ATL: IRENE - Remnants - Discussion

[ozonepete]

Amen. Be safe, Luis. Gotta get some shuteye. zzzzzzzzz...

P.S. Beautiful land. Very jealous.

[ronjon]

Irene seems to be moving almost due west now.

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/flt/t2/flash-vis-s.html

[InRRwetrust]

Please ETA for the first RECCO etc. to come in pls?
(My first post in what is THE top forum
Jolly good stuff Storm2K and all involved)

[SouthFLTropics]

Irene seems to be moving almost due west now.

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/flt/t2/flash-vis-s.html

I would agree with that assessment...with that being said I wouldn't be suprised to see another center reformation farther north towards the deeper convection. This would especially be the case if she goes into Hispaniola looking like this. That dry air has done a number on the core this morning.

SFT

[blazess556]

NDBC station Irene is approaching.

http://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/station_page.php?station=bara9

[x-y-no]

Yes, stay safe Luis. Intensifying systems can often be deceptive - for instance Katrina did more damage in Miami than her marginal category 1 status at that time would have suggested she could.

[cycloneye]

The plane is up. Who wants to continue posting the obs?

URNT15 KNHC 211124
AF300 0209A IRENE HDOB 07 20110821
111430 1742N 06430W 8416 01603 0122 +169 +072 057024 024 /// /// 03
111500 1742N 06429W 8418 01597 0118 +175 +071 067023 024 /// /// 03
111530 1743N 06427W 8416 01599 0116 +176 +071 072021 022 /// /// 03
111600 1743N 06425W 8414 01602 0117 +176 +071 073022 023 /// /// 03
111630 1743N 06424W 8412 01604 0115 +178 +070 060024 026 /// /// 03
111700 1744N 06422W 8422 01593 0114 +179 +071 043025 027 /// /// 03
111730 1744N 06420W 8416 01598 0111 +179 +071 025028 028 /// /// 03
111800 1744N 06419W 8416 01599 0115 +174 +071 025027 029 /// /// 03
111830 1744N 06417W 8412 01598 0116 +170 +069 028024 025 /// /// 03
111900 1744N 06415W 8408 01607 0115 +174 +066 040024 025 /// /// 03
111930 1743N 06413W 8414 01600 0118 +169 +065 045024 025 /// /// 03
112000 1743N 06411W 8420 01595 0122 +164 +064 044024 025 /// /// 03
112030 1743N 06409W 8416 01599 0120 +166 +063 051028 030 /// /// 03
112100 1743N 06408W 8419 01593 0119 +166 +064 058028 029 /// /// 03
112130 1743N 06406W 8416 01599 0118 +166 +063 062028 029 /// /// 05
112200 1744N 06404W 8415 01598 //// +159 //// 063030 031 /// /// 05
112230 1744N 06403W 8416 01595 //// +158 //// 061031 031 /// /// 05
112300 1744N 06401W 8414 01597 //// +157 //// 056029 030 /// /// 05
112330 1745N 06400W 8416 01595 //// +160 //// 057030 031 /// /// 05
112400 1745N 06358W 8416 01596 //// +160 //// 061030 030 /// /// 05

[cycloneye]

Who wants to post the obs?

[tolakram]

[tolakram]

I can do pics for a while, need someone to do the obs.

[tolakram]

000
URNT11 KNHC 211139
97779 11330 10178 63500 15200 06033 17/// /2507
40720
RMK AF300 0209A IRENE OB 01
SWS = 21 KTS
NW ENTRY PT
;

[tolakram]

