ATL: IRENE - Remnants - Discussion

[Annie Oakley]

000
URNT15 KNHC 270352
AF306 3109A IRENE HDOB 05 20110827
034300 3047N 08729W 3665 08251 0455 -235 //// 033024 025 /// /// 05
034330 3047N 08727W 3624 08333 0459 -241 //// 036022 023 /// /// 05
034400 3047N 08724W 3586 08412 0463 -247 //// 037020 020 /// /// 05
034430 3047N 08722W 3539 08507 0468 -255 //// 043019 019 /// /// 05
034500 3047N 08719W 3501 08586 0476 -262 //// 044017 017 /// /// 05
034530 3048N 08717W 3465 08668 0484 -268 //// 046017 017 /// /// 05
034600 3048N 08714W 3443 08713 0487 -273 //// 046017 017 /// /// 05
034630 3048N 08712W 3441 08722 0489 -275 //// 045016 017 /// /// 05
034700 3048N 08709W 3441 08721 0489 -275 //// 046015 016 /// /// 05
034730 3048N 08707W 3441 08721 0489 -275 //// 045015 015 /// /// 05
034800 3048N 08704W 3441 08718 0487 -275 //// 044015 015 /// /// 05
034830 3048N 08701W 3442 08717 0486 -275 //// 043015 016 /// /// 05
034900 3049N 08658W 3441 08718 0486 -275 //// 044015 016 /// /// 05
034930 3049N 08656W 3442 08716 0485 -275 //// 045015 015 /// /// 05
035000 3049N 08653W 3442 08716 0485 -275 //// 043015 015 /// /// 05
035030 3049N 08650W 3443 08714 0484 -275 //// 040015 016 /// /// 05
035100 3049N 08647W 3442 08714 0484 -275 //// 037016 016 /// /// 05
035130 3049N 08644W 3441 08714 0483 -275 //// 039016 017 /// /// 05
035200 3050N 08641W 3445 08707 0482 -275 //// 040016 017 /// /// 05
035230 3050N 08638W 3442 08712 0482 -275 //// 039016 017 /// /// 05
$$
;

[CrazyC83]

I have to say, our local met in New Bern, Skip Waters, is really something. He's been at it all day and night and right now he's picking out tornado signatures that aren't even reported by the NWS. He really is a fine Met.

I wonder if we will see a major tornado outbreak out of this?

[CrazyC83]

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2063
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1006 PM CDT FRI AUG 26 2011

AREAS AFFECTED...SE VA...ERN NC

CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 809...

VALID 270306Z - 270430Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR TORNADO WATCH 809 CONTINUES.

THE TORNADO THREAT WILL LIKELY SPREAD NWD INTO NE NC AND SE VA LATE
THIS EVENING. A TORNADO WATCH IS BEING CONSIDERED AND SHOULD BECOME
NECESSARY.

THE CENTER OF HURRICANE IRENE IS LOCATED ABOUT 180 STATUTE MILES
SOUTH OF CAPE HATTERAS. THE OUTERMOST RAINSHIELD IS CURRENTLY NEAR
THE NE NC-SE VA STATE-LINE AND WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE NWD INTO SERN
VA OVER THE NEXT FEW HOURS. SEVERAL ROTATING CELLS ARE LOCATED
WITHIN THE BAND OVER NERN NC WHERE FORECAST SOUNDINGS LATE THIS
EVENING SHOW 0-1 KM SHEAR VALUES INCREASING TO ABOVE 40 KT WITH
PRECIPITABLE WATER IN THE 2.20 TO 2.40 INCH RANGE. IN ADDITION...A
POCKET OF MODERATE INSTABILITY EXISTS ACROSS SERN VA WHERE MLCAPE
VALUES ARE IN THE 1000 TO 1500 J/KG RANGE. THIS ENVIRONMENT SHOULD
SUPPORT A THREAT OF TORNADOES WITH ROTATING STORMS THAT MOVE INLAND
LATE THIS EVENING. THE THREAT SHOULD CONTINUE THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT
PERIOD AS THE CENTER OF IRENE APPROACHES THE COAST.

..BROYLES.. 08/27/2011


ATTN...WFO...AKQ...MHX...RAH...ILM...

