT SEP 3 2011

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF THE NORTHWEST
GULF OF MEXICO...LA...CENTRAL LOUISIANA...SOUTH CENTRAL
LOUISIANA...SOUTHWEST LOUISIANA...WEST CENTRAL LOUISIANA...
SOUTHEAST TEXAS AND TX.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT
TROPICAL STORM LEE WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE TOWARD THE LOUISIANA COAST
TODAY...AND INLAND BY TONIGHT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE
EXPECTED TO AFFECT COASTAL LOCATIONS EAST OF
CAMERON...PORTIONS OF ACADIANA AS WELL AS MUCH OF THE COASTAL
WATERS. IN ADDITION...HEAVY RAINFALL IS EXPECTED TO AFFECT MUCH OF
THE AREA...WITH FLOODING POSSIBLE ACROSS PORTIONS OF ACADIANA.
PLEASE SEE THE LATEST INFORMATION FROM THE HURRICANE LOCAL
STATEMENT UNDER NEWHLSLCH.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY
HEAVY RAINFALL AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WILL BE POSSIBLE
THROUGH SUNDAY AS TROPICAL STORM LEE CONTINUES TO MOVE INLAND OVER
SOUTHERN LOUISIANA. CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO IMPROVE SUNDAY
NIGHT INTO MONDAY AS THE SYSTEM MOVES FURTHER AWAY FROM THE AREA.
COOLER AND DRIER CONDITIONS ARE ANTICIPATED FOR THE REMAINDER OF
THE WEEK.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED.

$$

24




--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

[PTrackerLA]

Pressure at 997 in Lafayette, radar starting to fill in nicely with rain bands. You definitely know there's a tropical system outside with a fine but dense rain blowing around and rapidly moving low level clouds in the sky. Will be very interesting to watch Lee through the day as this may not be a cut and dry "north" forecast. Maybe we'll see some loops after all .