Sure looks like it could be.
ATL: TEN - Remnants - Discussion
Moderator: S2k Moderators
-
- S2K Supporter
- Posts: 287
- Joined: Mon Aug 15, 2011 7:25 pm
- Location: Budapest, Hungary (from Kingston, Jamaica)
Re: ATL: INVEST 90L - Discussion
Sure looks like it could be.
0 likes
Personal Forecast Disclaimer:
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institutions or storm2k.org. For official information refer to the NHC and NWS products.
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institutions or storm2k.org. For official information refer to the NHC and NWS products.
- Hybridstorm_November2001
- S2K Supporter
- Posts: 2804
- Joined: Sat Aug 21, 2004 2:50 pm
- Location: SW New Brunswick, Canada
- Contact:
Re: ATL: INVEST 90L - Discussion
Caribwxgirl wrote:
Sure looks like it could be.
True, it is looking good.
0 likes
-
- Tropical Depression
- Posts: 65
- Joined: Wed Jul 20, 2011 1:14 pm
Re: ATL: INVEST 90L - Discussion
Hybridstorm_November2001 wrote:Caribwxgirl wrote:
Sure looks like it could be.
True, it is looking good.
What is keeping the SE section from developing?
0 likes
-
- Category 5
- Posts: 1805
- Age: 27
- Joined: Sat Jun 19, 2010 12:57 pm
- Location: Tampa, Florida
Re: ATL: INVEST 90L - Discussion
Please remove the img tags when quoteing, we dont need to see the same image 3 times in a row And Im thinking red also by 8pm
0 likes
- cycloneye
- Admin
- Posts: 139710
- Age: 67
- Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
- Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico
Re: ATL: INVEST 90L - Discussion
60%
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS HAVE BECOME MORE CONCENTRATED NEAR AN AREA
OF LOW PRESSURE LOCATED A COUPLE HUNDRED MILES SOUTHWEST OF THE
CAPE VERDE ISLANDS. ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS APPEAR GENERALLY
FAVORABLE FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A TROPICAL DEPRESSION DURING THE
NEXT DAY OR TWO. THIS SYSTEM HAS A HIGH CHANCE...60 PERCENT... OF
BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS AS IT MOVES
WESTWARD AT 10 TO 15 MPH.
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS HAVE BECOME MORE CONCENTRATED NEAR AN AREA
OF LOW PRESSURE LOCATED A COUPLE HUNDRED MILES SOUTHWEST OF THE
CAPE VERDE ISLANDS. ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS APPEAR GENERALLY
FAVORABLE FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A TROPICAL DEPRESSION DURING THE
NEXT DAY OR TWO. THIS SYSTEM HAS A HIGH CHANCE...60 PERCENT... OF
BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS AS IT MOVES
WESTWARD AT 10 TO 15 MPH.
0 likes
Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here
- wxman57
- Moderator-Pro Met
- Posts: 22512
- Age: 66
- Joined: Sat Jun 21, 2003 8:06 pm
- Location: Houston, TX (southwest)
Re: Re:
otowntiger wrote:
Given the current pattern does that mean we need to be looking at more 'home grown' threats? The long Cape Verde trackers by and large look to be re-curvers this year right or is that something that can change before the "Cape Verde 'season' "is over?
Yes, I think so, for the next few weeks. There's a weakness in the high across the eastern Atlantic now. As a result, the SAL has declined markedly out there. We could see 2-3 storms develop way out east in the next few weeks, but they would likely track out to sea. But we could also see development in the Gulf or along the southeast U.S. coast in the next few weeks. We'll have to get some sort of disturbance in the Gulf first, though.
0 likes
-
- S2K Supporter
- Posts: 129
- Age: 68
- Joined: Wed Aug 25, 2010 5:17 pm
- Location: San Juan, PR
-
- S2K Supporter
- Posts: 287
- Joined: Mon Aug 15, 2011 7:25 pm
- Location: Budapest, Hungary (from Kingston, Jamaica)
Re: ATL: INVEST 90L - Discussion
[quote="cycloneye"
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS HAVE BECOME MORE CONCENTRATED NEAR AN AREA
OF LOW PRESSURE LOCATED A COUPLE HUNDRED MILES SOUTHWEST OF THE
CAPE VERDE ISLANDS. ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS APPEAR GENERALLY
FAVORABLE FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A TROPICAL DEPRESSION DURING THE
NEXT DAY OR TWO. THIS SYSTEM HAS A HIGH CHANCE...60 PERCENT... OF
BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS AS IT MOVES
WESTWARD AT 10 TO 15 MPH.
http://img14.imageshack.us/img14/5507/atl2.gif[/img
Yep you called it right! now where will it go is the question.
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS HAVE BECOME MORE CONCENTRATED NEAR AN AREA
OF LOW PRESSURE LOCATED A COUPLE HUNDRED MILES SOUTHWEST OF THE
CAPE VERDE ISLANDS. ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS APPEAR GENERALLY
FAVORABLE FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A TROPICAL DEPRESSION DURING THE
NEXT DAY OR TWO. THIS SYSTEM HAS A HIGH CHANCE...60 PERCENT... OF
BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS AS IT MOVES
WESTWARD AT 10 TO 15 MPH.
http://img14.imageshack.us/img14/5507/atl2.gif[/img
Yep you called it right! now where will it go is the question.