LAT...LON 37487554 37797664 37767724 37527773 37177802 36537836
35937877 35487888 34507882 33927866 33517819 33397778
33607678 34197598 34617560 35067509 35627494 36567506
37067526 37487554

[capepoint]

Capepoint : Sorry about that. May your night be calm and tomorrow...peaceful. Mind you, I'd rather have someone who was 'bored' rescue me than someone who was all hyped up.

I hope so too. Wait till tomorrow, depending on how many near-death experiences we have will directly affect how hyped-up your rescuers will be...

[JTE50]

I got part of the eye yesterday here in Hope Town, Bahamas. Lowest pressure was 954. Winds were every bit of 115mph with higher gusts. I have more pics and video here
http://stormvisuals.com/

[WeatherGuesser]

It'll be interesting to see how much water rise there is in Chesapeake Bay tonight and tomorrow.

[weatherSnoop]

Uploaded with ImageShack.us

Crossing the panhandle of Florida

[GreenWinds]

Irene has been struggling with dry air entrainment all day it seems. The western side has taken the hardest hit.

[TropicalWXMA]

For those interested, 00Z GFS has good upper-level air coverage, including 74 CONUS, 14 AK, 32 CAN, 7 MEX, and 7 CARIB RAOBS inputted into 00Z run. Additionally, 42 dropsonde and 14 flight-level recon obs from vicinity of Hrcn Irene were inputted into the 00Z run.

[CronkPSU]

DirecTV now has WCTI on channel 325....looking now to see if they are broadcasting any more channels, i love when they do this

[Annie Oakley]

000
URNT15 KNHC 270402
AF306 3109A IRENE HDOB 06 20110827
035300 3049N 08635W 3443 08711 0481 -275 //// 037017 017 /// /// 05
035330 3049N 08632W 3442 08711 0481 -275 //// 035018 018 /// /// 05
035400 3049N 08629W 3442 08711 0481 -275 //// 034017 017 /// /// 05
035430 3049N 08626W 3442 08711 0481 -275 //// 034018 018 /// /// 05
035500 3049N 08622W 3443 08708 0481 -275 //// 033018 019 /// /// 05
035530 3049N 08619W 3442 08711 0480 -275 //// 033018 018 /// /// 05
035600 3049N 08616W 3443 08710 0480 -275 //// 031018 018 /// /// 05
035630 3049N 08613W 3442 08710 0479 -275 //// 029017 017 /// /// 05
035700 3049N 08610W 3442 08708 0479 -275 //// 028017 017 /// /// 05
035730 3049N 08607W 3442 08710 0479 -273 //// 030016 016 /// /// 05
035800 3049N 08604W 3442 08710 0479 -270 //// 036016 016 /// /// 05
035830 3049N 08601W 3443 08707 0479 -270 //// 044015 015 /// /// 05
035900 3049N 08558W 3442 08707 0478 -270 //// 047014 015 /// /// 05
035930 3049N 08555W 3442 08707 0477 -270 //// 046015 015 /// /// 05
040000 3049N 08552W 3443 08704 0476 -270 //// 044016 017 /// /// 35
040030 3049N 08549W 3443 08706 0476 -270 //// 037015 016 /// /// 05
040100 3048N 08546W 3443 08706 0476 -270 //// 033014 014 /// /// 05
040130 3048N 08543W 3442 08706 0476 -270 //// 031013 014 /// /// 05
040200 3048N 08539W 3442 08706 0475 -270 //// 035014 014 /// /// 05
040230 3048N 08536W 3443 08704 0475 -270 //// 033014 014 /// /// 05
$$

[UpTheCreek]

Let's see: 3 kids - small room VS 2 cats regular house.... YOU LOSE

Couldn't agree more!


I am watching where the tornadoes seem to be and looks like most are north. I forgot about the tornadoes.....damn the tornadoes! Wait, that's torpedoes. Oh well.

Just another thing to worry about in all of this.

[GreenWinds]

Could you guys periodically elaborate the most significant findings (highest surface winds, lowest pressure, eye wall status, etc.) from the recon reports on this discussion thread? Ordinary folks just see a bunch of meaningless numbers on the recon thread but on the discussion thread if someone could once in a while spell out the latest reports that would be a big help to those looking for valuable information.

[drezee]

Cape Hatteras is 180 miles from the center using the radar center and they are getting TS sustained 2-min winds and gusts to 53...This storm is huge!!

http://www.weather.gov/data/obhistory/KHSE.html

[dfmheel]

Good evening all. Thank you for the great resource Storm 2K is Marshall. I apologize in advance for such a lengthy first post, particularly in such a critical time on the board.