000
URNT15 KNHC 211144
AF300 0209A IRENE HDOB 09 20110821
113430 1746N 06328W 8431 01576 //// +170 //// 054033 034 021 001 05
113500 1745N 06327W 8430 01576 //// +172 //// 055033 034 020 002 01
113530 1743N 06326W 8430 01578 //// +173 //// 054031 031 023 000 05
113600 1742N 06325W 8428 01579 //// +171 //// 055032 033 022 001 05
113630 1741N 06324W 8433 01573 //// +171 //// 056034 035 024 001 01
113700 1739N 06323W 8429 01578 //// +168 //// 056035 036 024 001 01
113730 1738N 06322W 8429 01574 //// +166 //// 059035 036 025 001 01
113800 1737N 06321W 8430 01575 //// +166 //// 061038 038 025 000 01
113830 1736N 06320W 8433 01571 //// +168 //// 066037 038 026 000 01
113900 1734N 06319W 8427 01576 //// +162 //// 062038 039 027 002 01
113930 1733N 06318W 8432 01573 //// +166 //// 064035 037 024 002 01
114000 1732N 06317W 8432 01573 //// +167 //// 061033 035 025 001 01
114030 1731N 06316W 8430 01571 //// +163 //// 058037 038 027 002 01
114100 1729N 06315W 8430 01575 //// +162 //// 058036 037 027 001 05
114130 1728N 06313W 8428 01571 //// +158 //// 049037 038 025 002 01
114200 1727N 06312W 8430 01573 //// +155 //// 046039 039 027 001 01
114230 1726N 06311W 8423 01574 //// +155 //// 042038 040 027 000 01
114300 1725N 06310W 8433 01564 //// +157 //// 045038 039 028 002 01
114330 1724N 06309W 8429 01569 //// +156 //// 040039 040 031 001 01
114400 1722N 06307W 8433 01564 //// +147 //// 036040 041 032 004 01
$$
;

[tolakram]

000
URNT15 KNHC 211154
AF300 0209A IRENE HDOB 10 20110821
114430 1721N 06306W 8418 01578 //// +138 //// 031037 041 036 009 01
114500 1720N 06305W 8427 01568 //// +135 //// 015034 037 040 015 01
114530 1719N 06304W 8429 01565 //// +135 //// 024038 041 038 010 01
114600 1718N 06302W 8434 01559 //// +136 //// 024035 037 042 012 01
114630 1716N 06301W 8430 01563 //// +133 //// 031035 035 043 014 01
114700 1715N 06300W 8424 01569 //// +140 //// 041039 042 038 010 05
114730 1714N 06259W 8422 01569 //// +153 //// 042043 043 036 008 01
114800 1713N 06257W 8429 01562 //// +150 //// 044040 043 035 007 01
114830 1712N 06256W 8433 01557 //// +149 //// 047041 041 034 004 01
114900 1710N 06255W 8428 01562 //// +151 //// 044039 040 031 006 01
114930 1709N 06254W 8432 01556 //// +150 //// 043039 039 036 004 01
115000 1708N 06253W 8434 01553 //// +154 //// 046037 037 033 005 01
115030 1707N 06252W 8426 01561 //// +153 //// 043036 038 035 006 01
115100 1706N 06250W 8433 01551 //// +147 //// 044036 038 036 006 01
115130 1705N 06249W 8429 01557 //// +155 //// 037033 035 035 003 01
115200 1703N 06248W 8431 01552 //// +155 //// 031031 032 034 003 01
115230 1702N 06247W 8434 01548 //// +153 //// 031027 033 033 004 01
115300 1701N 06245W 8422 01558 //// +157 //// 042023 024 033 002 01
115330 1700N 06244W 8429 01548 //// +160 //// 036025 026 032 005 01
115400 1659N 06243W 8421 01563 //// +156 //// 037026 028 032 006 01
$$
;

[cycloneye]

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM IRENE INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 3A
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092011
800 AM AST SUN AUG 21 2011

...IRENE MOVING INTO THE NORTHEASTERN CARIBBEAN SEA...


SUMMARY OF 800 AM AST...1200 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...16.5N 62.0W
ABOUT 35 MI...55 KM WNW OF GUADELOUPE
ABOUT 45 MI...70 KM SSW OF ANTIGUA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 280 DEGREES AT 21 MPH...33 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB...29.68 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE GOVERNMENT OF BARBADOS HAS DISCONTINUED THE TROPICAL STORM
WARNING FOR DOMINICA.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* SOUTHERN COAST OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM CABO ENGANO WESTWARD
TO THE HAITI BORDER

A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* PUERTO RICO...VIEQUES...AND CULEBRA

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* PUERTO RICO...U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS...VIEQUES...AND CULEBRA
* SABA...ST. EUSTATIUS...ST. MAARTEN...ST. MARTIN...AND ST.
BARTHELEMY
* ANTIGUA...BARBUDA...ST. KITTS...NEVIS...ANGUILLA...MONTSERRAT
* BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS
* NORTHERN COAST OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM THE HAITI BORDER
EASTWARD TO NORTH OF CABO ENGANO

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* HAITI


A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. A WARNING IS TYPICALLY ISSUED
36 HOURS BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF
TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS...CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE
PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR DANGEROUS. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE
AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.

