ATL : HARVEY - Tropical Depression - Discussion

[supercane]

[Macrocane]

In IR looks like Harvey may have made landfall but I guess it has not, the convection is pretty intense in its little core.

[ozonepete]

BIG pop right over the center.

[supercane]

Hi supercane I'm back I can help you with the observations again if you want.

Yes, please do. Will probably take a break myself in a little bit after the upcoming center pass.

[supercane]

[Macrocane]

000
URNT15 KNHC 200040
AF308 0408A HARVEY HDOB 28 20110820
003030 1628N 08433W 8433 01546 //// +158 //// 121032 033 031 000 01
003100 1627N 08435W 8426 01552 //// +159 //// 119033 034 032 001 05
003130 1626N 08436W 8432 01546 //// +164 //// 118034 034 032 002 01
003200 1625N 08437W 8434 01544 //// +161 //// 118037 038 033 001 01
003230 1624N 08439W 8426 01550 //// +168 //// 112040 042 034 001 01
003300 1622N 08440W 8429 01546 //// +171 //// 115043 044 033 001 05
003330 1621N 08442W 8427 01544 //// +173 //// 108042 044 034 001 01
003400 1620N 08443W 8425 01542 //// +176 //// 108041 043 035 000 05
003430 1619N 08444W 8429 01536 //// +186 //// 104045 045 037 001 05
003500 1617N 08446W 8430 01533 //// +191 //// 101046 047 039 000 05
003530 1616N 08447W 8429 01528 //// +191 //// 099044 045 041 001 05
003600 1615N 08448W 8432 01520 //// +186 //// 095042 043 040 001 05
003630 1613N 08449W 8427 01522 //// +186 //// 094044 046 042 001 05
003700 1612N 08450W 8440 01501 //// +185 //// 083040 042 048 001 05
003730 1610N 08451W 8433 01506 //// +200 //// 065033 035 041 001 05
003800 1608N 08451W 8425 01511 //// +189 //// 044024 030 025 001 05
003830 1607N 08450W 8441 01489 //// +188 //// 022019 023 014 001 01
003900 1605N 08450W 8421 01507 //// +193 //// 332017 019 024 001 05
003930 1604N 08448W 8435 01486 //// +197 //// 289022 025 040 005 05
004000 1605N 08447W 8432 01483 //// +165 //// 269020 028 /// /// 05
$$
;

[KWT]

Its funny how both 97L and Harvey both have had a convective flare-up near their centers at the same time.

[Macrocane]

000
URNT15 KNHC 200050
AF308 0408A HARVEY HDOB 29 20110820
004030 1607N 08446W 8454 01450 //// +148 //// 125030 040 049 043 05
004100 1609N 08447W 8409 01508 //// +193 //// 096044 046 061 011 05
004130 1610N 08448W 8428 01497 //// +197 //// 086050 052 054 006 05
004200 1611N 08450W 8430 01511 //// +192 //// 086048 049 044 000 05
004230 1613N 08451W 8429 01513 //// +187 //// 080046 047 046 000 05
004300 1614N 08453W 8430 01518 //// +181 //// 086044 046 042 001 05
004330 1615N 08454W 8427 01525 //// +185 //// 085043 043 042 001 05
004400 1616N 08455W 8431 01525 //// +189 //// 082046 047 040 000 05
004430 1618N 08457W 8421 01537 //// +185 //// 084048 049 039 000 05
004500 1619N 08458W 8434 01525 //// +181 //// 087048 049 033 000 05
004530 1620N 08500W 8425 01539 //// +183 //// 089044 045 033 001 05
004600 1622N 08501W 8435 01533 //// +186 //// 090040 042 031 001 05
004630 1623N 08502W 8425 01542 //// +183 //// 091038 039 032 001 01
004700 1624N 08504W 8294 01675 //// +171 //// 086038 040 /// /// 05
004730 1626N 08505W 8032 01951 //// +158 //// 080041 042 /// /// 05
004800 1627N 08506W 7765 02242 //// +144 //// 075037 038 /// /// 05
004830 1628N 08507W 7495 02527 //// +128 //// 073035 036 /// /// 05
004900 1630N 08508W 7214 02851 //// +108 //// 069034 034 /// /// 05
004930 1631N 08510W 6984 03128 //// +090 //// 067034 034 027 002 05
005000 1633N 08511W 6969 03151 //// +093 //// 066034 035 029 002 05
$$
;

[Adoquín]

Its funny how both 97L and Harvey both have had a convective flare-up near their centers at the same time.

moving west at at 9 mph will not be funny by the time it gets to Belize...already at 50 mph could be a Fifi like situation for Belize in terms of the flooding at least

[ozonepete]

More wow with this storm. Look at that blow-up. This is proof that you have to be really careful when analyzing land interaction.

[Macrocane]

Take a look at the strong convection in Nicaragua, Gautemala and El Salvador too. It's still not raining in my house but I can hear the thunders and see the lightnings in the horizon.

