ATL: DON - Remnant - Discussion

Moderator: S2k Moderators

Post Reply
Message
Author
User avatar
South Texas Storms
Professional-Met
Professional-Met
Posts: 4226
Joined: Thu Jun 24, 2010 12:28 am
Location: Houston, TX

Re: ATL: INVEST 90L - Discussion

#941 Postby South Texas Storms » Mon Jul 25, 2011 11:05 pm

NDG wrote:00z gfs is also slightly stronger with its H85 vorticity than its previous 18z run.


Still a little too weak imo. I'm interested to see what the 0z Euro shows in a few hours.
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
ROCK
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 9484
Age: 54
Joined: Tue Aug 17, 2004 7:30 am
Location: Kemah, Texas

Re: ATL: INVEST 90L - Discussion

#942 Postby ROCK » Mon Jul 25, 2011 11:09 pm

the NHC thinks so much of it they wont even put a floater on it.....nice.... :D

if that MLC is not at the surface its pretty darn close IMO....its maintaining now that it ever has right over the COC...I would like to see more feederbands though...which I suspect will come about in the morning.
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
ROCK
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 9484
Age: 54
Joined: Tue Aug 17, 2004 7:30 am
Location: Kemah, Texas

Re: ATL: INVEST 90L - Discussion

#943 Postby ROCK » Mon Jul 25, 2011 11:10 pm

moved to the model thread... :D
Last edited by ROCK on Mon Jul 25, 2011 11:14 pm, edited 1 time in total.
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
ROCK
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 9484
Age: 54
Joined: Tue Aug 17, 2004 7:30 am
Location: Kemah, Texas

Re: ATL: INVEST 90L - Models

#944 Postby ROCK » Mon Jul 25, 2011 11:11 pm

0z GFS

Image
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
Ptarmigan
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 5313
Joined: Wed Aug 16, 2006 9:06 pm

Re: ATL: INVEST 90L - Models

#945 Postby Ptarmigan » Mon Jul 25, 2011 11:12 pm

I don't put a lot of stock in NAM. However, I think 90L has a good chance at development. The question is will 90L be a tropical storm or hurricane. I think when 90L does develop, I think it will be a small storm.
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
cycloneye
Admin
Admin
Posts: 145347
Age: 68
Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico

Re: ATL: INVEST 90L - Discussion

#946 Postby cycloneye » Mon Jul 25, 2011 11:12 pm

Let's post the model graphics at the models thread,to leave this main 90L thread for discussions. :)
0 likes   
Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here
Top
User avatar
lester
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 1305
Age: 36
Joined: Sat Aug 27, 2005 5:21 pm
Location: Washington, DC
Contact:
Contact lester

Re: ATL: INVEST 90L - Discussion

#947 Postby lester » Mon Jul 25, 2011 11:14 pm

GFS has nada at the surface just like the past 30 runs imo :P

- לסטר
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
NDG
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 15446
Joined: Sun Jul 09, 2006 10:14 pm
Location: Orlando, FL

#948 Postby NDG » Mon Jul 25, 2011 11:16 pm

Looking at the gfs forecasted upper level winds, 90L will have a very limited outflow if any on its NE quadrant due to the strong easterly shearing winds from the death ridge.

Image
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
cycloneye
Admin
Admin
Posts: 145347
Age: 68
Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico

Re: ATL: INVEST 90L - Models

#949 Postby cycloneye » Mon Jul 25, 2011 11:16 pm

84 hours 00z GFS.

