ATL: DON - Remnant - Discussion

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South Texas Storms
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Re: ATL: INVEST 90L - Discussion

#941 Postby South Texas Storms » Mon Jul 25, 2011 11:05 pm

NDG wrote:00z gfs is also slightly stronger with its H85 vorticity than its previous 18z run.


Still a little too weak imo. I'm interested to see what the 0z Euro shows in a few hours.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 90L - Discussion

#942 Postby ROCK » Mon Jul 25, 2011 11:09 pm

the NHC thinks so much of it they wont even put a floater on it.....nice.... :D

if that MLC is not at the surface its pretty darn close IMO....its maintaining now that it ever has right over the COC...I would like to see more feederbands though...which I suspect will come about in the morning.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 90L - Discussion

#943 Postby ROCK » Mon Jul 25, 2011 11:10 pm

moved to the model thread... :D
Last edited by ROCK on Mon Jul 25, 2011 11:14 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 90L - Models

#944 Postby ROCK » Mon Jul 25, 2011 11:11 pm

0z GFS

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Re: ATL: INVEST 90L - Models

#945 Postby Ptarmigan » Mon Jul 25, 2011 11:12 pm

I don't put a lot of stock in NAM. However, I think 90L has a good chance at development. The question is will 90L be a tropical storm or hurricane. I think when 90L does develop, I think it will be a small storm.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 90L - Discussion

#946 Postby cycloneye » Mon Jul 25, 2011 11:12 pm

Let's post the model graphics at the models thread,to leave this main 90L thread for discussions. :)
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Re: ATL: INVEST 90L - Discussion

#947 Postby lester » Mon Jul 25, 2011 11:14 pm

GFS has nada at the surface just like the past 30 runs imo :P

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#948 Postby NDG » Mon Jul 25, 2011 11:16 pm

Looking at the gfs forecasted upper level winds, 90L will have a very limited outflow if any on its NE quadrant due to the strong easterly shearing winds from the death ridge.

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Re: ATL: INVEST 90L - Models

#949 Postby cycloneye » Mon Jul 25, 2011 11:16 pm

84 hours 00z GFS.

Image
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Re: ATL: INVEST 90L - Discussion

#950 Postby ROCK » Mon Jul 25, 2011 11:18 pm

lester wrote:GFS has nada at the surface just like the past 30 runs imo :P

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GFS has been horrible this year...never saw Bret or Cindy... horrible with showing no development into August.....right now its batting 0 for 3.... :D
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Re: ATL: INVEST 90L - Models

#951 Postby ROCK » Mon Jul 25, 2011 11:20 pm

Image
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Re: ATL: INVEST 90L - Models

#952 Postby ROCK » Mon Jul 25, 2011 11:21 pm

little more stronger as it moves across the GOM....at 96hr
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Re: ATL: INVEST 90L - Models

#953 Postby cycloneye » Mon Jul 25, 2011 11:23 pm

South Texas Storms wrote:When will the GFDL and HWRF models be run on this system? Shouldn't the 0z runs almost be done by now?


Both will be available between 1:30 AM-2:00 AM EDT.
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#954 Postby HouTXmetro » Mon Jul 25, 2011 11:28 pm

Hasn't the trend been diminishing convection at night with this system? I must say that the sustained convective display tonight is impressive for a system which was almost left for dead and taken off life support less than 24 hours ago.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 90L - Discussion

#955 Postby ROCK » Mon Jul 25, 2011 11:30 pm

interesting wind shifts at this buoy though the report is 2 hours old...

http://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/station_page.php?station=lciy2
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#956 Postby Rgv20 » Mon Jul 25, 2011 11:40 pm

Finally 90l is keeping its Showers and Thunderstorms during the night time hours.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 90L - Models

#957 Postby ROCK » Mon Jul 25, 2011 11:52 pm

https://www.fnmoc.navy.mil/wxmap_cgi/cg ... t=Tropical

models jumping on board.....I know how much Ivan loves the NOGAPS.... :lol:
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Re: ATL: INVEST 90L - Models

#958 Postby South Texas Storms » Tue Jul 26, 2011 12:01 am

CMC on board Rock?
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Re: ATL: INVEST 90L - Discussion

#959 Postby ROCK » Tue Jul 26, 2011 12:04 am

Ivanhater wrote:Still blowing over the MLC

Image


Ivan you see that cold top 80dbz.....thats what I have been looking for...if that expands then a LLC has formed and is tapping into that 88F water....JMO
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Re: ATL: INVEST 90L - Models

#960 Postby Ivanhater » Tue Jul 26, 2011 12:06 am

South Texas Storms wrote:CMC on board Rock?


Canadian still shows nothing.
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