ATL: EMILY - Remnants

[HURAKAN]

wind shift in the Bahamas, could be a very small LLC or just a trough ... in my opinion

[KWT]

I suspect it maybe a poorly defined LLC there Hurakan judging from the Vis.loops, recon will tell the story when they fly in a little later.

[cpdaman]

we need some low level convergence to go BOOM

one can be excused for looking at this loop and saying ...."oh boy" something is hatching in our backyard

http://aviationweather.gov/adds/satelli ... &itype=vis

[Aric Dunn]

I mean its way more organized than yesterday. going to take just a little longer to develop a well defined LLC

[cpdaman]

I mean its way more organized than yesterday. going to take just a little longer to develop a well defined LLC

aric where do you think this thing will be located by about midnite tonite.....i mean looks to be moving VERY slow now....just wondering what your thoughts are on movement over next 12-18 hours

also at this time can you tell if this is /(would likely be) a relatively small (size wise system) Thank you for any reply. B/c as we know with small system's intensity forecasts are extremely sketchy once they are in good enviornment

[artist]

Nassau International Airport obs -
http://www.wrh.noaa.gov/zoa/getobext.ph ... banner=off

pressure is rather high at 1015
winds out of the SW @ 12

[Aric Dunn]

I mean its way more organized than yesterday. going to take just a little longer to develop a well defined LLC

aric where do you think this thing will be located by about midnite tonite.....i mean looks to be moving VERY slow now....just wondering what your thoughts are on movement over next 12-18 hours

also at this time can you tell if this is a relatively small (size wise system) Thank you for any reply. B/c as we know with small system's intensity forecasts are extremely sketchy once they are in good enviornment

well everything suggest NNW to N for the next 12 hours or so.. but right now its more NW... I think it might make it a little farther west before lifting out..
yeah its definitely a small system

[crimi481]

Miami long range radar - seems to indicate a slow west (even slightly south of west) moement.
Not sure if there is anything strong enough to pull system north.?
http://radar.weather.gov/radar.php?rid= ... 1&loop=yes

May sit close to Fl E. Coast -and grow bigger?

[NDG]

This is where I put the approximate location of the suspect LLC developing, in the last frames of the vis loop you can clearly see an inflow of low clouds from the SW.
And NE winds east of Miami in the northern Bahamas, confirmed by surface reports.
I give it a greater than 50% that the recon will find a closed circulation, question is if they will find strong enough winds, if convection still around, they might. As MIA radar vilocity shows 30-35 knots in the area of convection.

[wxman57]

By midnight tonight it should be about 150 miles east of Cape Canaveral (a bit north of 28N) and turning NE - heading out to sea.

[Kory]

The remnants of Emily are very slowly drifting to the NW it appears. If this gets close to the coast, some of the bands could produce flooding rain. She is coming back to life.


The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.

[mutley]

Miami long range radar - seems to indicate a slow west (even slightly south of west) moement.
Not sure if there is anything strong enough to pull system north.?
http://radar.weather.gov/radar.php?rid= ... 1&loop=yes

May sit close to Fl E. Coast -and grow bigger?

It's definitely going nowhere fast, at the moment anyway. Thunderstorms are staying pretty consistent too. I think it's interesting enough to keep an eye on through the day. You never know with this girl.

[cpdaman]

thank you

[Kory]

The only thing that may inhibit her from developing again the some shear coming in on the north and east side and some dry air to her southwest which in time may get ingested.

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.

[x-y-no]

Dead calm at Ft. Lauderdale beach all morning. Outflow cirrus shield is not quite overhead yet, but getting close ... getting some towering cumulus blooming over the Gulf Stream to the SE.

[artist]

Bimini Islands have a calm wind which is located just a tad northwest of Andros Island. 29.97 Pressure

[artist]

here is a map -


Freeport right now has winds out of the NNE and 29.95 pressure

[Kory]

Some squalls are moving in from the northeast toward Ft. Lauderdale and Miami. Some gusty winds and brief heavy rainfall is possible with these storms.

[NDG]

Bimini Islands have a calm wind which is located just a tad northwest of Andros Island. 29.97 Pressure

I see the only wx station through wunderground reporting NW to W winds all morning long, currently out of the west.

http://www.wunderground.com/weatherstation/WXDailyHistory.asp?ID=IBIMINIA2

[Frank2]

Weather here this morning is fine - light winds and multilayered clouds to the east...

MIA radar shows that one area of rain with embedded cells, but really nothing to get excited over...

True, on satellite it seems better organized - but that's not saying too much...

Frank