ATL: KATIA - Post Tropical - Discussion
Moderator: S2k Moderators
-
meriland23
- Category 5
- Posts: 1239
- Age: 37
- Joined: Mon Aug 29, 2011 9:29 pm
96hr
0 likes
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
Re: ATL: KATIA - Hurricane - Discussion
MGC wrote:Giant ULL awaits Katia. Katia had better build up some ACE because unless the ULL moves it is going to wind whip Katia......MGC
Are you talking about this one?
THE HURRICANE IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN IN A LOW SHEAR ENVIRONMENT
AND OVER WARM WATER DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO...WHICH SHOULD FAVOR
ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING. AFTER THAT TIME...A MID- TO UPPER-LEVEL
TROUGH SEEN IN WATER VAPOR IMAGERY BETWEEN 50W AND 60W IS FORECAST
BY THE GLOBAL MODELS TO WEAKEN.
0 likes
-
SouthFloridawx
- S2K Supporter
- Posts: 8346
- Age: 46
- Joined: Tue Jul 26, 2005 1:16 am
- Location: Sarasota, FL
- Contact:
Re: ATL: KATIA - Hurricane - Discussion
Macrocane wrote:MGC wrote:Giant ULL awaits Katia. Katia had better build up some ACE because unless the ULL moves it is going to wind whip Katia......MGC
Are you talking about this one?
THE HURRICANE IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN IN A LOW SHEAR ENVIRONMENT
AND OVER WARM WATER DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO...WHICH SHOULD FAVOR
ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING. AFTER THAT TIME...A MID- TO UPPER-LEVEL
TROUGH SEEN IN WATER VAPOR IMAGERY BETWEEN 50W AND 60W IS FORECAST
BY THE GLOBAL MODELS TO WEAKEN.
Yes I noticed this yesterday. I kind of think this will inhibit development some time down the road.
0 likes
-
meriland23
- Category 5
- Posts: 1239
- Age: 37
- Joined: Mon Aug 29, 2011 9:29 pm
120 hr
0 likes
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
-
SouthFloridawx
- S2K Supporter
- Posts: 8346
- Age: 46
- Joined: Tue Jul 26, 2005 1:16 am
- Location: Sarasota, FL
- Contact:
-
meriland23
- Category 5
- Posts: 1239
- Age: 37
- Joined: Mon Aug 29, 2011 9:29 pm
144hr
0 likes
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
-
SouthFloridawx
- S2K Supporter
- Posts: 8346
- Age: 46
- Joined: Tue Jul 26, 2005 1:16 am
- Location: Sarasota, FL
- Contact:
-
HurricaneWarning92
- Category 2
- Posts: 520
- Joined: Sat Jul 23, 2011 4:33 pm
- Location: Pembroke Pines, S. Florida (Lat: 26.00N, Lon: 80.22W)
Re:
Zarniwoop wrote:What does ULL mean? Sorry, I looked for a definition. Couldn't find one.
Upper Level Low.
0 likes
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
-
SouthFloridawx
- S2K Supporter
- Posts: 8346
- Age: 46
- Joined: Tue Jul 26, 2005 1:16 am
- Location: Sarasota, FL
- Contact:
-
meriland23
- Category 5
- Posts: 1239
- Age: 37
- Joined: Mon Aug 29, 2011 9:29 pm
168hr
0 likes
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
Re: ATL: KATIA - Models
GFS has been horrible with breaken down ridging to quickly....dont see any reason why its not doing the same thing here....
0 likes
-
meriland23
- Category 5
- Posts: 1239
- Age: 37
- Joined: Mon Aug 29, 2011 9:29 pm
gfs is really sticking it to the right more this time
0 likes
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
-
SouthFloridawx
- S2K Supporter
- Posts: 8346
- Age: 46
- Joined: Tue Jul 26, 2005 1:16 am
- Location: Sarasota, FL
- Contact:
Re: ATL: KATIA - Models
Here's a link to the 1000-500mb thickness chart. It's still at 120 Hours now.
https://www.fnmoc.navy.mil/wxmap_cgi/cgi-bin/wxmap_loop.cgi?&area=ngp_atlantic&prod=thk&dtg=2011090100&set=All
https://www.fnmoc.navy.mil/wxmap_cgi/cgi-bin/wxmap_loop.cgi?&area=ngp_atlantic&prod=thk&dtg=2011090100&set=All
0 likes
-
USTropics
- Professional-Met
- Posts: 2659
- Joined: Sun Aug 12, 2007 3:45 am
- Location: Florida State University
Re: ATL: KATIA - Models
ROCK wrote:GFS has been horrible with breaken down ridging to quickly....dont see any reason why its not doing the same thing here....
Yea suspect run, it has a pretty decent trough but at the same time indicates ridging by driving 93L actually SW into Mexico/Texas border. Also Bermuda takes a direct hit in this run.
Last edited by USTropics on Wed Aug 31, 2011 11:41 pm, edited 1 time in total.
0 likes
-
meriland23
- Category 5
- Posts: 1239
- Age: 37
- Joined: Mon Aug 29, 2011 9:29 pm
192h
0 likes
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
-
meriland23
- Category 5
- Posts: 1239
- Age: 37
- Joined: Mon Aug 29, 2011 9:29 pm
216h and its out..
0 likes
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
-
SouthFloridawx
- S2K Supporter
- Posts: 8346
- Age: 46
- Joined: Tue Jul 26, 2005 1:16 am
- Location: Sarasota, FL
- Contact:
Re: ATL: KATIA - Models
The one to the South of the Ridge is already approaching 50W and it will have a strengthening Ridge. This will be the one to watch.
0 likes
-
meriland23
- Category 5
- Posts: 1239
- Age: 37
- Joined: Mon Aug 29, 2011 9:29 pm
Not sure what to think of this model run. See, you guys look at this and see something I do not. Not exactly sure what is or is going on with this 'ridging' or 'trough' that everyone is debating on. Apparently one degrading or sustaining more than the other indicates direction of this storm and I am like this 
but hey, I am 23 years old so I got time to learn 
haha. Anyways, can anyone dummy down these graphs and why you guys think certain runs are incorrect ?
but hey, I am 23 years old so I got time to learn haha. Anyways, can anyone dummy down these graphs and why you guys think certain runs are incorrect ?
0 likes
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
Who is online
Users browsing this forum: No registered users and 1 guest