cycloneye wrote:Adoquín wrote:of the three the first two affected Puerto Rico, one the Cat 3 going straight through and the third was far away, strong and to the south, enough to cringe. I agree that is too little data to predict anything.
However, I note that being so down south it may take it longer to detatch from the ITZ, which would not be good, The high has tended to be strong. Do for now based on Luis data itcis rational to err on the side of stronger as opposed to lower values. Other parameters hav to be examined. How is Mr. Sal doing? how fast is it moving west? how strong can it get so low based on the precedents mentioned while it remains so low? big questions and depending on the answer another monster?
Puerto Rico hurricanr history has several periods of multiple strikes in a single year by significant hurricanes, mostly on a e or se to wnw direction. It generally happens at least once every century Seversl of those hurricanes ended somewhere in the East Coast , from the. Keys up.
It will be very important to see if by being at low latitude,it avoids any weakness that may be in the Atlantic. The position where it is now reminds me of Georges. But of course,there is plenty of time to watch it to see how it will track.
Not sweet dreams with Georges Cycloneye but for sure very low lattitude... is always something to monitor in the Leewards y la isla del encanto. Let's wait and see..