ATL: EMILY - Remnants

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Bocadude85
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Re: ATL: EMILY - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#6641 Postby Bocadude85 » Wed Aug 03, 2011 9:22 pm

I know its hard to tell but almost looks like Emily has started moving towards the W again.. also what is that swirl in the clouds heading sw?

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/flt/t2/flash-rb.html
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#6642 Postby Rgv20 » Wed Aug 03, 2011 9:23 pm

0zBam models sure are interesting... :lol:
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Re: ATL: EMILY - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#6643 Postby CourierPR » Wed Aug 03, 2011 9:25 pm

tolakram wrote:Back to MIMIC-TPW
]

Northwest movement has begun, looks like it (MLC anyway) may be moving over Hispaniola soon.



Go look at the RAMSDIS floater. I did not see a NW motion.
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Re: ATL: EMILY - Recon Discussion

#6644 Postby cycloneye » Wed Aug 03, 2011 9:25 pm

If you see the time,it looks like from Biloxi.
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Re: ATL: EMILY - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#6645 Postby Kory » Wed Aug 03, 2011 9:26 pm

CourierPR wrote:
tolakram wrote:Back to MIMIC-TPW
]

Northwest movement has begun, looks like it (MLC anyway) may be moving over Hispaniola soon.



Go look at the RAMSDIS floater. I did not see a NW motion.

Me either...the convection seems to be drifting southwest.
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Re: ATL: EMILY - Models

#6646 Postby Blown Away » Wed Aug 03, 2011 9:26 pm

NHC is the outlier, which probably means a E shift at 11pm, j/k. :D
http://www.sfwmd.gov/portal/page/portal ... el%20plots
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Re: ATL: EMILY - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#6647 Postby Fyzn94 » Wed Aug 03, 2011 9:26 pm

SunnyThoughts wrote:I don't think I can take 2 blobs again! haha j/k Image

Oh...here we go.
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Re:

#6648 Postby Kory » Wed Aug 03, 2011 9:27 pm

Rgv20 wrote:0zBam models sure are interesting... :lol:

The BAMs are seeing a ridge building in and the system missing the trough. It certainly is possible...
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Re: ATL: EMILY - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#6649 Postby Canelaw99 » Wed Aug 03, 2011 9:28 pm

That 2 blob image reminds me of a Rorshach (?sp) inkblot test LOL By the end of this storm, we'll all be a bit loopy, I'm afraid :lol:
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Re: ATL: EMILY - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#6650 Postby tolakram » Wed Aug 03, 2011 9:29 pm

What are you arguing with, MIMIC-TPW? :)

I'm staring at the RAMDIS floater in IR mode, I see upper level clouds, I see no LLC, so what are you tracking?
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Re: ATL: EMILY - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#6651 Postby TYNI » Wed Aug 03, 2011 9:29 pm

Kory wrote:
CourierPR wrote:
tolakram wrote:Back to MIMIC-TPW
]

Northwest movement has begun, looks like it (MLC anyway) may be moving over Hispaniola soon.



Go look at the RAMSDIS floater. I did not see a NW motion.

Me either...the convection seems to be drifting southwest.



I think it may just be the convection expanding w/sw...
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Re: ATL: EMILY - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#6652 Postby SouthFLTropics » Wed Aug 03, 2011 9:29 pm

Man one thing is for sure...Emily is a lady of the night and loves the nightlife. She sleeps during the day and comes alive when the sun goes down. Maybe there is a correlation between the solar activity and tropical development afterall. I think I'm going to need to read up some more on the space weather site.

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Re:

#6653 Postby GTStorm » Wed Aug 03, 2011 9:29 pm

gatorcane wrote:
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Based on the latest models, the NHC is very likely to shift the cone back towards the west and I expect the "line" to be very close to the East Coast of Florida maybe not that far east of Palm Beach....very reminiscent of Hurricane David in 1979 with the track.


Yep...except Emily looks to depart for the ocean instead of coming on up through Savannah like David did. Was actually thinking (hoping) south georgia might get some rain from this...but it looks like not.
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#6654 Postby TheShrimper » Wed Aug 03, 2011 9:30 pm

That two blob image reminds me of an ex laying out topless. Good thing I had plenty of Aloe.
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Re: ATL: EMILY - Models

#6655 Postby Canelaw99 » Wed Aug 03, 2011 9:30 pm

I don't recall off the top of my head which models, but it seems that pretty early on, there were models showing a curve, then a bend back west. Many talked then about those models possibly seeing a ridge building back in, a la Jeanne I believe. Maybe they were right way back then....
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Re: ATL: EMILY - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#6656 Postby SouthFloridawx » Wed Aug 03, 2011 9:31 pm

Canelaw99 wrote:That 2 blob image reminds me of a Rorshach (?sp) inkblot test LOL By the end of this storm, we'll all be a bit loopy, I'm afraid :lol:


I think we're already there... :wink:
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Re: ATL: EMILY - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#6657 Postby Canelaw99 » Wed Aug 03, 2011 9:32 pm

LOL....well, if she loves the nightlife, I'd like to kindly remind her that NY is the city that never sleeps, NOT Miami 8-)
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Re: ATL: EMILY - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#6658 Postby Blown Away » Wed Aug 03, 2011 9:33 pm

Predictions, does the 11pm track landfall in SFL?? I say very slight W adjustment near SFL, still 50 miles offshore.
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Re: ATL: EMILY - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#6659 Postby hipshot » Wed Aug 03, 2011 9:33 pm

Kory wrote:
CourierPR wrote:
tolakram wrote:Back to MIMIC-TPW
]

Northwest movement has begun, looks like it (MLC anyway) may be moving over Hispaniola soon.



Go look at the RAMSDIS floater. I did not see a NW motion.

Me either...the convection seems to be drifting southwest.


Me either, if anything it looks to have crept a little SW but certainly not NW. Lots of convection
firing up though and I don't have a warm/fuzzy for the folks in Haiti. This could get really ugly.
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Re: ATL: EMILY - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#6660 Postby umguy » Wed Aug 03, 2011 9:34 pm

Canelaw99 wrote:LOL....well, if she loves the nightlife, I'd like to kindly remind her that NY is the city that never sleeps, NOT Miami 8-)


Come on!! Downtown MIA the clubs are open all night too!! She wants to do it up at Space!
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