ATL: IRENE - Remnants - Discussion

[Dave]

Whoa that CG was close! Strong thunderstorms are moving thru my county right now so if I dissappear I had to go to work locally. Trying to finish this mission first.

[Dave]

[artist]

And becuase I love you guys so much one more...

The 12z point for the NHC is 25.5N andf 76.5W

Distance between

N Latitude 25 30 0.00, W Longitude 76 30 0.00 (Point 1)

and N Latitude 24 3 0.00, W Longitude 75 49 0.00 (Point 2)



174.846 kilometers; 108.644 miles
Azimuth from point 2 to point 1 = 336.98°

It has to move NNW from here to hit that point...will it...

ok, have a question, in the vortex message the coordinates are this -

.

Center Fix Coordinates: 24°03'N 75°49'W (24.05N 75.8167W)

so which is the actual when looking at a map? The 75.49 or the 75.8167?
I appreciate any explanation you can give me!

[CronkPSU]

from the amazing folks in the recon thread..



looks like it will miss that point to the west...and if you notice, this is where the NHC expects the turn to happen, between this point coming up and the next...now we really start wobble watching and looking for the turn

[artist]

000
URNT15 KNHC 250537
AF302 1709A IRENE HDOB 52 20110825
052800 2320N 07501W 6971 03032 //// +065 //// 208077 078 056 009 01
052830 2319N 07500W 6969 03037 9943 +073 //// 205075 076 056 007 01
052900 2318N 07500W 6966 03046 9943 +079 //// 206074 075 055 006 05
052930 2316N 07459W 6967 03047 9932 +090 +082 206074 074 054 005 00
053000 2315N 07458W 6967 03051 9948 +082 +081 208074 074 054 004 00
053030 2314N 07457W 6967 03056 9953 +080 //// 210073 074 052 004 01
053100 2312N 07457W 6966 03058 9946 +089 +078 210073 073 052 002 03
053130 2311N 07456W 6969 03058 9942 +097 +074 210071 072 051 002 03
053200 2310N 07455W 6968 03064 9951 +092 +075 209071 071 049 002 00
053230 2308N 07454W 6967 03065 9956 +093 +075 211070 071 050 002 00
053300 2307N 07453W 6968 03069 9957 +095 +073 211069 070 049 001 00
053330 2306N 07453W 6969 03071 9957 +095 +078 210068 069 048 001 03
053400 2304N 07452W 6966 03077 9961 +092 +081 211068 068 049 001 03
053430 2303N 07452W 6969 03073 9962 +090 +087 212068 069 047 001 03
053500 2301N 07451W 6958 03082 9962 +090 //// 214068 068 046 000 05
053530 2300N 07451W 6969 03073 9959 +095 +078 214069 069 /// /// 03
053600 2258N 07450W 6971 03074 9960 +097 +074 215068 068 /// /// 03
053630 2256N 07449W 6969 03077 9970 +090 +078 216067 067 046 001 03
053700 2255N 07448W 6969 03080 9974 +090 +071 219066 067 046 003 03
053730 2253N 07446W 6972 03078 9973 +089 +088 224066 068 047 003 03
$$

[ncweatherwizard]

And becuase I love you guys so much one more...

The 12z point for the NHC is 25.5N andf 76.5W

Distance between

N Latitude 25 30 0.00, W Longitude 76 30 0.00 (Point 1)

and N Latitude 24 3 0.00, W Longitude 75 49 0.00 (Point 2)



174.846 kilometers; 108.644 miles
Azimuth from point 2 to point 1 = 336.98°

It has to move NNW from here to hit that point...will it...

ok, have a question, in the vortex message the coordinates are this -

.

Center Fix Coordinates: 24°03'N 75°49'W (24.05N 75.8167W)

so which is the actual when looking at a map? The 75.49 or the 75.8167?
I appreciate any explanation you can give me!

It doesn't say 75.49W It's 75 degrees and 49 arc minutes. There's 60 arc minutes in a full degree, so its 75 and 49/60 degrees. 49/60 is 0.8167.