First of all, my thoughts and prayers are with many of family and friends in Eastern NC - particularly in New Hanover and Hyde Counties. Those sentiments also extend to everyone else in the path of Irene in the days to come.

As a first time poster, like a few others who just spoke up, I felt compelled to login after many years of lurking around here during significant events. This community provides a great service and resource. I appreciate the information that can be found here and hearing the experiences of others as well.

I grew up in Wilmington, where much of my family still lives, currently live in Raleigh and am also fortunate enough to be blessed to have a family farm in Swan Quarter. Ironically, I was supposed to be on an annual fishing trip to the Pamlico Sound this weekend, but we called it off Wednesday after the models converged pretty tight and it became pretty clear what Irene was going to do.

Crazily, while only 32, I have been through Hurricanes Hugo, Fran, Bertha, Bonnie, Isabel, Floyd and a few others. During these different storms, we've had major tree damage, my parent’s garage knocked off its foundation by a 100ft oak tree, beach condo windows blown out, rich fertile farmland completely inundated with salt water, crops destroyed, etc. During Fran, a couple buddies and I made the “bright” decision to stay in sound front house on Wrightsville Beach. We decided at the last minute before the drawbridge closed for the storm to head back to our families homes in Wilmington. We returned to the house the following day to see an 8 ft water line throughout the one-story house…

I know all too well how lucky my family and many of my friends have been. Many other friends, neighbors and fellow Eastern NC folks unfortunately aren’t able to say the same and that is why I respect these storms immensely. I have witnessed their raw power in so many different ways. As sick as it may sound though, it kills me being here in Raleigh with my wife and young son watching on the tube and following online with everyone else.

While it is only human nature, it scares me to see many folks rather nonchalantly dismiss the impacts even such a "weak" storm can produce. One of the reasons I decided to post was to hopefully share just a morsel of my experiences and to reiterate the seriousness of a storm like this despite the seeming perception from some folks that it won’t be too bad. Particularly for those folks in the northeast, I sincerely hope complacency and lack of experience with these types of situation doesn’t result in avoidable loss of life and injuries. If anyone reading this lives in the path of Irene (especially those in coastal areas) and you haven’t been through a storm like this, please just get out. The water comes so fast in many cases that there is no time to react. By then it is too late. This is absolutely not something you want to learn the hard way.

God bless to all. Especially to those of you on this board tonight who are down east, stay smart and stay safe.

Thank you to all the pros out there who do their level best to keep us informed and able to make critical decisions that in many cases, really are life and death.

[cycloneye]

I got part of the eye yesterday here in Hope Town, Bahamas. Lowest pressure was 954. Winds were every bit of 115mph with higher gusts. I have more pics and video here
http://stormvisuals.com/

That is an impressive video Jim. Do you know of reports of damage or casualties in those islands?

[mf_dolphin]

Let's see: 3 kids - small room VS 2 cats regular house.... YOU LOSE

Couldn't agree more!


I am watching where the tornadoes seem to be and looks like most are north. I forgot about the tornadoes.....damn the tornadoes! Wait, that's torpedoes. Oh well.

Just another thing to worry about in all of this.

Been married 25 years. I know that formula all too well I absolutely hate tornados. they don't have the common courtesy to let you know when to expect them.

[Swimdude]

I don't post very often, but this guy is an idiot, he is in Moorehead City with a camera chasing the storm in a rental car, he has no plans for shelter as the storm get's worse, he plan's on staying in his car.

http://www.ustream.tv/channel/live-seve ... her-webcam.

My prayers are with you all on the East Coast.

Not only is he an idiot, but he's spreading false information. He just said that the storm still might strengthen before NC landfall. Great.

[CronkPSU]

close to real time IR loop shows irene wobbling north the past 30 minutes...wobbles are of course actually important now

http://aviationweather.gov/adds/satellite/displaySat.php?region=CLT&isingle=mult_big&itype=ir

[capepoint]

DirecTV now has WCTI on channel 325....looking now to see if they are broadcasting any more channels, i love when they do this

They said they would be on a few other channels on direct tv as well, but I forgot the numbers. That station is an ABC affiliate, but they also provide the news coverage on the local fox stations, so they may be on fox direct tv channel as well.