ATL: IRENE - Remnants - Discussion

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KWT
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#6361 Postby KWT » Thu Aug 25, 2011 5:12 am

Looking at the high resolution of the IR of this hurricane, it looks NNW to me which is very close to the NHC track.
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Re: ATL: IRENE - Recon

#6362 Postby InRRwetrust » Thu Aug 25, 2011 5:17 am

NOAA ob>
000
URNT15 KWBC 251008
NOAA3 2009A IRENE HDOB 08 20110825
095830 2455N 07606W 7537 02081 9538 +189 +179 218065 070 /// /// 03
095900 2454N 07604W 7522 02118 9564 +184 +169 217076 076 /// /// 03
095930 2452N 07603W 7530 02129 9588 +182 +167 216075 076 /// /// 03
100000 2451N 07601W 7536 02140 9611 +177 +176 217074 075 /// /// 03
100030 2450N 07600W 7518 02177 9634 +171 +157 216080 080 /// /// 03
100100 2448N 07559W 7516 02193 9650 +168 +164 217078 080 /// /// 03
100130 2447N 07557W 7520 02203 9671 +163 +160 216084 090 /// /// 03
100200 2446N 07556W 7500 02238 9690 +158 +151 213099 100 /// /// 03
100230 2445N 07554W 7541 02210 9708 +165 +125 214099 100 /// /// 03
100300 2443N 07553W 7531 02236 9734 +151 +141 211097 097 /// /// 03
100330 2442N 07552W 7515 02267 9749 +148 +147 210093 094 /// /// 03
100400 2441N 07551W 7518 02276 9763 +146 +146 211092 092 /// /// 03
100430 2440N 07549W 7522 02281 9775 +146 +143 211090 090 /// /// 03
100500 2439N 07548W 7530 02281 9785 +144 //// 212092 094 /// /// 05
100530 2437N 07547W 7523 02297 9792 +147 //// 211093 095 /// /// 05
100600 2436N 07545W 7527 02301 9801 +147 //// 212088 090 /// /// 05
100630 2435N 07544W 7503 02337 9812 +146 //// 212090 092 /// /// 05
100700 2434N 07543W 7522 02323 9818 +147 //// 210086 087 /// /// 05
100730 2432N 07542W 7532 02319 9826 +151 +144 211087 087 /// /// 03
100800 2431N 07540W 7524 02336 9837 +149 +133 210085 087 /// /// 03
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#6363 Postby InRRwetrust » Thu Aug 25, 2011 5:18 am

000
URNT15 KNHC 251013
AF300 1909A IRENE HDOB 28 20110825
100330 2409N 07714W 6965 03047 9922 +095 +076 304040 040 041 002 00
100400 2411N 07713W 6965 03043 9921 +096 +075 301041 041 043 002 00
100430 2412N 07711W 6974 03028 9915 +099 +073 302041 042 041 001 00
100500 2413N 07710W 6963 03038 9915 +094 +079 300042 042 043 002 00
100530 2415N 07708W 6965 03036 9914 +090 +088 300044 045 045 001 03
100600 2416N 07707W 6970 03027 9911 +088 //// 307043 044 044 003 01
100630 2417N 07706W 6967 03027 9904 +086 //// 306044 046 043 004 01
100700 2419N 07704W 6971 03017 9893 +099 //// 301044 045 044 003 01
100730 2420N 07703W 6967 03018 9881 +106 +094 303044 047 044 002 00
100800 2421N 07701W 6966 03019 9878 +104 +099 304048 048 046 003 00
100830 2422N 07700W 6967 03010 9874 +102 //// 302047 047 047 001 01
100900 2424N 07658W 6967 03005 9860 +110 +098 300048 048 047 001 00
100930 2425N 07657W 6964 03004 9854 +113 +088 298047 048 046 002 00
101000 2426N 07655W 6967 02994 9843 +118 +086 298046 046 045 001 00
101030 2427N 07653W 6960 02998 9836 +118 +086 297045 047 046 002 00
101100 2428N 07652W 6967 02985 9836 +111 +092 296048 048 046 000 00
101130 2430N 07650W 6973 02970 9829 +113 +096 299052 053 048 000 00
101200 2431N 07648W 6965 02977 9813 +120 +096 299050 051 056 001 03
101230 2432N 07647W 6965 02959 9797 +126 +096 300053 054 /// /// 03
101300 2433N 07645W 6973 02952 9792 +126 +103 300054 055 053 000 03
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Re: ATL: IRENE - Recon

