ATL: IRENE - Remnants - Discussion

[Aric Dunn]

unless it starts to turn more NW it will pass off the west of the next forecast point.

[FireRat]

This storm is going to be a MONSTER come tomorrow morning....AUGUST 25, 2011 will be a date no one will ever forget in the NW Bahamas and today the 24th is almost achieving that too. The last frames of the Irene loop shows what could arguably be a 310 degree direction, but we'd need a few more hours to see if that verifies as a slight change in course.

I know Florida is safe according to the models, but as long as a hurricane threatens from the SOUTHEAST and is still heading in the general direction of FLORIDA........I would not let my guard down yet until I see the NNW turn that is forecast. BTW it sure feels drier outside here in Broward county, like a dry heat and not as oppressive as this morning! Yesterday the birds and ducks were very active, today there are few to be heard or even seen. If they don't show even more by tomorrow, you know Southeast Florida will see really nasty weather. Not a direct strike however but perhaps a stronger impact than forecast if Irene takes longer to turn NNW. This is the most crucial time in the storm's life as it's setting to intensify fast and turn very soon!! How exciting this storm became, wooow!

[TheBurn]

Zoomed out & Close-up

[Stormcenter]

In recent years as hurricanes approach the U.S. coastline they always seem to weaken. Let's see if that trend continues. Anyway Irene is looking pretty darn healthy right now.

[SouthDadeFish]

Look at that eye!

[canes04]

Ok Irene, it's time to make your turn.

[bahamaswx]

This storm is going to be a MONSTER come tomorrow morning....AUGUST 25, 2011 will be a date no one will ever forget in the NW Bahamas and today the 24th is almost achieving that too. The last frames of the Irene loop shows what could arguably be a 310 degree direction, but we'd need a few more hours to see if that verifies as a slight change in course

The people are well prepared. She looks to pass over Eleuthera following Long Island, which in the past 20 years has been traversed by 4 hurricanes, including 3 majors (Andrew, Floyd, Frances).

[Aric Dunn]

TS conditions back in forecast for Central florida

http://forecast.weather.gov/MapClick.ph ... n=-80.6002

[Canelaw99]

Ok Irene, it's time to make your turn.

I think all of us down here are a smidge impatient on this turn now. I, for one, will definitely feel better once she is a)headed more north than west permanently, and b) once she's way north of me.....

[CronkPSU]

the east coast sea breeze (meaning the winds from the atlantic are pushing harder than the west coast sea breeze) is again the stronger wind today over Florida, figured that may mean something to someone here as a piece of the overall puzzle, then again, maybe it doesn't

[SouthDadeFish]

I've also noticed how outflow to the W and N have improved today, which has definitely aided in this intensification process.

[JtSmarts]

Irene is definitely a "classic" hurricane now. Wow!

In recent years as hurricanes approach the U.S. coastline they always seem to weaken. Let's see if that trend continues. Anyway Irene is looking pretty darn healthy right now.

I know what you're saying but that's not exactly true.

Jeanne, Charley, Gaston, Cindy, and Humberto were strengthening storms while Ike and to an extent Dolly Wilma and maybe Ophelia (on approach) were pretty much steady state. Although you are right on with Dennis, Rita, Ivan, and Katrina.

[WYNweather]

Question is just the angle od the sat imageas or has it expanded that much? look at the first image compared to the last.
http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/flt/t2/loop-avn.html

[FireRat]

This storm is going to be a MONSTER come tomorrow morning....AUGUST 25, 2011 will be a date no one will ever forget in the NW Bahamas and today the 24th is almost achieving that too. The last frames of the Irene loop shows what could arguably be a 310 degree direction, but we'd need a few more hours to see if that verifies as a slight change in course

The people are well prepared. She looks to pass over Eleuthera following Long Island, which in the past 20 years has been traversed by 4 hurricanes, including 3 majors (Andrew, Floyd, Frances).

Thank goodness they're well prepared! I wouldn't rule out a CAT 5 given the storm's evolution today. Cat 4 is almost certain. Best of luck to all of you who are in the Bahamas, and be safe!

[Stormcenter]

A little further north and it would look like Andrew's approach to Fl.

Look at that eye!

http://img24.imageshack.us/img24/9653/214ec.jpg

If you showed that pic to any regular person and asked them where it was going to go, probably 99% of them would say Florida because it sure looks like that from the pic.

[Canelaw99]

the east coast sea breeze (meaning the winds from the atlantic are pushing harder than the west coast sea breeze) is again the stronger wind today over Florida, figured that may mean something to someone here as a piece of the overall puzzle, then again, maybe it doesn't

I noticed the strong east breeze today too. Not sure what, if anything, that means weather wise, but I noticed it. Lack of birds all day too....

[Texas Snowman]

Tweet from Accuweather's Henry Margusity: "So the Euro hugs the coast and takes the Eye over NYC and right up the Hudson Valley which is what I like as a path."

EDIT: And a recent tweet from Joe B: "Have this a top 5 ne hurricane last 100 years, top 10 NC to NJ."

[wxman57]

Folks - please keep the quoting to a minimum - especially images and animations, etc - not everyone has unlimited bandwidth and computing power.

YEAH! I'm finding it easier just to delete posts with that quote other posts with images/animations and the image tags not removed than to remove the image tags.

HINT! HINT!

If your post is missing after a short while, you'll know why.

[tolakram]

30 frame VIS loop: http://wwwghcc.msfc.nasa.gov/cgi-bin/ge ... map=latlon

[Stormcenter]

Hurricane Lilly did the same thing too.

Irene is definitely a "classic" hurricane now. Wow!

In recent years as hurricanes approach the U.S. coastline they always seem to weaken. Let's see if that trend continues. Anyway Irene is looking pretty darn healthy right now.

I know what you're saying but that's not exactly true.

Jeanne, Charley, Gaston, Cindy, and Humberto were strengthening storms while Ike and to an extent Dolly Wilma and maybe Ophelia (on approach) were pretty much steady state. Although you are right on with Dennis, Rita, Ivan, and Katrina.