ATL: IRENE - Models

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JPmia
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Re: ATL: IRENE - Models

#4141 Postby JPmia » Mon Aug 22, 2011 10:48 pm

that's rather slow, but i bet once it begins the northerly turn it will speed up
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#4142 Postby SouthDadeFish » Mon Aug 22, 2011 10:49 pm

00Z GFS and NAM locations of Irene are nearly identical at 30 hours.
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Re:

#4143 Postby Evil Jeremy » Mon Aug 22, 2011 10:49 pm

HurricaneWarning92 wrote:if it doesnt move fast isnt that worse for Florida?


Yes. Ridge builds back in.
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Re:

#4144 Postby Blown Away » Mon Aug 22, 2011 10:49 pm

HurricaneWarning92 wrote:if it doesnt move fast isnt that worse for Florida?

Yeah, I think one of the mets on this board said that. BTW, not moving very much at 30 hours.
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Re: ATL: IRENE - Models

#4145 Postby ObsessedMiami » Mon Aug 22, 2011 10:49 pm

So far seems to be following the NHC plot
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#4146 Postby SeminoleWind » Mon Aug 22, 2011 10:50 pm

it IS a little just a hair further west than the last 00Z model run at that time
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#4147 Postby chris_fit » Mon Aug 22, 2011 10:50 pm

+36 hours

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#4148 Postby SouthDadeFish » Mon Aug 22, 2011 10:50 pm

And at hour 36 the GFS is farther east than the NAM. It looks like it will be similar to the 18Z GFS to me...
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Re: Re:

#4149 Postby Clint_TX » Mon Aug 22, 2011 10:50 pm

Evil Jeremy wrote:
HurricaneWarning92 wrote:if it doesnt move fast isnt that worse for Florida?


Yes. Ridge builds back in.


Indeed
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#4150 Postby SeminoleWind » Mon Aug 22, 2011 10:51 pm

still same spot at 36hr?
put my finger on the screen and went to 30 hr same spot
Last edited by SeminoleWind on Mon Aug 22, 2011 10:52 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: ATL: IRENE - Models

#4151 Postby dixiebreeze » Mon Aug 22, 2011 10:51 pm

If it's still skirting the DR after 30 hours, I may start to check my supplies.
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Re: ATL: IRENE - Models

#4152 Postby Tampa_God » Mon Aug 22, 2011 10:52 pm

By H36, looks like Irene gives up trying to start going North more and starts moving back West. And by H36, looks like the ridge starts working back to the West. :eek:
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#4153 Postby chris_fit » Mon Aug 22, 2011 10:53 pm

+42hrs


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#4154 Postby SeminoleWind » Mon Aug 22, 2011 10:53 pm

still very slow movement at 42
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#4155 Postby SouthDadeFish » Mon Aug 22, 2011 10:53 pm

GFS has the second trough stronger than the NAM through 42 hours.
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Re: ATL: IRENE - Models

#4156 Postby MWatkins » Mon Aug 22, 2011 10:54 pm

Really no difference from the 18Z at t+36. Maybe a tad slower, but just a little. Pretty much dead on the 18Z so far

MW
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Re: ATL: IRENE - Models

#4157 Postby Hurricaneman » Mon Aug 22, 2011 10:54 pm

I dont want this, days with no electricity is not something I would want or want for anyone else
Last edited by Hurricaneman on Mon Aug 22, 2011 10:55 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: ATL: IRENE - Models

#4158 Postby ROCK » Mon Aug 22, 2011 10:54 pm

that 2nd trof is the one she is going to take....
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Re: ATL: IRENE - Models

#4159 Postby Blown Away » Mon Aug 22, 2011 10:56 pm

Ummm, supposed to be at latitude 26.5 in 72 hours, still stuck at 42 hours??
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Re: ATL: IRENE - Models

#4160 Postby SFLcane » Mon Aug 22, 2011 10:56 pm

Up up and away she goes...
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