#6364 Postby Chris_in_Tampa » Thu Aug 25, 2011 5:22 am

I'll add an image or two at times, but someone else can takeover and do it more reliably at any time.
Image
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#6365 Postby InRRwetrust » Thu Aug 25, 2011 5:30 am

000
URNT15 KNHC 251023
AF300 1909A IRENE HDOB 29 20110825
101330 2435N 07644W 6963 02957 9774 +134 +098 295054 057 053 004 00
101400 2436N 07642W 6976 02932 9775 +128 +098 295056 057 054 003 00
101430 2437N 07640W 6965 02941 9771 +122 +107 296055 055 055 001 00
101500 2438N 07639W 6963 02932 9765 +120 +114 298055 056 055 001 00
101530 2439N 07637W 6965 02920 9743 +130 +112 300053 054 055 003 00
101600 2441N 07635W 6963 02916 9725 +137 +102 300056 056 054 003 00
101630 2442N 07634W 6971 02897 9713 +140 +093 298056 056 055 002 00
101700 2443N 07632W 6963 02895 9697 +143 +089 295056 057 055 002 00
101730 2444N 07630W 6969 02876 9685 +145 +085 291057 058 052 003 03
101800 2446N 07629W 6967 02868 9669 +149 +085 288056 057 050 002 00
101830 2447N 07628W 6965 02860 9652 +151 +086 278055 056 049 002 03
101900 2449N 07626W 6966 02841 9646 +146 +094 277048 054 045 003 00
101930 2451N 07626W 6967 02835 9643 +139 +101 275038 038 039 000 03
102000 2453N 07625W 6970 02818 9636 +133 +106 275037 038 036 002 00
102030 2454N 07625W 6970 02808 9627 +133 +106 286036 038 032 002 03
102100 2456N 07625W 6961 02808 9616 +132 +103 293039 040 033 000 03
102130 2458N 07624W 6966 02795 9603 +136 +101 294041 041 032 001 00
102200 2459N 07624W 6971 02779 9588 +139 +103 300038 038 033 001 03
102230 2501N 07623W 6969 02768 9560 +154 +102 303037 039 039 004 00
102300 2502N 07622W 6962 02764 9542 +158 +104 297030 036 038 003 00
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Re: ATL: IRENE - Recon

#6366 Postby Chris_in_Tampa » Thu Aug 25, 2011 5:35 am

Wide View, with 5AM EDT track. Through NOAA HDOB 9, Through AF HDOB 29. Closeup image next.

Image
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#6367 Postby InRRwetrust » Thu Aug 25, 2011 5:39 am

000
URNT15 KNHC 251033
AF300 1909A IRENE HDOB 30 20110825
102330 2504N 07621W 6970 02742 9532 +156 +110 305019 022 020 002 03
102400 2506N 07620W 6970 02734 9520 +158 +112 317013 015 011 003 03
102430 2507N 07619W 6964 02735 9506 +163 +114 326005 007 013 002 00
102500 2508N 07618W 6967 02722 9504 +157 +114 147005 010 017 003 00
102530 2510N 07616W 6966 02717 9496 +159 +114 146014 015 023 003 00
102600 2511N 07615W 6970 02709 9486 +162 +113 156021 025 034 000 03
102630 2512N 07613W 6966 02717 9509 +149 +113 151031 035 /// /// 03
102700 2514N 07612W 6965 02730 9525 +140 +112 149042 044 040 001 00
102730 2515N 07610W 6969 02731 9533 +141 +111 148049 051 043 002 03
102800 2516N 07609W 6967 02746 9539 +149 +111 148059 063 066 003 00
102830 2518N 07608W 6969 02759 9563 +138 +110 148072 077 074 008 00
102900 2519N 07606W 6981 02766 9622 +101 //// 145086 089 076 016 01
102930 2520N 07605W 6957 02810 9629 +111 //// 145085 088 082 015 01
103000 2521N 07603W 6968 02810 //// +106 //// 146093 093 082 017 01
103030 2523N 07602W 6976 02817 //// +106 //// 149091 094 083 011 01
103100 2524N 07600W 6965 02845 9662 +123 //// 148092 094 084 011 01
103130 2525N 07559W 6956 02867 //// +101 //// 152098 106 088 019 01
103200 2526N 07558W 6991 02840 //// +076 //// 141109 112 085 024 01
103230 2528N 07556W 6960 02886 //// +074 //// 139106 108 086 019 01
103300 2529N 07555W 6974 02885 //// +074 //// 141105 107 086 012 01
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dwsqos2