[Macrocane]

000
URNT15 KNHC 200100
AF308 0408A HARVEY HDOB 30 20110820
005030 1634N 08512W 6970 03150 //// +093 //// 067034 035 025 002 05
005100 1636N 08513W 6966 03155 //// +088 //// 068034 035 031 001 05
005130 1637N 08515W 6967 03154 //// +090 //// 067035 036 031 004 01
005200 1638N 08516W 6971 03149 //// +076 //// 073035 037 032 011 05
005230 1639N 08518W 6960 03168 //// +073 //// 068030 033 035 009 01
005300 1641N 08519W 6958 03167 //// +086 //// 070029 031 034 009 01
005330 1642N 08521W 6967 03157 //// +090 //// 071030 031 024 001 01
005400 1643N 08522W 6967 03157 //// +085 //// 077029 030 020 000 05
005430 1644N 08524W 6967 03157 //// +078 //// 078030 031 019 000 05
005500 1646N 08525W 6966 03162 //// +074 //// 076030 030 022 006 05
005530 1646N 08527W 6963 03161 //// +083 //// 073028 030 024 005 05
005600 1648N 08529W 6964 03160 //// +073 //// 074028 030 029 010 05
005630 1649N 08530W 6965 03161 //// +066 //// 065027 029 030 008 01
005700 1650N 08532W 6967 03157 //// +081 //// 068029 029 024 004 05
005730 1651N 08533W 6967 03160 //// +078 //// 061034 037 022 002 05
005800 1653N 08534W 6965 03159 //// +075 //// 054026 033 027 006 01
005830 1654N 08536W 6965 03163 //// +085 //// 071021 022 023 003 05
005900 1655N 08537W 6968 03159 //// +077 //// 067022 023 020 004 01
005930 1657N 08538W 6970 03156 //// +077 //// 055029 032 015 005 01
010000 1658N 08540W 6966 03163 //// +090 //// 061033 034 012 003 01
$$

[RL3AO]

URNT12 KNHC 200102
VORTEX DATA MESSAGE AL082011
A. 20/00:40:10Z
B. 16 deg 06 min N
084 deg 46 min W
C. 850 mb 1413 m
D. 43 kt
E. 321 deg 6 nm
F. 100 deg 46 kt
G. 003 deg 11 nm
H. 998 mb
I. 16 C / 1528 m
J. 20 C / 1527 m
K. NA / NA
L. NA
M. NA
N. 12345 / 08
O. 0.02 / 1 nm
P. AF308 0408A HARVEY OB 11
MAX OUTBOUND AND MAX FL WIND 52 KT NW QUAD 00:41:40Z
MAX SFC WND OUTBOUND 61 KTS, 345/03 FM FL CNTR, NW QUAD, 00:41:10Z
GOOD BANDING WEST SIDE APPROX 30 NM FM FL CNTR
;

[supercane]

[ozonepete]

Take a look at the strong convection in Nicaragua, Gautemala and El Salvador too. It's still not raining in my house but I can hear the thunders and see the lightnings in the horizon.

Wow, yeah. They are getting creamed! Stay safe out there please and let us know how it's going.

[RL3AO]

VDM

MAX OUTBOUND AND MAX FL WIND 52 KT NW QUAD 00:41:40Z
MAX SFC WND OUTBOUND 61 KTS, 345/03 FM FL CNTR, NW QUAD, 00:41:10Z
GOOD BANDING WEST SIDE APPROX 30 NM FM FL CNTR

Also recon has ascended to 700mb.

[ozonepete]

uh oh. and this isn't even over the more open waters yet.

[Adoquín]

yep and a slow mover.

[Macrocane]

Is the mission over? or are they going to make more passes?

000
URNT15 KNHC 200110
AF308 0408A HARVEY HDOB 31 20110820
010030 1659N 08541W 6970 03160 //// +091 //// 062033 034 004 001 05
010100 1700N 08543W 6967 03165 //// +087 //// 063031 032 004 000 05
010130 1701N 08545W 6966 03165 //// +086 //// 057029 029 /// /// 05
010200 1659N 08546W 6966 03166 //// +090 //// 055027 027 006 001 05
010230 1657N 08546W 6969 03162 //// +087 //// 053026 027 008 002 05
010300 1655N 08547W 6970 03161 //// +071 //// 052027 028 019 005 05
010330 1653N 08547W 6966 03167 //// +077 //// 049027 028 019 005 01
010400 1652N 08548W 6963 03166 //// +079 //// 048027 028 022 004 01
010430 1650N 08548W 6967 03165 //// +081 //// 052028 029 023 004 01
010500 1648N 08549W 6961 03171 //// +084 //// 042028 029 023 001 01
010530 1646N 08549W 6967 03163 //// +082 //// 032025 026 018 002 05
010600 1644N 08550W 6970 03161 //// +078 //// 035025 026 014 003 05
010630 1643N 08552W 6964 03169 //// +079 //// 052025 027 016 005 01
010700 1641N 08553W 6966 03166 //// +066 //// 048025 027 016 005 01
010730 1639N 08554W 6971 03160 //// +057 //// 040023 025 021 005 01
010800 1637N 08555W 6966 03167 //// +058 //// 040027 028 023 008 05
010830 1636N 08556W 6973 03157 //// +056 //// 037023 023 022 005 01
010900 1634N 08557W 6965 03169 //// +076 //// 040024 025 019 004 01
010930 1632N 08558W 6968 03166 //// +070 //// 043023 024 014 004 01
011000 1630N 08559W 6966 03169 //// +083 //// 040021 023 011 002 01
$$
;

[supercane]

Plane ascending to 700 mb and heading away is a good sign that this mission is likely over.