ATL: EMILY - Remnants

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#8421 Postby artist » Sat Aug 06, 2011 1:28 pm

000
URNT15 KNHC 061826
AF307 1405A INVEST HDOB 11 20110806
181630 2707N 08035W 4463 06809 0408 -110 -234 101013 013 /// /// 03
181700 2707N 08032W 4464 06808 0407 -110 -229 098012 013 /// /// 03
181730 2706N 08029W 4463 06809 0406 -110 -223 093011 012 /// /// 03
181800 2705N 08026W 4463 06808 0406 -107 -233 093012 013 /// /// 03
181830 2705N 08024W 4464 06806 0406 -105 -225 095012 012 /// /// 03
181900 2704N 08021W 4464 06804 0405 -107 -232 089013 014 /// /// 03
181930 2703N 08018W 4464 06803 0404 -105 -243 088014 014 /// /// 03
182000 2703N 08015W 4464 06804 0404 -105 -238 092014 015 /// /// 03
182030 2702N 08012W 4463 06806 0404 -105 -249 088013 013 /// /// 03
182100 2701N 08009W 4463 06806 0405 -104 -178 088013 013 /// /// 03
182130 2701N 08006W 4463 06806 0406 -105 -144 091015 015 /// /// 03
182200 2700N 08003W 4462 06809 0406 -101 -136 097017 017 /// /// 03
182230 2659N 08000W 4464 06805 0405 -100 -134 094017 018 /// /// 03
182300 2659N 07957W 4464 06801 0402 -104 -129 095015 016 /// /// 03
182330 2658N 07955W 4464 06803 0403 -104 -127 104015 016 /// /// 03
182400 2657N 07952W 4466 06801 0411 -102 -134 098013 014 /// /// 03
182430 2656N 07949W 4708 06425 0411 -084 -124 054010 012 /// /// 03
182500 2656N 07946W 5108 05798 0380 -053 -167 024012 013 /// /// 03
182530 2655N 07943W 5455 05271 0344 -018 -145 006011 013 /// /// 03
182600 2654N 07940W 5825 04752 0194 +016 -152 004015 016 /// /// 03
$$
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Re: ATL: EMILY - Remnants - Discussion

#8422 Postby jinftl » Sat Aug 06, 2011 1:29 pm

Is this legit? Observations out of Elbow Cay, Abaco Island, Bahamas:

Wind SW 37mph as of 2:22 pm edt observation (7 minutes ago)

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http://www.wunderground.com/weatherstat ... =IABACOEL1
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Re: ATL: Ex EMILY - Recon

#8423 Postby HURAKAN » Sat Aug 06, 2011 1:30 pm

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Re: ATL: Ex EMILY - Recon

#8424 Postby artist » Sat Aug 06, 2011 1:30 pm

Blown Away wrote:I need to go outside they will go right over me! :lol:

looks like they will just hit me after you! :cheesy:
We can wave! :lol: Think they'll notice??
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Re: ATL: EMILY - Remnants - Discussion

#8425 Postby cycloneye » Sat Aug 06, 2011 1:31 pm

18z Best Track

AL, 05, 2011080618, , BEST, 0,260N, 780W , 25, 1012, LO

ftp://ftp.tpc.ncep.noaa.gov/atcf/tcweb/ ... 011.invest
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Re: ATL: EMILY - Remnants - Discussion

#8426 Postby AdamFirst » Sat Aug 06, 2011 1:34 pm

cycloneye wrote:18z Best Track

AL, 05, 2011080618, , BEST, 0,260N, 780W , 25, 1012, LO

ftp://ftp.tpc.ncep.noaa.gov/atcf/tcweb/ ... 011.invest


Where was the location at 12z?
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Re: ATL: Ex EMILY - Recon

#8427 Postby HURAKAN » Sat Aug 06, 2011 1:34 pm

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#8428 Postby SouthDadeFish » Sat Aug 06, 2011 1:35 pm

Center looks to be moving WNW/NW on visible loops, but they may be deceiving due to upper-level wind flow:

http://rammb.cira.colostate.edu/ramsdis ... _floater_1
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Re: ATL: EMILY - Remnants - Discussion

#8429 Postby cycloneye » Sat Aug 06, 2011 1:35 pm

AdamFirst wrote:
cycloneye wrote:18z Best Track

AL, 05, 2011080618, , BEST, 0,260N, 780W , 25, 1012, LO

ftp://ftp.tpc.ncep.noaa.gov/atcf/tcweb/ ... 011.invest


Where was the location at 12z?