Re: ATL: IRENE - Hurricane - Discussion

#6368 Postby dwsqos2 » Thu Aug 25, 2011 5:39 am

112 knot flight-level (700 mb) winds just measured in the NE quadrant; this is the first time since yesterday around noon that any plane has actually measured winds suggestive of major hurricane strength. Peak SFMR was only 88 knots.
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Re: ATL: IRENE - Recon

#6369 Postby Chris_in_Tampa » Thu Aug 25, 2011 5:44 am

With 5AM EDT track. Through NOAA HDOB 10, Through AF HDOB 30.

Image
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#6370 Postby Chris_in_Tampa » Thu Aug 25, 2011 5:48 am

With 5AM EDT track. Even closer up, through NOAA HDOB 10 (current location off image), through AF HDOB 30 (flying into NE quadrant).

Image

From AF HDOB 30, pass through center into NE quadrant:
Lowest Extrapolated Surface Pressure: 948.6 mb (~ 28.01 inHg)
Highest Flight Level Wind (30 sec. Avg.): From 141° at 109 knots (From the SE at ~ 125.3 mph)
Highest Peak (10 sec. Avg.) Flight Level Wind: 112 knots (~ 128.8 mph)
Highest SFMR: Peak (10s Avg.) Sfc. Wind: 88 knots (~ 101.2 mph)
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rainstorm

Re: ATL: IRENE - Hurricane - Discussion

#6371 Postby rainstorm » Thu Aug 25, 2011 5:49 am

JB:

BigJoeBastardi Joe Bastardi
Storm should deepen to near 925 mbby Sat am.DO NOT BE FOOLED BY THEM CUTTING WIND TO 115. the prs is down(drives me nuts when they do that
9 minutes ago
»
Joe Bastardi
BigJoeBastardi Joe Bastardi
Still bad in New england but in terms of history, the place it will be made is eastern NC through NJ and se NY, and west for 150 miles
10 minutes ago
»
Joe Bastardi
BigJoeBastardi Joe Bastardi
Track will be from Eastern NC to Albany in Saturday-Sunday period. This will join Hazel and 1821 storm as worst hurricane in mdatlantic
11 minutes ago
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dwsqos2

Re: ATL: IRENE - Hurricane - Discussion

#6372 Postby dwsqos2 » Thu Aug 25, 2011 5:53 am

The pressure may be down (actually the latest AF drop had pressure of 952 mb with winds greater that 10 knots), but the gradient is flatter. So, sorry cutting winds was completely justified.
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Re: ATL: IRENE - Hurricane - Discussion

#6373 Postby SNOW_JOKE » Thu Aug 25, 2011 5:55 am

Nassau now in the outer eyewall of Irene. A hour ago the METAR coming from the airfield read as..

