Next area of interest over Lesser Antilles

[Blown Away]

A tropical wave approaching the Lesser Antilles is from 19n54w
to 9n56w moving W at 10-15 kt. Satellite imagery and
derived winds indicate broad cyclonic low-level flow in the
vicinity of the wave axis. This wave is also embedded within a
deep moisture surge on total precipitable water imagery. Widely
scattered moderate convection is from 9n-16n between 51w-58w.

Umm, what is the lat/long's for this wave, this says it's along 54W, but the Canadian run has a wave near the islands in 144 hours? Can't be the same because this wave (54W) is almost at the islands??

[Gustywind]

Here is the twave approaching the East carib islands...

[Gustywind]

[Gustywind]

000
AXNT20 KNHC 270002
TWDAT

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
805 PM EDT TUE JUL 26 2011

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL
AMERICA...GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHERN SECTIONS OF
SOUTH AMERICA...AND ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE AFRICAN COAST FROM THE
EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE
IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND METEOROLOGICAL
ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 1800 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY
THROUGH 2315 UTC.

A TROPICAL WAVE APPROACHING THE LESSER ANTILLES IS FROM 19N54W
TO 9N56W MOVING W AT 10-15 KT. SATELLITE IMAGERY AND
DERIVED WINDS INDICATE BROAD CYCLONIC LOW-LEVEL FLOW IN THE
VICINITY OF THE WAVE AXIS. THIS WAVE IS ALSO EMBEDDED WITHIN A
DEEP MOISTURE SURGE ON TOTAL PRECIPITABLE WATER IMAGERY. WIDELY
SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM 9N-16N BETWEEN 51W-58W.


$$
FORMOSA

[knotimpaired]

Good morning Gusty,

Could you please provide the link for the Meteo France Radar. I tried to find it and alas, could not.

HAGD

[BigA]

Here you go.

http://www.meteo.fr/temps/domtom/antill ... SAIC2.html

[Gustywind]

Here you go.

http://www.meteo.fr/temps/domtom/antill ... SAIC2.html

Thanks my friend.

[Gustywind]

Hey Cycloneye, as the twave is approaching the East Carib island... i think that the title could be changed. Looking at the sat, nice bursts of convection are increasing and the twave seems pretty healthy this morning. Islanders be aware and vigilant.

[Gustywind]

Good morning Gusty,

Could you please provide the link for the Meteo France Radar. I tried to find it and alas, could not.

HAGD

Hi, how are you my friend? Seems that another active twave should cross our islands tonight and tommorow. Thanks to keep us informed as possible.
Gustywind

[Gustywind]

[Gustywind]

000
AXNT20 KNHC 271152
TWDAT

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
805 AM EDT WED JUL 27 2011

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL
AMERICA...GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHERN SECTIONS OF
SOUTH AMERICA...AND ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE AFRICAN COAST FROM THE
EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE
IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND METEOROLOGICAL
ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 0600 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY
THROUGH 1015 UTC.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

AN ATLANTIC OCEAN TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 60W TO THE SOUTH OF
23N. THIS WAVE IS MOVING THROUGH THE AREA OF AN ATLANTIC OCEAN
UPPER LEVEL TROUGH. THE TROUGH PASSES THROUGH A 25N53W CYCLONIC
CIRCULATION CENTER TO 13N60W. SCATTERED STRONG RAINSHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS ARE FROM 11N TO 16N BETWEEN 52W AND 62W.

...DISCUSSION...

THE CARIBBEAN SEA...
AN ATLANTIC OCEAN TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 60W TO THE SOUTH OF 23N.
THIS WAVE IS MOVING THROUGH THE AREA OF AN ATLANTIC OCEAN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH.
THE UPPER TROUGH PASSES THROUGH A 25N53W CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER TO
13N60W NEAR BARBADOS. SCATTERED STRONG RAINSHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS ARE FROM 11N TO 16N BETWEEN 52W AND 62W.
THE 24-HOUR RAINFALL TOTAL FOR GUADELOUPE FOR THE PERIOD ENDING AT
27/0000 UTC WAS 0.48 INCHES.

THE ATLANTIC OCEAN...
SCATTERED STRONG RAINSHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
ARE FROM 11N TO 16N BETWEEN 52W AND 62W. THE 24-HOUR RAINFALL
TOTAL FOR GUADELOUPE FOR THE PERIOD ENDING AT 27/0000 UTC WAS
0.48 INCHES.

$$
MT/FG

[alan1961]

This may be the next area to watch over the next few days,
GFS fancies it for a few days then tends to fizzle it out
before the islands..one thing to say though..its starting
to get interesting as we approach August

[Gustywind]

[HurricaneWarning92]

The Bermuda High is way too strong right now that it is pushing every storm to the islands. It has been keeping them south. No storm has gone north of the islands... is that normal at this time of the season? and will it gradually begin to weaken as we go deeper into the season? Because if thats the case the entire season, the Florida and the U.S east coasts as well as the Bahamas may be spared this season as well. At least from a "direct" impact.

[TheBurn]

[Gustywind]

[Gustywind]

[floridasun78]

it look like area have spin to it too looking at loop

[KWT]

Looks to me as if its being at least enhanced by the ULL/TUTT to its north. Still its heading into the Caribbean and obviously once further west it needs to be watched.

[Gustywind]

This twave continues to exhibits a very nice presentation since this morning given my untrained eyes...