ATL: DON - Remnant - Discussion

[Hurricane Jed]

The following post is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including storm2k.org. For Official Information please refer to the NHC and NWS products.


I agree. From there I say Category 1/2 with a landfall between Corpus and Galveston.

[TwisterFanatic]

0z NAM closes this off just entering the GOM at 54 hours.

[South Texas Storms]

The following post is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including storm2k.org. For Official Information please refer to the NHC and NWS products.


I agree. From there I say Category 1/2 with a landfall between Corpus and Galveston.

Wow Jed that's a bold prediction there. It's not impossible though. Anything can happen in the tropics.

[South Texas Storms]

Wow tonight's 0z NAM is certainly going to raise some eyebrows. It shows this system really starting to develop once it reaches the Gulf.

[TwisterFanatic]

500mb Vort, 66 hours:

[lester]

Too bad its the third worst tropical model in existence

[TwisterFanatic]

Wow tonight's 0z NAM is certainly going to raise some eyebrows. It shows this system really starting to develop once it reaches the Gulf.

Eh, I doubt it, after all, it is still the NAM.

[South Texas Storms]

Yeah but right now anything showing development of this system will cause a stir. This board is dead tonight.

[Ivanhater]

Too bad its the third worst tropical model in existence

Baby steps

[South Texas Storms]

Michael what are your thoughts on this system?

[Migle]

Yeah but right now anything showing development of this system will cause a stir. This board is dead tonight.

As expected. There's nothing going on at the moment. I don't for see a stir.

[drezee]

Too bad its the third worst tropical model in existence

Baby steps

So your saying there's a chance...YES!!!

[Ivanhater]

Michael what are your thoughts on this system?

Who knows but any active wave heading toward the Western Caribbean as we head close to August needs to be watched.

[lester]

The following post is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including storm2k.org. For Official Information please refer to the NHC and NWS products.


I agree. From there I say Category 1/2 with a landfall between Corpus and Galveston.

It may not be a tropical storm by then

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[South Texas Storms]

Michael what are your thoughts on this system?

Who knows but any active wave heading toward the Western Caribbean as we head close to August needs to be watched.

I agree. Anything in the western Caribbean can spin up in a hurry with those very warm waters.

[Hurricane Jed]

Yeah but I think it all depends on how much it interacts with land and how fast it strengthens etc. Isn't it if the storm remains weak it tends to track west for the most part and if it strengthens it can turn more northwest?

[TwisterFanatic]

And the nightly waning of the convection is occurring..

Edit: Well, at least on the northern side..

[South Texas Storms]

Too bad its the third worst tropical model in existence

I don't think the NAM is as bad as it used to be. It handled Tropical Storm Hermine very well last year.j

[TwisterFanatic]

84 hours:

[NDG]

If tonight's NAM verifies it will be the first this year it develops a storm with no global model support, I lost count of how many ghost storms it has try to develop this year, lol.