MYNN 251000Z 36036G47KT 3200 +RA SCT008 BKN012TCU BKN035 OVC070
26/25 A2928 TCU/ALQDS=

http://www.aviador.es/Weather/Decoded_Metar/MYNN
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#6374 Postby Chris_in_Tampa » Thu Aug 25, 2011 5:58 am

URNT12 KNHC 251049
VORTEX DATA MESSAGE AL092011
A. 25/10:24:50Z
B. 25 deg 08 min N
076 deg 18 min W
C. 700 mb 2687 m
D. 55 kt
E. 210 deg 27 nm
F. 290 deg 58 kt
G. 208 deg 25 nm
H. 952 mb
I. 12 C / 3045 m
J. 17 C / 3051 m
K. 11 C / NA
L. OPEN SW
M. C30
N. 12345 / 7
O. 0.02 / 2 nm
P. AF300 1909A IRENE OB 11
MAX OUTBOUND AND MAX FL WIND 112 KT NE QUAD 10:32:00Z
EYE WALL WELL DEFINED 020-090

Product: Air Force Vortex Message (URNT12 KNHC)
Transmitted: 25th day of the month at 10:49Z
Aircraft: Air Force Aircraft (Last 3 digits of the tail number are 300)
Storm Number & Year: 09L in 2011
Storm Name: Irene (flight in the North Atlantic basin)
Mission Number: 19
Observation Number: 11
A. Time of Center Fix: 25th day of the month at 10:24:50Z
B. Center Fix Coordinates: 25°08'N 76°18'W (25.1333N 76.3W) (View map)
B. Center Fix Location: 65 miles (105 km) to the E (86°) from Nassau, Bahamas.
C. Minimum Height at Standard Level: 2,687m (8,816ft) at 700mb
D. Estimated (by SFMR or visually) Maximum Surface Wind: 55kts (~ 63.3mph)
E. Location of the Estimated Maximum Surface Wind: 27 nautical miles (31 statute miles) to the SSW (210°) of center fix
F. Maximum Flight Level Wind Inbound: From 290° at 58kts (From the WNW at ~ 66.7mph)
G. Location of Maximum Flight Level Wind Inbound: 25 nautical miles (29 statute miles) to the SSW (208°) of center fix
H. Minimum Sea Level Pressure: 952mb (28.11 inHg)
I. Maximum Flight Level Temp & Pressure Altitude Outside Eye: 12°C (54°F) at a pressure alt. of 3,045m (9,990ft)
J. Maximum Flight Level Temp & Pressure Altitude Inside Eye: 17°C (63°F) at a pressure alt. of 3,051m (10,010ft)
K. Dewpoint Temp (collected at same location as temp inside eye): 11°C (52°F)
K. Sea Surface Temp (collected at same location as temp inside eye): Not Available
L. Eye Character: Open in the southwest
M. Eye Shape & Diameter: Circular with a diameter of 30 nautical miles (35 statute miles)
N. Fix Determined By: Penetration, Radar, Wind, Pressure and Temperature
N. Fix Level: 700mb
O. Navigation Fix Accuracy: 0.02 nautical miles
O. Meteorological Accuracy: 2 nautical miles
Remarks Section - Remarks That Were Decoded...
Maximum Wind Outbound: 112kts (~ 128.9mph) in the northeast quadrant at 10:32:00Z
Maximum Flight Level Wind: 112kts (~ 128.9mph) in the northeast quadrant at 10:32:00Z
Remarks Section - Additional Remarks...
EYE WALL WELL DEFINED 020-090
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Re: ATL: IRENE - Recon

#6375 Postby Chris_in_Tampa » Thu Aug 25, 2011 5:59 am

With 5AM EDT track. Through NOAA HDOB 12, through AF HDOB 32.

Image
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#6376 Postby InRRwetrust » Thu Aug 25, 2011 6:05 am