Last edited by Caribwxgirl on Wed Aug 24, 2011 1:17 pm, edited 4 times in total.
0 likes
Personal Forecast Disclaimer:
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institutions or storm2k.org. For official information refer to the NHC and NWS products.
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institutions or storm2k.org. For official information refer to the NHC and NWS products.
- wxman57
- Moderator-Pro Met
- Posts: 22512
- Age: 66
- Joined: Sat Jun 21, 2003 8:06 pm
- Location: Houston, TX (southwest)
Re: ATL: INVEST 90L - Discussion
Florida1118 wrote::uarrow: Please remove the img tags when quoting, we dont need to see the same image 3 times in a row And Im thinking red also by 8pm
Yes, please do. I have better things to do than to keep removing [img] tags all on quoted messages day long.
0 likes
Re: ATL: INVEST 90L - Discussion
Looks like a fish so far. Anyways worth watching in the coming week IMO.
0 likes
Georges '98, Irene '99, Frances '04, Jeanne '04, Katrina '05, Wilma '05, Gustav '08, Isaac '12, Matthew '16, Florence '18, Michael '18, Ian '22
- cycloneye
- Admin
- Posts: 139710
- Age: 67
- Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
- Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico
Re: ATL: INVEST 90L - Discussion
18z Best Track
AL, 90, 2011082418, , BEST, 0, 129N, 272W, 25, 1008, LO
ftp://ftp.tpc.ncep.noaa.gov/atcf/tcweb/ ... 011.invest
AL, 90, 2011082418, , BEST, 0, 129N, 272W, 25, 1008, LO
ftp://ftp.tpc.ncep.noaa.gov/atcf/tcweb/ ... 011.invest
0 likes
Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here
- cycloneye
- Admin
- Posts: 139710
- Age: 67
- Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
- Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico
Re: Re:
wxman57 wrote:otowntiger wrote:
Given the current pattern does that mean we need to be looking at more 'home grown' threats? The long Cape Verde trackers by and large look to be re-curvers this year right or is that something that can change before the "Cape Verde 'season' "is over?
Yes, I think so, for the next few weeks. There's a weakness in the high across the eastern Atlantic now. As a result, the SAL has declined markedly out there. We could see 2-3 storms develop way out east in the next few weeks, but they would likely track out to sea. But we could also see development in the Gulf or along the southeast U.S. coast in the next few weeks. We'll have to get some sort of disturbance in the Gulf first, though.
Also,a wave can move from Africa without developing until 50W.
0 likes
Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here
Re: Re:
cycloneye wrote:
Also,a wave can move from Africa without developing until 50W.
If the storm does not develop until 50W or further west does it stand a better chance against recurving out to sea?
0 likes
- cycloneye
- Admin
- Posts: 139710
- Age: 67
- Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
- Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico
Re: Re:
SunnyFla wrote:cycloneye wrote:
Also,a wave can move from Africa without developing until 50W.
If the storm does not develop until 50W or further west does it stand a better chance against recurving out to sea?
50W longitud and west of that longitude is almost a guarantee of a landfall in the Caribbean depending on how the ridges and troughs behave.
0 likes
Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here
Re: Re:
cycloneye wrote:SunnyFla wrote:cycloneye wrote:
Also,a wave can move from Africa without developing until 50W.
If the storm does not develop until 50W or further west does it stand a better chance against recurving out to sea?
50W longitud and west of that longitude is almost a guarantee of a landfall in the Caribbean depending on how the ridges and troughs behave.
Thank you!
Glad to see you back after Irene passed through. Hope there was not too much damage in Puerto Rico.
0 likes
-
- Tropical Storm
- Posts: 192
- Age: 40
- Joined: Tue Jan 18, 2011 6:16 pm
- Location: Anguilla,Leeward Islands 18.3N 63.0W
Re: Re:
wxman57 wrote:otowntiger wrote:
Given the current pattern does that mean we need to be looking at more 'home grown' threats? The long Cape Verde trackers by and large look to be re-curvers this year right or is that something that can change before the "Cape Verde 'season' "is over?
Yes, I think so, for the next few weeks. There's a weakness in the high across the eastern Atlantic now. As a result, the SAL has declined markedly out there. We could see 2-3 storms develop way out east in the next few weeks, but they would likely track out to sea. But we could also see development in the Gulf or along the southeast U.S. coast in the next few weeks. We'll have to get some sort of disturbance in the Gulf first, though.
Couldn't one long tracker slip through if there are many Cape Verde storms developing?
How far west do you think a storm would be able to reach with the ridge in that state?
Last edited by HurricaneFan on Wed Aug 24, 2011 2:45 pm, edited 1 time in total.
0 likes
Looking good, probably will develop fairly soon and once it does I'm pretty confident of a recurve with this one.
0 likes
Personal Forecast Disclaimer:
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products
- cycloneye
- Admin
- Posts: 139710
- Age: 67
- Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
- Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico
Re: ATL: INVEST 90L - Discussion
Hope there was not too much damage in Puerto Rico
Epic rainfall of a little over 20 inches,massive flooding,many mudslides,over 1 millon without power and water,one death with the Irene passage,over 500 millon in damage. See the photos at the thread at top of forum or at Caribbean - Central America Weather thread.
0 likes
Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here
Who is online
Users browsing this forum: No registered users and 12 guests