WPAC: MUIFA (Kabayan) - Tropical Depression

rdhdstpchld · #601 Postby **rdhdstpchld** » Thu Aug 04, 2011 7:30 am

Yep - getting pretty busy out there -- strange to think there's a ton more to come!

Chacor · #602 Postby **Chacor** » Thu Aug 04, 2011 7:31 am

Think with the slow movement Okinawa should be expecting to experience this kind of weather for at least the next 18 hours. Just my opinion.

rdhdstpchld · #603 Postby **rdhdstpchld** » Thu Aug 04, 2011 7:33 am

Chacor wrote:Think with the slow movement Okinawa should be expecting to experience this kind of weather for at least the next 18 hours. Just my opinion.

Yay.....

Chacor · #604 Postby **Chacor** » Thu Aug 04, 2011 7:38 am

According to the (old) 09z JTWC forecast, Okinawa will only clear out of the 50-kt wind radius some time shortly before 05/18z, or 3 am local time on Saturday. That's going to be one long Friday tomorrow...

#605 Postby **StormingB81** » Thu Aug 04, 2011 7:47 am

Just has a gust of 74...starting to really go now...and yes just think..we have a loooooong way to go!

artist · #606 Postby **artist** » Thu Aug 04, 2011 7:48 am

StormingB81 wrote:Just has a gust of 74...starting to really go now...and yes just think..we have a loooooong way to go!

We went through a long one like that. It can get very tiring. Thanks for all the updates.

#607 Postby **Typhoon Hunter** » Thu Aug 04, 2011 7:51 am

My whole room just wobbled! Felt like an earthquake but coincided with a strong gust. Just checking to make sure not a tremor. Gusting 72kts at Naha airport and 80kts 15km east of here! Tomorrow gonna be wild - especially since radar shows this could pass pretty close!!

#608 Postby **StormingB81** » Thu Aug 04, 2011 7:53 am

James..I felt my place shake too! I thought it was an earthquake

Chacor · #609 Postby **Chacor** » Thu Aug 04, 2011 7:54 am

WTPQ21 RJTD 041200
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TY 1109 MUIFA (1109)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 041200UTC 24.9N 128.6E GOOD
MOVE W SLOWLY
PRES 945HPA
MXWD 085KT
GUST 120KT
50KT 120NM NORTH 90NM SOUTH
30KT 300NM EAST 200NM WEST
FORECAST
24HF 051200UTC 25.7N 126.4E 70NM 70%
MOVE WNW 07KT
PRES 945HPA
MXWD 085KT
GUST 120KT
48HF 061200UTC 27.9N 123.4E 110NM 70%
MOVE NW 09KT
PRES 945HPA
MXWD 085KT
GUST 120KT
72HF 071200UTC 30.8N 120.8E 160NM 70%
MOVE NW 09KT
PRES 970HPA
MXWD 065KT
GUST 095KT =

JMA 12z now shows landfall into China shortly before TAU72 as a typhoon.

Not to mention, "MOVE W SLOWLY" is the last thing you want to see here, this thing is hanging around.

Infdidoll · #610 Postby **Infdidoll** » Thu Aug 04, 2011 7:58 am

We are now in TCOR 1-Emergency

BULLETIN: AS OF 04/2100L WE ARE IN TCCOR IE. TYPHOON MUIFA IS LOCATED 110 MILES SOUTHEAST OF OKINAWA. IT HAS WINDS GUSTING TO 110 KNOTS NEAR ITS CENTER AND IS MOVING NORTHWEST AT 6 KNOTS. DAMAGING WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO OCCUR FROM NOW UNTIL 05/2200L. THE STRONGEST WINDS ON OKINAWA ARE EXPECTED TO BE SUSTAINED FROM 80KNOT WITH 95 KNOTS FROM 05/1100 - 05 1300L.

Not that I think any of us are stupid enough to be running around out there in this anyway.

KWT · #611 Postby **KWT** » Thu Aug 04, 2011 8:00 am

StormingB81 wrote:Just has a gust of 74...starting to really go now...and yes just think..we have a loooooong way to go!

big gust, the winds probably will remain very high for a long time given the size and slow moving nature of this storm...

Chacor · #612 Postby **Chacor** » Thu Aug 04, 2011 8:00 am

Yeah, that's a warning for over 24 hours of incessant pounding... I'm glad I'm not in that. Take care, guys.

#613 Postby **HURAKAN** » Thu Aug 04, 2011 8:03 am

Impressive microwave image showing the double eyewall

JTE50 · #614 Postby **JTE50** » Thu Aug 04, 2011 8:09 am

KatDaddy wrote:Thanks for the Kadena link Jim! I bet you are to go hurricane chasing over the next few months.

Yeah I'm keen on getting in some real howlers this summer.

#615 Postby **StormingB81** » Thu Aug 04, 2011 8:10 am

I have a feeling by the time the sun comes up tomorrow we will have no power

#616 Postby **StormingB81** » Thu Aug 04, 2011 8:20 am

Gusting to 79 now....still moving up its loud outside...see songda was over by nw..lol with this one we hve 24 hours left!

#617 Postby **Typhoon Hunter** » Thu Aug 04, 2011 8:22 am

StormingB81 wrote:James..I felt my place shake too! I thought it was an earthquake

Nothing on the JMA or CWB websites about a quake! Must have been the gust of wind! Right, will try and get some sleep again...

Chacor · #618 Postby **Chacor** » Thu Aug 04, 2011 8:23 am

SPECI RODN 041314Z AUTO 03045G69KT 2800 R05/0800V1100 +RA BR OVC027 26/25 A2898 RMK AO2 PK WND 03069/1305 CIG 014 RWY23 SLP814

Lowest pressure and strongest gust yet.

#619 Postby **StormingB81** » Thu Aug 04, 2011 8:33 am

I am thinking I am about to call it a night wake up at 5 when it starts to get light and watch soem more and atleast be rested

Infdidoll · #620 Postby **Infdidoll** » Thu Aug 04, 2011 8:46 am

My Mac is telling me it's going to take 2 hours to process my 5 minute movie so I guess I'm going to sit up, have some pizza and wait for that to finish. We usually keep power off base so fingers crossed we will still have it in the a.m. Yeah, it's been getting progressively nastier as the night goes on. Don't know how I'm going to sleep in this!

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