[Dave]

[WilmingtonSandbar]

New England is Safe!!
How do I know? click on the below link and scroll about 1/2 way down the page and see if you can solve the riddle as to why New England is safe from Irene.....

http://www.weather.com/weather/hurrican ... 2011-05-31

cantore in rhode island? ask gulfport how that theory held up

I have been in the eyes of several hurricanes with Jim. Georges and Fran come to mind right now. I have a short video of a stand-up we did during Hurricane Dennis in Wrightsville Beach in 1999. It is here: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=TriaDbNDsmw

Just posted my memory of that storm on that video page.

[Sanibel]

If you want to have a heart attack go to the AVN Irene Floater on the NOAA site. They screwed-up the trop points and have Irene missing Florida by like 30 miles.


http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/flt/t2/flash-avn.html

[Dave]

Flight AF300 into Irene is on the runway...

574
URNT15 KNHC 250543
AF300 1909A IRENE HDOB 01 20110825
053330 1742N 06448W 0133 ///// 0108 +271 +229 360000 000 /// /// 23
053400 1742N 06448W 0133 ///// 0108 +270 +229 360000 000 /// /// 23
053430 1742N 06448W 0133 ///// 0108 +270 +229 360000 000 /// /// 23
053500 1742N 06448W 0133 ///// 0108 +270 +229 360000 000 /// /// 23
053530 1742N 06448W 0133 ///// 0108 +270 +229 360000 000 /// /// 23
053600 1742N 06448W 0133 ///// 0108 +271 +229 360000 000 /// /// 23
053630 1742N 06448W 0133 ///// 0123 +274 +229 360000 000 /// /// 23
053700 1742N 06448W 0133 ///// 0128 +271 +229 360000 000 /// /// 23
053730 1742N 06448W 0132 00001 0134 +271 +229 360000 000 /// /// 03
053800 1742N 06448W 0132 00005 0140 +270 +229 360000 000 /// /// 03
053830 1742N 06448W 0133 00004 0138 +271 +228 360000 000 /// /// 03
053900 1742N 06448W 0133 00004 0138 +272 +228 360000 000 /// /// 03
053930 1742N 06448W 0133 00004 0138 +270 +228 360000 000 /// /// 03
054000 1742N 06448W 0133 00003 0138 +270 +228 360000 000 /// /// 03
054030 1742N 06448W 0132 00007 0141 +270 +228 360000 000 /// /// 03
054100 1742N 06448W 0133 00003 0140 +270 +228 360000 000 /// /// 03
054130 1742N 06448W 0132 00005 0140 +271 +228 360000 000 /// /// 03
054200 1742N 06448W 0132 ///// 0134 +271 +228 360000 000 /// /// 23
054230 1742N 06448W 0132 ///// 0132 +270 +228 360000 000 /// /// 23
054300 1742N 06448W 0133 00001 0135 +271 +228 360000 000 /// /// 03
$$
;

[Bocadude85]

If you want to have a heart attack go to the AVN Irene Floater on the NOAA site. They screwed-up the trop points and have Irene missing Florida by like 50 miles.

LOL yea I saw that earlier.. scared me for a minute.

[Dave]

Flight AF300 is on the runway now....ready for takeoff, going to need some people to work overnight.....I need an hour or two break.

[artist]

I have got to hit it myself. Anyone able to take over for us?

[artist]

AF302000
URNT15 KNHC 250547
AF302 1709A IRENE HDOB 53 20110825
053800 2252N 07445W 6978 03077 //// +077 //// 220059 061 047 007 01
053830 2251N 07443W 6971 03089 9988 +084 //// 210065 067 048 007 05
053900 2250N 07441W 6976 03079 9990 +084 //// 211064 065 047 008 01
053930 2250N 07439W 6967 03093 9994 +082 //// 208065 066 044 007 01
054000 2249N 07437W 6970 03089 9999 +079 //// 205067 067 042 006 05
054030 2249N 07436W 6969 03097 0005 +078 //// 202065 065 043 003 01
054100 2248N 07434W 6965 03103 0005 +080 //// 205064 065 043 003 05
054130 2248N 07432W 6969 03101 9997 +087 //// 202064 064 042 003 01
054200 2247N 07430W 6967 03103 9993 +088 //// 199065 068 041 011 05
054230 2247N 07428W 6985 03082 9997 +086 //// 200063 065 042 003 05
054300 2246N 07427W 6961 03111 9994 +093 +086 201063 064 043 005 03
054330 2245N 07425W 6971 03102 9987 +102 +077 201061 062 042 002 03
054400 2245N 07423W 6965 03113 9992 +100 +079 202060 061 041 002 03
054430 2244N 07422W 6967 03112 0003 +092 +084 201059 061 041 002 03
054500 2243N 07420W 6967 03112 0006 +092 +082 201060 060 037 002 03
054530 2243N 07418W 6965 03115 0005 +095 +078 201058 059 /// /// 03
054600 2242N 07417W 6967 03094 9997 +092 +078 201056 057 /// /// 03
054630 2241N 07415W 6822 03289 0005 +087 +069 202055 056 /// /// 03
054700 2240N 07414W 6559 03626 0017 +063 +054 203054 054 036 001 03
054730 2239N 07412W 6371 03862 0018 +048 //// 200053 054 038 000 05
$$
;