Image
0 likes   
Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here
Top
User avatar
ROCK
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 9484
Age: 54
Joined: Tue Aug 17, 2004 7:30 am
Location: Kemah, Texas

Re: ATL: INVEST 90L - Discussion

#950 Postby ROCK » Mon Jul 25, 2011 11:18 pm

lester wrote:GFS has nada at the surface just like the past 30 runs imo :P

- לסטר


GFS has been horrible this year...never saw Bret or Cindy... horrible with showing no development into August.....right now its batting 0 for 3.... :D
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
ROCK
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 9484
Age: 54
Joined: Tue Aug 17, 2004 7:30 am
Location: Kemah, Texas

Re: ATL: INVEST 90L - Models

#951 Postby ROCK » Mon Jul 25, 2011 11:20 pm

Image
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
ROCK
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 9484
Age: 54
Joined: Tue Aug 17, 2004 7:30 am
Location: Kemah, Texas

Re: ATL: INVEST 90L - Models

#952 Postby ROCK » Mon Jul 25, 2011 11:21 pm

little more stronger as it moves across the GOM....at 96hr
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
cycloneye
Admin
Admin
Posts: 145347
Age: 68
Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico

Re: ATL: INVEST 90L - Models

#953 Postby cycloneye » Mon Jul 25, 2011 11:23 pm

South Texas Storms wrote:When will the GFDL and HWRF models be run on this system? Shouldn't the 0z runs almost be done by now?


Both will be available between 1:30 AM-2:00 AM EDT.
0 likes   
Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here
Top
User avatar
HouTXmetro
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 3949
Joined: Sun Jun 13, 2004 6:00 pm
Location: District of Columbia, USA

#954 Postby HouTXmetro » Mon Jul 25, 2011 11:28 pm

Hasn't the trend been diminishing convection at night with this system? I must say that the sustained convective display tonight is impressive for a system which was almost left for dead and taken off life support less than 24 hours ago.
0 likes   
[Disclaimer: My Amateur Opinion, please defer to your local authorities or the NHC for Guidance.]
Top
User avatar
ROCK
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 9484
Age: 54
Joined: Tue Aug 17, 2004 7:30 am
Location: Kemah, Texas

Re: ATL: INVEST 90L - Discussion

#955 Postby ROCK » Mon Jul 25, 2011 11:30 pm

interesting wind shifts at this buoy though the report is 2 hours old...

http://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/station_page.php?station=lciy2
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
Rgv20
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 2466
Age: 38
Joined: Wed Jan 05, 2011 5:42 pm
Location: Edinburg/McAllen Tx

#956 Postby Rgv20 » Mon Jul 25, 2011 11:40 pm

Finally 90l is keeping its Showers and Thunderstorms during the night time hours.
0 likes   
The following post is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including storm2k.org For Official Information please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
Top
User avatar
ROCK
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 9484
Age: 54
Joined: Tue Aug 17, 2004 7:30 am
Location: Kemah, Texas

Re: ATL: INVEST 90L - Models

#957 Postby ROCK » Mon Jul 25, 2011 11:52 pm

https://www.fnmoc.navy.mil/wxmap_cgi/cg ... t=Tropical

models jumping on board.....I know how much Ivan loves the NOGAPS.... :lol:
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
South Texas Storms
Professional-Met
Professional-Met
Posts: 4226
Joined: Thu Jun 24, 2010 12:28 am
Location: Houston, TX

Re: ATL: INVEST 90L - Models

#958 Postby South Texas Storms » Tue Jul 26, 2011 12:01 am

CMC on board Rock?
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
ROCK
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 9484
Age: 54
Joined: Tue Aug 17, 2004 7:30 am
Location: Kemah, Texas

Re: ATL: INVEST 90L - Discussion

#959 Postby ROCK » Tue Jul 26, 2011 12:04 am

Ivanhater wrote:Still blowing over the MLC

Image


Ivan you see that cold top 80dbz.....thats what I have been looking for...if that expands then a LLC has formed and is tapping into that 88F water....JMO
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
Ivanhater
Storm2k Moderator
Storm2k Moderator
Posts: 11161
Age: 38
Joined: Fri Jul 01, 2005 8:25 am
Location: Pensacola

Re: ATL: INVEST 90L - Models

#960 Postby Ivanhater » Tue Jul 26, 2011 12:06 am

South Texas Storms wrote:CMC on board Rock?


Canadian still shows nothing.
0 likes   
Michael
Top
Post Reply

Return to “2011”

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: No registered users and 29 guests