256N, 780W
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Re: ATL: EMILY - Remnants - Discussion

#8430 Postby Aric Dunn » Sat Aug 06, 2011 1:35 pm

cycloneye wrote:18z Best Track

AL, 05, 2011080618, , BEST, 0,260N, 780W , 25, 1012, LO

ftp://ftp.tpc.ncep.noaa.gov/atcf/tcweb/ ... 011.invest


seems a bit to far east. I would have gone with

26N 78.6W
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#8431 Postby northjaxpro » Sat Aug 06, 2011 1:37 pm

We will know very shortly SouthDadeFish from Recon, but I still am inclined to think a very slow drift NW for now.
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Re: ATL: EMILY - Remnants - Discussion

#8432 Postby Canelaw99 » Sat Aug 06, 2011 1:38 pm

Currently experiencing some loud, cracking thunder overhead....gotta love S Fl storms
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#8433 Postby NDG » Sat Aug 06, 2011 1:41 pm

Recon is now 65 miles NW of suspected COC.
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#8434 Postby artist » Sat Aug 06, 2011 1:42 pm

000
URNT15 KNHC 061836
AF307 1405A INVEST HDOB 12 20110806
182630 2654N 07937W 6297 04098 0179 +049 -085 331011 012 /// /// 03
182700 2653N 07934W 6726 03554 0164 +086 -019 322013 013 /// /// 03
182730 2652N 07931W 6966 03239 0134 +108 +005 338011 011 /// /// 03
182800 2652N 07928W 6975 03221 0123 +110 +024 344011 012 /// /// 03
182830 2651N 07926W 6972 03217 0114 +110 +024 346013 013 /// /// 03
182900 2651N 07924W 6956 03235 0112 +110 +027 348012 012 /// /// 03
182930 2650N 07922W 6963 03227 0114 +110 +028 349012 013 /// /// 03
183000 2650N 07920W 6974 03214 0117 +101 +081 354013 014 /// /// 03
183030 2649N 07918W 6975 03210 0115 +099 +093 346017 018 /// /// 03
183100 2649N 07916W 6974 03212 0124 +090 //// 347016 017 /// /// 05
183130 2648N 07914W 6977 03207 0128 +086 //// 355015 017 /// /// 05
183200 2648N 07912W 6967 03217 0123 +095 +070 357015 016 /// /// 03
183230 2647N 07910W 6967 03221 0121 +096 +069 359017 018 /// /// 03
183300 2647N 07908W 6974 03213 0122 +091 +085 002018 019 /// /// 03
183330 2646N 07906W 6985 03202 0125 +097 +092 000017 018 /// /// 03
183400 2646N 07904W 7160 03005 0147 +097 //// 009014 016 /// /// 05
183430 2645N 07902W 7322 02813 0148 +110 +096 004016 019 /// /// 03
183500 2645N 07900W 7581 02524 0148 +127 +096 002016 017 /// /// 03
183530 2644N 07858W 7832 02247 0152 +131 +131 002012 013 /// /// 03
183600 2644N 07856W 7831 02229 0119 +146 +142 004015 016 /// /// 03
$$
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Re: ATL: Ex EMILY - Recon

#8435 Postby HURAKAN » Sat Aug 06, 2011 1:47 pm

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#8436 Postby AdamFirst » Sat Aug 06, 2011 1:47 pm

That rain shield is so close yet so far...
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#8437 Postby artist » Sat Aug 06, 2011 1:48 pm

000
URNT15 KNHC 061846
AF307 1405A INVEST HDOB 13 20110806
183630 2643N 07854W 7826 02233 0127 +132 //// 350013 015 /// /// 05
183700 2643N 07853W 7814 02249 0125 +137 //// 003013 013 /// /// 05
183730 2643N 07851W 7819 02244 0122 +143 //// 019011 012 /// /// 05
183800 2642N 07849W 7822 02238 0118 +145 //// 024012 013 /// /// 05
183830 2642N 07847W 7821 02238 0119 +144 //// 023012 013 /// /// 05
183900 2641N 07845W 7824 02234 0122 +140 //// 031011 011 /// /// 05
183930 2641N 07843W 7831 02228 0121 +142 //// 029014 014 /// /// 05
184000 2640N 07842W 7827 02230 0118 +145 +144 026014 014 /// /// 03
184030 2640N 07840W 7820 02239 0119 +146 +138 022013 013 /// /// 03
184100 2639N 07838W 7831 02229 0120 +149 +127 018013 013 /// /// 03
184130 2640N 07837W 7832 02228 0120 +149 +122 024013 013 /// /// 03
184200 2642N 07837W 7832 02228 0121 +148 +121 032014 014 /// /// 03
184230 2642N 07839W 7836 02224 0123 +143 +142 026014 014 /// /// 03
184300 2641N 07840W 7838 02222 0124 +141 //// 021014 014 /// /// 05
184330 2639N 07840W 7840 02219 0121 +147 +139 021013 014 /// /// 03
184400 2638N 07838W 7845 02216 0119 +152 +117 019013 014 /// /// 03
184430 2638N 07836W 7843 02217 0126 +140 +135 006012 013 /// /// 03
184500 2638N 07834W 7835 02224 0132 +133 +132 350012 013 /// /// 03
184530 2638N 07832W 7834 02224 0144 +117 //// 337010 013 /// /// 05
184600 2637N 07831W 7826 02234 0125 +132 //// 000006 008 /// /// 05
$$
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#8438 Postby HenkL » Sat Aug 06, 2011 1:49 pm

A ship is reporting 32 kt wind at 18Z.
SS El Morro (call sign KCGH), position 26.9N 76.2W.

(not always reliable, as we now)
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Re: ATL: Ex EMILY - Recon Discussion

#8439 Postby dwsqos2 » Sat Aug 06, 2011 1:50 pm

I thought the plane would descend more, but it's flying near the 780 mb level. That seems rather high for a system this weak.
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#8440 Postby NDG » Sat Aug 06, 2011 1:51 pm

Anybody else wondering why recon is flying so high, over 7K feet.
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