ATL: EMILY - Remnants

[TheBurn]

[CrazyC83]

Remember Emily, you are lucky to be back...this should have been Elaine or some other name instead...

[SouthFLTropics]

Entrance and exit (or the lack thereoff) from Hispaniola will be key to the future track and intensity of Emily. That will tell the tale for South Florida. My thoughts and prayers are for everyone in her path, especially those people in Haiti which are still feeling the affects of the earthquake.

SFT

[SeminoleWind]

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/storm_graphics/AT05/refresh/AL0511W5_NL+gif/233014W5_NL_sm.gif

Looking like a breezy saturday for me if this tracks like this, I live about 5 miles from Disney

same here 30 mins north of orlando

[jpigott]

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/storm_graphics/AT05/refresh/AL0511W5_NL+gif/233014W5_NL_sm.gif

Sweet . . . right in the middle of the 5 day cone here in Palm Beach County . . . pretty much means I'm in the clear

[AdamFirst]

Remember Emily, you are lucky to be back...this should have been Elaine or some other name instead...

Elaine, you say?

[Extratropical94]

Observation 46...plane ascending and finally putting an end to one of the most exciting recon flights this year IMHO
The mission is over.


000
URNT15 KNHC 012346
AF305 04EEA INVEST HDOB 46 20110801
233600 1556N 06017W 9768 00295 0103 +230 +213 137034 035 028 002 03
233630 1557N 06016W 9766 00296 0104 +228 +213 136032 034 032 002 03
233700 1558N 06014W 9761 00302 0104 +230 +212 129031 033 030 003 03
233730 1559N 06013W 9776 00289 0102 +240 +212 117032 034 026 002 00
233800 1600N 06012W 9759 00304 0102 +240 +213 117031 032 027 001 03
233830 1601N 06011W 9573 00469 0102 +226 +213 121034 036 /// /// 03
233900 1602N 06010W 9172 00857 0115 +204 //// 127036 038 /// /// 05
233930 1603N 06009W 8793 01217 0115 +187 //// 129035 038 /// /// 05
234000 1604N 06008W 8499 01513 //// +168 //// 129028 029 026 002 05
234030 1606N 06007W 8429 01589 //// +160 //// 128028 028 /// /// 05
234100 1607N 06009W 8397 01619 //// +159 //// 126025 027 /// /// 05
234130 1607N 06010W 8002 02033 //// +151 //// 125019 021 /// /// 05
234200 1607N 06012W 7657 02394 //// +131 //// 105021 022 /// /// 05
234230 1607N 06014W 7275 02828 //// +112 //// 106021 022 /// /// 05
234300 1607N 06016W 6949 03211 //// +092 //// 112019 020 /// /// 05
234330 1608N 06018W 6641 03596 //// +068 //// 106016 018 /// /// 05
234400 1608N 06020W 6357 03957 //// +055 //// 094016 018 /// /// 05
234430 1608N 06022W 6091 04308 //// +035 //// 083017 018 /// /// 05
234500 1608N 06024W 5879 04565 //// +022 //// 075022 022 /// /// 05
234530 1609N 06026W 5676 04849 //// +010 //// 066026 028 025 001 05
$$
;

Good night y'all and thanks again for helping out with the Google Earth images

[knotimpaired]

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/storm_graphics/AT05/refresh/AL0511W5_NL+gif/233014W5_NL_sm.gif

Sweet . . . right in the middle of the 5 day cone here in Palm Beach County . . . pretty much means I'm in the clear

If and if this goes exactly as the cone predicts (which will probably change) Boca, Delray and Lake Worth should be prepping.

We are under TS warning but we are the last fringe of it so we are feeling more comfortble minute by minute.

[jonj2040]

#46


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[Aric Dunn]

very reasonable track

[knotimpaired]

Aric as always you did a wonderful job. I bow to you

[Aric Dunn]

Aric as always you did a wonderful job. I bow to you

Thank you, but everyone in contributed

[Bocadude85]

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/storm_graphics/AT05/refresh/AL0511W5_NL+gif/233014W5_NL_sm.gif

Sweet . . . right in the middle of the 5 day cone here in Palm Beach County . . . pretty much means I'm in the clear

If and if this goes exactly as the cone predicts (which will probably change) Boca, Delray and Lake Worth should be prepping.

We are under TS warning but we are the last fringe of it so we are feeling more comfortble minute by minute.

I am not to worried about it yet.. we have been in the 5 day cone many times before only to be taken out a day or so later

[Aric Dunn]

The fast westward motion now would indicate a stronger ridge to the north. than some models have initialized. this would lead to a track right in line with the NHC

[hurricanefloyd5]

chances of this riding the northern coast of the DR. is what and how strong can she get if this happens???

[underthwx]

be safe and prepared to all in Emilys path

[wzrgirl1]

I would be concerned if the track shifts more west. If it shifts east then that could be the start of a possible trend. Let's see what happens in the next couple of days. Will stock up on water just in case.

[KWT]

very reasonable track

it is, strength also looks good IMO, though wouldn't be shocked to see it get to hurricane strength before Hispaniola...48hrs or so is enough time...

Now we'll have to see just how far west it actually ends up going, but track is pretty reasonable from the looks of things and based on what the models do.

[DonWrk]

So what all do we have effecting the track? Land, ridges? Someone please explain.

[northjaxpro]

Looks quite reminiscent of 2008's Fay so far with that track?

I think this potentially could be a set-up similar to Hurricane David in 1979, where he made landfall in West Palm Beach, then moved due north parallel about 30-50 miles off the Florida East Coast.

This is an unoffical forecast, just an opinion of this S2K member. This is just one of many possiblities for a track. It is going to be one fascinating week monitoring the progress of Emily.