ATL: EMILY - Remnants

[SouthFloridawx]

Outflow looking good in the NW quad of the system too. Looks like shear has really started to abate.

[SouthFloridawx]

000
URNT15 KNHC 040721
AF309 1005A EMILY HDOB 22 20110804
071200 1640N 06813W 3926 07709 0394 -160 //// 172014 014 025 000 01
071230 1640N 06811W 3925 07713 0395 -164 //// 174015 016 025 001 01
071300 1641N 06808W 3919 07723 0395 -163 //// 173014 015 024 001 01
071330 1642N 06806W 3927 07707 0395 -161 //// 175014 014 024 000 01
071400 1643N 06803W 3922 07718 0396 -163 //// 175014 014 024 000 01
071430 1643N 06801W 3925 07712 0394 -162 //// 175014 014 023 001 01
071500 1644N 06758W 3925 07712 0394 -162 //// 173014 014 022 000 01
071530 1645N 06755W 3923 07712 0393 -164 //// 173014 014 023 000 01
071600 1646N 06753W 3923 07712 0392 -165 //// 175016 016 021 001 01
071630 1647N 06750W 3923 07712 0392 -165 //// 174017 017 022 000 01
071700 1647N 06748W 3923 07711 0392 -165 //// 174016 016 021 001 01
071730 1648N 06745W 3925 07710 0391 -165 //// 174016 017 020 001 01
071800 1649N 06743W 3922 07712 0390 -167 //// 182017 017 019 002 01
071830 1650N 06740W 3927 07703 0390 -166 //// 188016 017 021 001 01
071900 1651N 06738W 3922 07714 0391 -165 //// 187016 017 022 000 01
071930 1651N 06735W 3923 07711 0390 -168 //// 191017 017 021 000 01
072000 1652N 06733W 3926 07706 0390 -167 //// 189017 018 021 000 01
072030 1653N 06730W 3925 07710 0390 -167 //// 191017 017 021 001 01
072100 1654N 06728W 3923 07710 0390 -165 //// 192016 017 020 001 01
072130 1655N 06725W 3924 07710 0390 -165 //// 187015 015 016 002 01
$$
;

[MississippiWx]

Outflow looking good in the NW quad of the system too. Looks like shear has really started to abate.

Yeah, but it's still limited around most of the storm. Here's a better view of outflow:

[SouthFloridawx]

I'll betcha we'll be looking at a little different storm tomorrow.

[MississippiWx]

I'll betcha we'll be looking at a little different storm tomorrow.

I have learned to expect anything with Emily. Every time I think she's doing something, she's doing the opposite. Weird weird storm.

[Texashawk]

Still not even a tropical storm watch for Jamaica? Very irresponsible in my opinion.

[Florida1118]

Still not even a tropical storm watch for Jamaica? Very irresponsible in my opinion.

Tis the Jamaican governments issues. Their going on the NHC's track, which has it turning...but I would put watches up too

[bamajammer4eva]

Still not even a tropical storm watch for Jamaica? Very irresponsible in my opinion.

The NHC doesn't issue watches/warnings for any other territory than the US so that would be Jamaica's fault.

[SouthDadeFish]

Folks those are tremendously cold clouds tops associated with Emily. Almost -90C. I hardly ever see them that cold with an Atlantic system. Most of the time you see that dark yellow color on RAMSDIS imagery you are looking at a W PAC system. Very impressive. I wish recon could have made another pass, as I fear she is really starting wrap up...

[Florida1118]

Folks those are tremendously cold clouds tops associated with Emily. Almost -90C. I hardly ever see them that cold with an Atlantic system. Most of the time you see that dark yellow color on RAMSDIS imagery you are looking at a W PAC system. Very impressive. I wish recon could have made another pass, as I fear she is really starting wrap up...

Even though the pressure rose, I think it would be a good bet on 60kts right now for her

[South Texas Storms]

Folks those are tremendously cold clouds tops associated with Emily. Almost -90C. I hardly ever see them that cold with an Atlantic system. Most of the time you see that dark yellow color on RAMSDIS imagery you are looking at a W PAC system. Very impressive. I wish recon could have made another pass, as I fear she is really starting wrap up...

Yeah I noticed that. Why does that happen much more in the WPAC and not much in the Atlantic?

[SouthDadeFish]

Folks those are tremendously cold clouds tops associated with Emily. Almost -90C. I hardly ever see them that cold with an Atlantic system. Most of the time you see that dark yellow color on RAMSDIS imagery you are looking at a W PAC system. Very impressive. I wish recon could have made another pass, as I fear she is really starting wrap up...

Yeah I noticed that. Why does that happen much more in the WPAC and not much in the Atlantic?

To be honest I can only give you an educated guess, which is the very warm SSTs and very deep TCHP.

[bamajammer4eva]

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/flt/t2/flash-avn.html

Deepest convection has advanced rapidly westward including a seperated red with enhanced Black spot 17.5/72.5 (LLC?). Wonder if its started moving again or has just pulled the thunderstorms more over the center?

[South Texas Storms]

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/flt/t2/flash-avn.html

Deepest convection has advanced rapidly westward including a seperated red with enhanced Black spot 17.5/72.5 (LLC?). Wonder if its started moving again or has just pulled the thunderstorms more over the center?

Yeah I noticed that too. Looks like it may have begun a westward movement again.

[SouthDadeFish]

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/flt/t2/flash-avn.html

Deepest convection has advanced rapidly westward including a seperated red with enhanced Black spot 17.5/72.5 (LLC?). Wonder if its started moving again or has just pulled the thunderstorms more over the center?

I think it starting to move again, but I also think the center is more centered in the convection. Most likely strengthening at this time. I really need to go to sleep, but I'm having a hard time as my sister is on a missions trip to Haiti right now. Please keep her and her team in your prayers. This will likely be a huge rainmaker for Haiti and the DR.

[leanne_uk]

My thoughts and prayers are with everyone effected by this Storm so far and for everyone being effected right now both islanders and relief workers x

[storm92405]

Hi folks been lurking for awhile reading everyone's comments. That is why tropical systems are fickle. They don't always go where they are forecasted to. I am reading this forum on an IPad. It can't load certain pages due to the lack of java. Does anyone have a still image of a Jamaica radar? I went to the site but the page will ot load the image. On the other hand, the eastern most radar on Cuba is pickingup the western edge of Emily now. So let's watch some radars.

[USTropics]

Hi folks been lurking for awhile reading everyone's comments. That is why tropical systems are fickle. They don't always go where they are forecasted to. I am reading this forum on an IPad. It can't load certain pages due to the lack of java. Does anyone have a still image of a Jamaica radar? I went to the site but the page will ot load the image. On the other hand, the eastern most radar on Cuba is pickingup the western edge of Emily now. So let's watch some radars.

I believe the Jamaican radar is not functioning at this time.

[JtSmarts]

Advisory is out. Looks like Emily is now moving a bit more north on a 285 (WNW) heading.

5:00 AM EDT Thu Aug 4
Location: 17.3°N 71.7°W
Max sustained: 50 mph
Moving: WNW at 7 mph
Min pressure: 1006 mb

[Florida1118]

No watches to be put up in S. FL unless emily does not turn N soon

THE CURRENT FORECAST TRACK AND WIND RADII DO NOT REQUIRE A WATCH FOR
SOUTHERN FLORIDA AT THIS TIME. IF EMILY DOES NOT BEGIN ITS
NORTHWESTWARD TURN SOON...A WATCH COULD BE REQUIRED FOR PARTS OF
SOUTHERN FLORIDA LATER TODAY.