[Dave]

AF 302

[CronkPSU]

decreased the winds to 115 mph for the 2am advisory

new coordinates are 24.2n 76.0w

NW at 12 950 mb

[Dave]

318
URNT15 KNHC 250553
AF300 1909A IRENE HDOB 02 20110825
054330 1742N 06448W 0133 ///// 0133 +270 +228 360000 000 /// /// 23
054400 1742N 06448W 0131 00005 0134 +270 +227 360000 000 /// /// 03
054430 1742N 06448W 0131 00001 0135 +270 +227 360000 000 /// /// 03
054500 1742N 06448W 0131 00004 0137 +270 +227 360000 000 /// /// 03
054530 1742N 06448W 0131 00004 0138 +270 +227 360000 000 /// /// 03
054600 1742N 06448W 0130 00006 0139 +271 +227 360000 000 /// /// 03
054630 1742N 06448W 0129 00008 0139 +275 +227 360000 000 /// /// 03
054700 1742N 06448W 0130 00008 0139 +275 +227 360000 000 /// /// 03
054730 1742N 06448W 0130 00004 0136 +275 +227 360000 000 /// /// 03
054800 1742N 06448W 0127 00005 0136 +275 +227 360000 000 /// /// 03
054830 1742N 06448W 0126 00008 0136 +275 +227 360000 000 /// /// 03
054900 1742N 06448W 0125 00009 0136 +275 +227 360000 000 /// /// 03
054930 1742N 06448W 0123 00010 0136 +272 +227 360000 000 /// /// 03
055000 1742N 06448W 0122 00011 0136 +270 +226 360000 000 /// /// 03
055030 1742N 06448W 0120 00014 0137 +270 +226 360000 000 /// /// 03
055100 1742N 06449W 0111 00015 0131 +276 +225 360000 000 /// /// 03
055130 1742N 06449W 0107 00013 0133 +284 +225 360000 000 /// /// 03
055200 1742N 06449W 0118 00013 0134 +277 +225 360000 000 /// /// 03
055230 1742N 06449W 0116 00015 0134 +272 +225 360000 000 /// /// 03
055300 1742N 06449W 0109 00016 0132 +273 +225 360000 000 /// /// 03
$$

[maxintensity]

M. C32

Recon no longer reporting cocentric eyewalls. I only noticed a very small fraction of the inner eyewall on the last pass but it was minute and likely gone now. We should wakeup to a big 30 mile wide eye and it should be perfectly clear tomorrow afternoon.

[artist]

And becuase I love you guys so much one more...

The 12z point for the NHC is 25.5N andf 76.5W

Distance between

N Latitude 25 30 0.00, W Longitude 76 30 0.00 (Point 1)

and N Latitude 24 3 0.00, W Longitude 75 49 0.00 (Point 2)



174.846 kilometers; 108.644 miles
Azimuth from point 2 to point 1 = 336.98°

It has to move NNW from here to hit that point...will it...

ok, have a question, in the vortex message the coordinates are this -

.

Center Fix Coordinates: 24°03'N 75°49'W (24.05N 75.8167W)

so which is the actual when looking at a map? The 75.49 or the 75.8167?
I appreciate any explanation you can give me!

It doesn't say 75.49W It's 75 degrees and 49 arc minutes. There's 60 arc minutes in a full degree, so its 75 and 49/60 degrees. 49/60 is 0.8167.

lol, I have asked this before, haven't I? It's late, what can I say? Thank you AGAIN!

[Dave]

Someone want to pick this next mission up for awhile? I could stand a break...

AF300 1909A IRENE HDOB 02 20110825