A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN 24 HOURS.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN
24 TO 36 HOURS.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN 36 TO 48 HOURS.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA IN THE UNITED
STATES...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE
MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
FORECAST OFFICE. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA OUTSIDE
THE UNITED STATES...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL
METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 800 AM AST...1200 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM IRENE WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 16.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 62.0 WEST. IRENE IS
MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 21 MPH...33 KM/H...AND A MOTION TOWARD
THE WEST OR WEST-NORTHWEST AT A SLOWER RATE OF SPEED IS EXPECTED
DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...IRENE WILL PASS
NEAR PUERTO RICO TONIGHT OR EARLY MONDAY AND APPROACH THE DOMINICAN
REPUBLIC ON MONDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 50 MPH...85
KM/H...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING
THE NEXT DAY OR SO...AND IRENE COULD BECOME A HURRICANE ON MONDAY.

TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 150 MILES...240 KM
FROM THE CENTER...MAINLY TO THE NORTH OF THE CENTER.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1005 MB...29.68 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED IN THE LEEWARD ISLANDS
TODAY. TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN THIS
AFTERNOON IN THE VIRGIN ISLANDS AND PUERTO RICO...AND IN THE
DOMINICAN REPUBLIC BY MONDAY AFTERNOON. HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE OVER PUERTO RICO...VIEQUES...AND CULEBRA TONIGHT...AND ARE
EXPECTED OVER THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC BY LATE MONDAY.

RAINFALL...IRENE IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS
OF 4 TO 7 INCHES IN THE LEEWARD ISLANDS...PUERTO RICO AND THE
VIRGIN ISLANDS...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF UP TO 10 INCHES.
TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 6 TO 10 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS
THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC AND HAITI...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF
20 INCHES POSSIBLE. THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH
FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES IN AREAS OF STEEP TERRAIN.

STORM SURGE...A STORM SURGE WILL RAISE WATER LEVELS BY AS MUCH AS
3 TO 5 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS ALONG THE SOUTHERN COAST OF THE
DOMINICAN REPUBLIC. A STORM SURGE OF 1 TO 3 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE
LEVELS IS EXPECTED ALONG THE IMMEDIATE COAST IN THE TROPICAL STORM
WARNING AREA. NEAR THE COAST...THE SURGE WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY
LARGE AND DANGEROUS WAVES.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 AM AST.

$$
FORECASTER KIMBERLAIN/PASCH

[tolakram]

000
URNT15 KNHC 211204
AF300 0209A IRENE HDOB 11 20110821
115430 1659N 06243W 8421 01563 //// +157 //// 037025 025 029 001 01
115500 1656N 06241W 8437 01545 //// +153 //// 040022 024 027 002 01
115530 1655N 06239W 8429 01552 //// +151 //// 041019 020 028 000 01
115600 1654N 06238W 8427 01554 //// +162 //// 042016 018 028 001 01
115630 1653N 06237W 8436 01545 //// +171 //// 039013 014 027 002 01
115700 1652N 06235W 8429 01553 //// +170 //// 044013 014 026 002 01
115730 1651N 06234W 8428 01553 //// +168 //// 028012 013 027 000 01
115800 1651N 06232W 8432 01550 //// +175 //// 360011 012 026 001 01
115830 1650N 06231W 8431 01551 //// +169 //// 358012 015 028 001 01
115900 1649N 06229W 8430 01552 //// +159 //// 012023 026 025 002 01
115930 1648N 06227W 8433 01548 //// +163 //// 016017 020 025 001 01
120000 1648N 06226W 8429 01551 //// +160 //// 359007 012 023 001 01
120030 1647N 06224W 8424 01554 //// +150 //// 308003 004 026 007 01
120100 1646N 06223W 8426 01551 //// +158 //// 292005 005 024 006 01
120130 1646N 06221W 8432 01546 //// +164 //// 245006 006 022 005 01
120200 1645N 06220W 8430 01547 //// +164 //// 239005 006 022 006 01
120230 1644N 06218W 8432 01546 //// +165 //// 230007 008 022 001 01
120300 1643N 06216W 8428 01551 //// +165 //// 219009 009 018 002 01
120330 1643N 06215W 8428 01548 //// +165 //// 214011 012 018 002 01
120400 1642N 06213W 8433 01542 //// +162 //// 210012 013 060 009 05
$$
;

