http://www.nrlmry.navy.mil/tc-bin/tc_ho ... YLE=tables
Yesterday what you saw was a big squall line of convection that moved well ahead of the well defined low center but this morning new convection has developed near the low at 12n.Let's see if that persist today and if so we can see development from that system in comming days.
http://twister.sbs.ohio-state.edu/text/ ... s/03082606
The tropical models are again ploting the system and this is the 6:00 UTC run.
Convection has increased near low center at CV wave
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- cycloneye
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Convection has increased near low center at CV wave
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- wx247
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Good early morning Luis!
Convection has increased some, but I really note as being organized is what appears to be outflow, especially on the northern side of the low.

Convection has increased some, but I really note as being organized is what appears to be outflow, especially on the northern side of the low.
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The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
- cycloneye
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It's looking better and better as time goes by because of the convection building over the well defined low.
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- cycloneye
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Yes I saw it too about the chances of a hurricane forming before 40w hitting the US.Those are 1-10 chance that it will so they are slim but if a hurricane forms from 40w to 49w the % increases big time but first we have to see if this system will be a hurricane first and in what longitud forms.
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- cycloneye
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I didn't remember the lat 20n too.But yes 1-3 the US may get hit if this system develops into a hurricane from 40-40w and 20n or less.
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