000
URNT15 KWBC 251058
NOAA3 2009A IRENE HDOB 13 20110825
104830 2515N 07447W 7514 02452 9961 +140 +130 157088 088 057 009 00
104900 2515N 07450W 7522 02441 9961 +137 +130 158086 090 057 006 00
104930 2515N 07452W 7518 02440 9965 +128 +130 160085 086 058 006 00
105000 2515N 07454W 7515 02442 9960 +128 +130 162089 091 059 007 00
105030 2515N 07457W 7517 02432 9951 +131 +129 162092 095 059 011 00
105100 2515N 07459W 7514 02432 9947 +127 //// 159097 102 059 013 01
105130 2515N 07502W 7494 02447 9942 +126 +129 161102 102 061 014 00
105200 2515N 07504W 7519 02415 9938 +122 //// 164098 100 061 015 01
105230 2515N 07506W 7492 02436 9929 +121 //// 169101 104 065 022 01
105300 2515N 07508W 7535 02381 9916 +128 //// 167098 100 066 022 01
105330 2515N 07510W 7503 02412 9907 +133 //// 165091 093 068 023 01
105400 2515N 07513W 7506 02406 9898 +135 //// 170091 092 069 027 01
105430 2515N 07515W 7492 02419 9887 +133 //// 173087 088 069 025 01
105500 2515N 07517W 7516 02393 9896 +133 //// 168090 093 069 019 05
105530 2515N 07519W 7493 02414 9899 +131 //// 171089 090 063 013 01
105600 2515N 07522W 7540 02355 9889 +136 //// 169085 086 062 008 01
105630 2515N 07524W 7524 02368 9878 +139 +139 169086 087 062 006 00
105700 2515N 07526W 7521 02362 9868 +140 +139 168088 090 066 006 00
105730 2515N 07528W 7520 02356 9859 +141 +143 167088 089 065 006 00
105800 2515N 07531W 7520 02349 9854 +137 //// 165091 093 064 007 01
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#6377 Postby Chris_in_Tampa » Thu Aug 25, 2011 6:08 am

I had posted about how the significant wind levels compared to other missions but I had missed one important mission that had much higher winds at significant levels.

UZNT13 KNHC 251049
XXAA 75107 99254 70761 08056 99963 26400 10078 00833 ///// /////
92359 24402 11607 85100 21600 13605 70776 12200 14590 88999 77999
31313 09608 81029
61616 AF300 1909A IRENE OB 13
62626 EYEWALL 045 SPL 2543N07615W 1034 MBL WND 11104 AEV 20802 DL
M WND 13097 963697 WL150 10596 084 REL 2535N07606W 102957 SPG 254
3N07615W 103414 =
XXBB 75108 99254 70761 08056 00963 26400 11850 21600 22709 15601
33697 11000
21212 00963 10078 11962 10077 22958 10594 33955 10602 44947 11100
55939 11115 66927 11607 77917 12104 88908 12111 99902 12109 11886
12613 22850 13605 33697 14590
31313 09608 81029
61616 AF300 1909A IRENE OB 13
62626 EYEWALL 045 SPL 2543N07615W 1034 MBL WND 11104 AEV 20802 DL
M WND 13097 963697 WL150 10596 084 REL 2535N07606W 102957 SPG 254
3N07615W 103414 =

Code: Select all

Product: Air Force Temp Drop (Dropsonde) Message (UZNT13 KNHC)
Transmitted: 25th day of the month at 10:49Z
Aircraft: Air Force Aircraft (Last 3 digits of the tail number are 300)
Storm Number: 09
Storm Name: Irene (flight in the North Atlantic basin)
Mission Number: 19
Observation Number: 13

Part A...

Date: Near the closest hour of 10Z on the 25th day of the month
Highest Mandatory Level For Which Wind Was Reported: 700mb
Coordinates: 25.4N 76.1W (View map)
Location: 81 miles (130 km) to the ENE (73°) from Nassau, Bahamas.
Marsden Square: 080 (About)

Level    Geo. Height    Air Temp.    Dew Point    Wind Direction    Wind Speed
963mb (28.44 inHg)    Sea Level (Surface)    26.4°C (79.5°F)    26.4°C (79.5°F)   100° (from the E)    78 knots (90 mph)
1000mb   -333m (-1093 ft)   Other data not available.
925mb   359m (1,178 ft)   24.4°C (75.9°F)    24.2°C (75.6°F)   115° (from the ESE)    107 knots (123 mph)
850mb   1,100m (3,609 ft)   21.6°C (70.9°F)    21.6°C (70.9°F)   135° (from the SE)    105 knots (121 mph)
700mb   2,776m (9,108 ft)   12.2°C (54.0°F)    12.2°C (54.0°F)   145° (from the SE)    90 knots (104 mph)

Information About Radiosonde:
- Launch Time: 10:29Z
- About Sonde: A descending radiosonde tracked automatically by satellite navigation with no solar or infrared correction.