How to read: http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouthdobs_2007.shtml

[tolakram]

[tolakram]

000
URNT15 KNHC 211214
AF300 0209A IRENE HDOB 12 20110821
120430 1641N 06212W 8425 01551 //// +158 //// 215012 012 /// /// 05
120500 1640N 06213W 8425 01551 //// +160 //// 201010 011 015 003 05
120530 1641N 06215W 8437 01540 //// +160 //// 190010 011 017 004 01
120600 1643N 06216W 8427 01552 //// +166 //// 194007 007 016 002 01
120630 1644N 06218W 8425 01552 //// +168 //// 194004 005 019 003 01
120700 1645N 06219W 8433 01543 //// +163 //// 204004 004 021 005 05
120730 1646N 06220W 8425 01552 //// +163 //// 222003 003 022 003 01
120800 1646N 06222W 8427 01550 //// +167 //// 352001 003 018 003 05
120830 1648N 06223W 8432 01542 //// +162 //// 249000 003 /// /// 05
120900 1648N 06222W 8432 01541 //// +160 //// 235004 006 /// /// 05
120930 1647N 06220W 8434 01541 //// +161 //// 238008 009 011 005 05
121000 1646N 06219W 8427 01550 //// +162 //// 238009 009 020 003 01
121030 1645N 06218W 8433 01545 //// +163 //// 222010 011 021 004 01
121100 1644N 06217W 8425 01552 //// +167 //// 215010 011 016 002 01
121130 1643N 06215W 8432 01546 //// +164 //// 214014 015 016 002 01
121200 1642N 06214W 8433 01546 //// +167 //// 212016 017 018 001 01
121230 1640N 06213W 8423 01557 //// +165 //// 214017 018 017 003 01
121300 1639N 06212W 8430 01551 //// +162 //// 211016 017 011 004 01
121330 1638N 06211W 8424 01558 //// +163 //// 209015 016 017 002 05
121400 1637N 06210W 8436 01547 //// +165 //// 210018 020 012 002 01
$$
;

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouthdobs_2007.shtml

[tolakram]

[CourierPR]

Yes, stay safe Luis. Intensifying systems can often be deceptive - for instance Katrina did more damage in Miami than her marginal category 1 status at that time would have suggested she could.

as did Wilma in Broward and Palm Beach County

[tolakram]

000
URNT15 KNHC 211224
AF300 0209A IRENE HDOB 13 20110821
121430 1636N 06208W 8432 01552 //// +168 //// 208019 020 016 001 01
121500 1635N 06207W 8425 01559 //// +170 //// 206020 021 020 001 01
121530 1633N 06206W 8436 01550 //// +170 //// 208021 021 020 002 01
121600 1632N 06205W 8426 01560 //// +170 //// 211021 022 023 003 01
121630 1631N 06204W 8430 01556 //// +167 //// 214022 022 025 004 01
121700 1630N 06203W 8432 01554 //// +170 //// 216021 022 026 005 01
121730 1629N 06201W 8436 01552 //// +171 //// 215020 020 028 003 01
121800 1628N 06200W 8430 01558 //// +165 //// 214020 021 028 003 01
121830 1626N 06159W 8429 01559 //// +165 //// 215019 019 027 004 01
121900 1625N 06158W 8430 01558 //// +164 //// 217019 019 024 004 01
121930 1624N 06157W 8429 01559 //// +161 //// 220019 020 025 001 01
122000 1623N 06156W 8384 01601 //// +157 //// 221019 020 026 001 01
122030 1622N 06154W 8189 01804 //// +152 //// 224021 021 024 001 01
122100 1621N 06153W 8038 01966 //// +154 //// 223020 021 027 001 01
122130 1619N 06152W 7891 02122 //// +145 //// 217020 021 027 001 05
122200 1618N 06151W 7824 02199 //// +145 //// 210022 022 023 002 01
122230 1617N 06150W 7816 02210 //// +143 //// 201022 022 025 002 05
122300 1616N 06148W 7816 02209 //// +145 //// 196022 022 /// /// 05
122330 1615N 06147W 7820 02206 //// +143 //// 195022 022 /// /// 05
122400 1613N 06146W 7816 02211 //// +140 //// 199020 021 /// /// 05
$$
;

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouthdobs_2007.shtml