ATL: IRENE - Models

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Kory
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#1101 Postby Kory » Fri Aug 19, 2011 11:15 pm

The GFS is not wanting to move the death ridge over Texas as fast as it has been.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 97L - Models

#1102 Postby DESTRUCTION5 » Fri Aug 19, 2011 11:17 pm

Image

Cubas turn to take the beating at 108
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#1103 Postby ROCK » Fri Aug 19, 2011 11:17 pm

Kory wrote:The GFS is not wanting to move the death ridge over Texas as fast as it has been.


thanks Kory for that analysis.... :roll: :lol: just kidding...

wait for it though...
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Re: ATL: INVEST 97L - Models

#1104 Postby ROCK » Fri Aug 19, 2011 11:18 pm

DESTRUCTION5 wrote:Image

Cubas turn to take the beating at 108




there is its escape route and it aint taking it....
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Re: ATL: INVEST 97L - Models

#1105 Postby Vortex » Fri Aug 19, 2011 11:18 pm

H+108 over eastern Cuba...

http://raleighwx.americanwx.com/models/ ... cal108.gif
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Re: ATL: INVEST 97L - Models

#1106 Postby DESTRUCTION5 » Fri Aug 19, 2011 11:19 pm

Image

114 hrs gonna be East shift here
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Re: ATL: INVEST 97L - Models

#1107 Postby Riptide » Fri Aug 19, 2011 11:19 pm

Weakness near the Great Lakes coming down to sweep this away, probably not in time for Florida.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 97L - Models

#1108 Postby Ivanhater » Fri Aug 19, 2011 11:19 pm

It may take it this run
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Re: ATL: INVEST 97L - Models

#1109 Postby ROCK » Fri Aug 19, 2011 11:19 pm

still though north of Jam but south of Cuba? hard to tell

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#1110 Postby Vortex » Fri Aug 19, 2011 11:20 pm

H+114 turning more wnw/nw over eastern cuba looks like FL again...




http://raleighwx.americanwx.com/models/ ... cal114.gif
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Re: ATL: INVEST 97L - Models

#1111 Postby DESTRUCTION5 » Fri Aug 19, 2011 11:20 pm

Image

Spine tingling for Cuba
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Re: ATL: INVEST 97L - Models

#1112 Postby Ivanhater » Fri Aug 19, 2011 11:20 pm

Ridging definitly weaker this run
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#1113 Postby gatorcane » Fri Aug 19, 2011 11:20 pm

it's slightly more east on this run by day 4-5...but not by much from the 18Z...gonna be a close call if it takes the trough north or not....
Last edited by gatorcane on Fri Aug 19, 2011 11:22 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 97L - Models

#1114 Postby ROCK » Fri Aug 19, 2011 11:21 pm

wide open

Image
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#1115 Postby Vortex » Fri Aug 19, 2011 11:22 pm

H+120 wnw/nw feeling the weakness...looks FL bound???


http://raleighwx.americanwx.com/models/ ... cal120.gif
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Re: ATL: INVEST 97L - Models

#1116 Postby DESTRUCTION5 » Fri Aug 19, 2011 11:22 pm

Image

I dont care what these say this path would ruin it..
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Re:

#1117 Postby Ivanhater » Fri Aug 19, 2011 11:22 pm

gatorcane wrote:it's slightly more east on this run by day 4-5...but not by much from the 18Z...gonna be a close call if it takes the trough north or not....


oh its taking it this run
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Re:

#1118 Postby Rgv20 » Fri Aug 19, 2011 11:22 pm

Kory wrote:The GFS is not wanting to move the death ridge over Texas as fast as it has been.


Sadly it has been the theme this summer with long range guidance in showing the ridge braking down but never verifying.......but its going to have to give up sometime.. :cry:
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Re: ATL: INVEST 97L - Models

#1119 Postby DESTRUCTION5 » Fri Aug 19, 2011 11:23 pm

Image

Yikes 132
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Re: ATL: INVEST 97L - Models

#1120 Postby ROCK » Fri Aug 19, 2011 11:23 pm

creeping at 126hr over the mountains of Cuba....should be weakening....
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