Remarks Section...

Dropsonde Location: Dropped in eyewall 045° (NE) from the eye center.

Splash Location: 25.43N 76.15W
Splash Time: 10:34Z

Release Location: 25.35N 76.06W (View map)
Release Time: 10:29:57Z

Splash Location: 25.43N 76.15W (View map)
Splash Time: 10:34:14Z

Mean Boundary Level Wind (mean wind in the lowest 500 geopotential meters of the sounding):
- Wind Direction: 110° (from the ESE)
- Wind Speed: 104 knots (120 mph)

Deep Layer Mean Wind (average wind over the depth of the sounding):
- Wind Direction: 130° (from the SE)
- Wind Speed: 97 knots (112 mph)
- Depth of Sounding: From 697mb to 963mb

Average Wind Over Lowest Available 150 geopotential meters (gpm) of the sounding:
- Lowest 150m: 159 gpm - 9 gpm (522 geo. feet - 30 geo. feet)
- Wind Direction: 105° (from the ESE)
- Wind Speed: 96 knots (110 mph)

Sounding Software Version: AEV 20802

Part B: Data For Significant Levels...

Significant Temperature And Relative Humidity Levels...
Level    Air Temperature    Dew Point
963mb (Surface)   26.4°C (79.5°F)    26.4°C (79.5°F)
850mb   21.6°C (70.9°F)    21.6°C (70.9°F)
709mb   15.6°C (60.1°F)    15.5°C (59.9°F)
697mb   11.0°C (51.8°F)    11.0°C (51.8°F)

Significant Wind Levels...
Level    Wind Direction    Wind Speed
963mb (Surface)   100° (from the E)    78 knots (90 mph)
962mb   100° (from the E)    77 knots (89 mph)
958mb   105° (from the ESE)    94 knots (108 mph)
955mb   105° (from the ESE)    102 knots (117 mph)
947mb   110° (from the ESE)    100 knots (115 mph)
939mb   110° (from the ESE)    115 knots (132 mph)
927mb   115° (from the ESE)    107 knots (123 mph)
917mb   120° (from the ESE)    104 knots (120 mph)
908mb   120° (from the ESE)    111 knots (128 mph)
902mb   120° (from the ESE)    109 knots (125 mph)
886mb   125° (from the SE)    113 knots (130 mph)
850mb   135° (from the SE)    105 knots (121 mph)
697mb   145° (from the SE)    90 knots (104 mph)
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Re: ATL: IRENE - Hurricane - Discussion

#6378 Postby ronjon » Thu Aug 25, 2011 6:11 am

Center just coming into Miami long-range RAD now.

http://radar.weather.gov/radar.php?product=N0Z&rid=AMX&loop=yes
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Re: ATL: IRENE - Hurricane - Discussion

#6379 Postby jhpigott » Thu Aug 25, 2011 6:11 am

A little squally weather incoming here in the PBC area -

626 AM EDT THU AUG 25 2011
A RAIN BAND ASSOCIATED WITH HURRICANE IRENE LOCATED AROUND 20
NAUTICAL MILES EAST OF PALM BEACH COUNTY IS MOVING TOWARDS THE
COAST AT ABOUT 30 TO 35 MPH. THIS LINE WILL BE REACHING COASTAL
SECTIONS OF SOUTHEASTERN PALM BEACH COUNTY IN ABOUT 30 TO 40
MINUTES AND THEN SPREADING INLAND OVER THE FOLLOWING HOUR. THIS
BAND WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY WIND GUSTS THAT COULD POSSIBLY EXCEED
40 MPH AND HEAVY RAIN.
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GCANE
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Re: ATL: IRENE - Hurricane - Discussion

#6380 Postby GCANE » Thu Aug 25, 2011 6:12 am

US Navy orders Second Fleet to move out to sea to keep ships safe from approaching Hurricane Irene - AP
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