ATL: EMILY - Remnants

[wxman57]

Thanks WXman. That a simple piece of info (about the center of the low and the L on the map) that had never been explained to me. I like it.

You're welcome. Take a look at the map below and you'll see what I was describing. Look at an "L" on the map. See the circle with the crosshairs in the middle? That's the actual low position:

http://met.nps.edu/~mtmontgo/satanalatl ... t_TAFB.png

[bamajammer4eva]

This TV station in Tampa seems to at least think there is a chance it could be a GOM storm. Doesnt look like he likes the NHC forecast.

http://blog.myfoxhurricane.com/index.ph ... ing-again/

It is interesting to note that the forecast track of Emily is not the usual track in August. The graphic below shows all tropical storms and hurricanes that have passed within 50 miles of Tropical Storm Emily’s current location and where they have ended up going. Notice the most common track is across the northern Caribbean and into the Gulf of Mexico. Emily would be among the few to take a track to the east of the state of Florida.

[Bocadude85]

When is the next recon?

[StormClouds63]

Burst of convection near center ... let's see if it persists. Looks like a slight jog to the NW as well.

[shortwave]

pretty neat to see in the last vis images of what looks like 300mb nw undercutting into the storm.
http://wwwghcc.msfc.nasa.gov/cgi-bin/post-goes
1st link might not work...
http://wwwghcc.msfc.nasa.gov/GOES/goeseastconus.html

[cycloneye]

When is the next recon?

Plane departs at 12:15 AM EDT.

Code: Select all

       A. 03/0600Z,1200Z
       B. AFXXX 0705A CYCLONE
       C. 03/0415Z
       D. 16.7N 66.7W
       E. 03/0530Z TO 03/1200Z
       F. SFC TO 10,000 FT



[perk]

my local met said he thinks this thing could get in the gom

and where might your Local Met be located???

Why is where the Met is located relevant.

[Hybridstorm_November2001]

This TV station in Tampa seems to at least think there is a chance it could be a GOM storm. Doesnt look like he likes the NHC forecast.

http://blog.myfoxhurricane.com/index.ph ... ing-again/

It is interesting to note that the forecast track of Emily is not the usual track in August. The graphic below shows all tropical storms and hurricanes that have passed within 50 miles of Tropical Storm Emily’s current location and where they have ended up going. Notice the most common track is across the northern Caribbean and into the Gulf of Mexico. Emily would be among the few to take a track to the east of the state of Florida.

Sorry, but there is no real average track. These storms are each governed by steering currents. The storm and the pattern do not care what the average path is.

[madinina]

Thanks artist. In my part, it's ok, the road is a river, but this part is famous for that ...Each year, several times... For pictures of capital, that happen usualy in past, i remember when i was a child... But, it's a biginning of the rain season, and the flow are empty... And, when i see atlantic aera and coast of africa...

[Evil Jeremy]

Nice convective flre up occuring. Could this signal that Emily now has her internal affiars in order? She still looks like she is heading west at a decent clip.

[Tireman4]

I agree with Srain.. we welcome all. I think hurricane season has folks a little excited. The NFL season does that to folks too..( me maybe...LOL) Welcome to S2K Nicole...

[AdamFirst]

When are the GFDL and HWRF coming out?

[cycloneye]

When are the GFDL and HWRF coming out?

Between 7:30-8:00 PM.

[AdamFirst]

Thanks...it seems like the model suites page on that moe.met.fsu.edu tends to lag and I was just wondering.

[SouthDadeFish]

Latest HWRF has landfall in Florida near Brevard county I believe, and is much farther west.

[Aric Dunn]

Latest HWRF has landfall in Florida near Brevard county I believe, and is much farther west.

not sure where that is from.. but that would be farther west..

[underthwx]

nicole...dont feel bad...he responded in a rude manner to me as well......i dont lurk on this forum.i came here to learn not to be embarrased....

[Evil Jeremy]

Wow, that run came out early. Lets see if the gfdl also moves west.

[AdamFirst]

HWRF has been one of the more western models, hasn't it? 12z was more over the Gulf Stream...

[SouthDadeFish]

Latest HWRF has landfall in Florida near Brevard county I believe, and is much farther west.

not sure where that is from.. but that would be farther west..

From here.....

http://raleighwx.americanwx.com/models/gfdl.html