ATL: INVEST 94L - Discussion
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ATL: INVEST 94L - Discussion
BEGIN
NHC_ATCF
invest_al942011.invest
FSTDA
R
U
040
010
0000
201109011236
NONE
NOTIFY=ATRP
END
INVEST, AL, L, , , , , 94, 2011, DB, O, 2011090112, 9999999999, , , , , , METWATCH, , AL942011
AL, 94, 2011090112, , BEST, 0, 375N, 637W, 25, 0, DB, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0,
NHC_ATCF
invest_al942011.invest
FSTDA
R
U
040
010
0000
201109011236
NONE
NOTIFY=ATRP
END
INVEST, AL, L, , , , , 94, 2011, DB, O, 2011090112, 9999999999, , , , , , METWATCH, , AL942011
AL, 94, 2011090112, , BEST, 0, 375N, 637W, 25, 0, DB, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0,
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Looks like yet ANOTHER TS that has formed in the W.Atlantic...
It reminds me an awful lot of the 2005 season where we had a glut of TS/hurricanes in the Ne Atlantic, focus is further west but I think if this continues we should go 20+ for storms...
IMO thats a TS already...
It reminds me an awful lot of the 2005 season where we had a glut of TS/hurricanes in the Ne Atlantic, focus is further west but I think if this continues we should go 20+ for storms...
IMO thats a TS already...
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Re: ATL: INVEST 94L
This is the 10% , NO WAY! Agree with the opinions above it's already a storm and looks more tropical than subtropical, they upgraded Jose when it looked very messy and not this one?
Last edited by Macrocane on Thu Sep 01, 2011 8:20 am, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 94L
Is there any reason it isn't higher than yellow? Is it still frontal, perhaps?
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it should be LEE or at least a tropical depression
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Re: ATL: INVEST 94L
Hurricanehink wrote:Is there any reason it isn't higher than yellow? Is it still frontal, perhaps?
According to the latest surface analisys it is embedded within a stationary front, but it looks like it has detached.
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- ColinDelia
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Looks pretty decent there, agree that it should be a named storm.
*NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is my opinion and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
*NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is my opinion and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 94L
Very edge of the GOES east coast pic.
Live loop: http://wwwghcc.msfc.nasa.gov/cgi-bin/ge ... umframes=5
copy of latest frame
Live loop: http://wwwghcc.msfc.nasa.gov/cgi-bin/ge ... umframes=5
copy of latest frame
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Re:
KWT wrote:Looks like yet ANOTHER TS that has formed in the W.Atlantic...
It reminds me an awful lot of the 2005 season where we had a glut of TS/hurricanes in the Ne Atlantic, focus is further west but I think if this continues we should go 20+ for storms...
IMO thats a TS already...
Heading for greek if this continues...difference from the mighty 2005 is no signifcant landfalls other then irene thus far this season.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 94L
This live loop from the NH extended view. You can see what might be the associated front.
slow to load for me.
http://wwwghcc.msfc.nasa.gov/cgi-bin/ge ... umframes=5
copy of latest image
slow to load for me.
http://wwwghcc.msfc.nasa.gov/cgi-bin/ge ... umframes=5
copy of latest image
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Re: ATL: INVEST 94L
I agree with those who stated that this system looks detached from the frontal boundary. At the very least, this appears to be a TD or even a minimal TS right now. Also, should it get designated as either from the NHC, this would make it the sixth tropical entity to form in the Atlantic Basin north of 25 latitude. That has been amazing stat this season to this point.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 94L
Jose = TS and this = 10%????? Something is not right with the universe...
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Re: ATL: INVEST 94L
wxman57 wrote:Jose = TS and this = 10%????? Something is not right with the universe...
I fully agree. The NHC seems to be sort of inconsequent with watching the subtropical latitudes and storms forming there.
They totally missed 96L (the one after Franklin I think), and they overhyped Jose for no real reason (well, TS winds affected Bermuda, but they are used to this level of breeziness.)
Take 96L as Gert, then this one would be Maria and the GOM brewer Nate.
And now look at today's date.
Edit: I do not want to be/sound rude, but I would love to have the agencies follow a clearer line when it comes to those frontal/subtropical storms.
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ATL: INVEST 94L - Models
Code: Select all
TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE MESSAGE
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1403 UTC THU SEP 1 2011
DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS.
PLEASE REFER TO NHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
AND SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION.
ATLANTIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR
DISTURBANCE INVEST (AL942011) 20110901 1200 UTC
...00 HRS... ...12 HRS... ...24 HRS. .. ...36 HRS...
110901 1200 110902 0000 110902 1200 110903 0000
LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON
BAMS 37.4N 63.9W 38.1N 64.8W 38.7N 65.6W 39.2N 66.0W
BAMD 37.4N 63.9W 38.6N 63.2W 40.6N 62.0W 43.0N 60.3W
BAMM 37.4N 63.9W 38.2N 64.2W 39.4N 64.3W 40.6N 64.2W
LBAR 37.4N 63.9W 38.0N 62.9W 39.0N 62.1W 40.6N 60.7W
SHIP 35KTS 44KTS 51KTS 53KTS
DSHP 35KTS 44KTS 51KTS 53KTS
...48 HRS... ...72 HRS... ...96 HRS. .. ..120 HRS...
110903 1200 110904 1200 110905 1200 110906 1200
LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON
BAMS 39.6N 65.8W 41.7N 62.3W 45.1N 55.4W 48.4N 48.4W
BAMD 45.0N 57.3W 47.4N 45.4W 46.0N 34.0W 45.7N 25.7W
BAMM 41.7N 63.5W 44.4N 57.6W 46.8N 45.7W 46.2N 34.5W
LBAR 42.1N 58.4W 44.3N 49.3W 46.2N 38.3W 45.0N 31.5W
SHIP 48KTS 41KTS 30KTS 21KTS
DSHP 48KTS 41KTS 30KTS 21KTS
...INITIAL CONDITIONS...
LATCUR = 37.4N LONCUR = 63.9W DIRCUR = 40DEG SPDCUR = 2KT
LATM12 = 37.2N LONM12 = 64.1W DIRM12 = 38DEG SPDM12 = 1KT
LATM24 = 36.9N LONM24 = 64.4W
WNDCUR = 35KT RMAXWD = 45NM WNDM12 = 25KT
CENPRS = 1008MB OUTPRS = 1012MB OUTRAD = 75NM SDEPTH = S
RD34NE = 45NM RD34SE = 0NM RD34SW = 0NM RD34NW = 0NM
$$
NNNN
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