New invest 93L

This is the general tropical discussion area. Anyone can take their shot at predicting a storms path.

Moderator: S2k Moderators

Forum rules

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K. For official information, please refer to products from the National Hurricane Center and National Weather Service.

Help Support Storm2K
Post Reply
Message
Author
User avatar
ameriwx2003
Category 4
Category 4
Posts: 980
Joined: Tue Jul 22, 2003 10:45 am

New invest 93L

#1 Postby ameriwx2003 » Mon Aug 25, 2003 5:40 am

New Invest for that big wave exiting the African Coast up and here is a link to the tropical model run:):)

http://twister.sbs.ohio-state.edu/text/ ... s/03082506
0 likes   
Top
Anonymous

#2 Postby Anonymous » Mon Aug 25, 2003 5:46 am

Great minds think alike :)
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
cycloneye
Admin
Admin
Posts: 145351
Age: 68
Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico

#3 Postby cycloneye » Mon Aug 25, 2003 5:49 am

Well americwx2003 I have the charts ready to track this longtracker that I expect to be a formidable hurricane down the road but the important thing is where will it go or a fish or to the west towards the islands
0 likes   
Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here
Top
Anonymous

#4 Postby Anonymous » Mon Aug 25, 2003 5:56 am

I have never seen black cloud tops before, is this normal for potent storms?
0 likes   
Top
Tip
Category 1
Category 1
Posts: 325
Joined: Fri May 30, 2003 7:31 am

#5 Postby Tip » Mon Aug 25, 2003 6:11 am

This is no "compact" storm. The cloud cover associated with the wave encompasses over 10 degrees of latittude.

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT/EATL/IR4/20.jpg
0 likes   
Top
Guest

#6 Postby Guest » Mon Aug 25, 2003 6:12 am

That's if it maintains its convection while over water. Already looks like this morning its not as impressive as it was over land. Time will tell if this one will be a watcher or another vanisher.
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
Scott_inVA
Storm2k Forecaster
Storm2k Forecaster
Posts: 1238
Joined: Sat Oct 12, 2002 5:44 pm
Location: Lexington, Virginia
Contact:
Contact Scott_inVA

Re: New invest 92L

#7 Postby Scott_inVA » Mon Aug 25, 2003 6:44 am

ameriwx2003 wrote:New Invest for that big wave exiting the African Coast up and here is a link to the tropical model run:):)

http://twister.sbs.ohio-state.edu/text/ ... s/03082506


So far, SHIPS has it only to 26 kts at 120.
Can't believe I'm quoting SHIPS either :roll:

Scott
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
cycloneye
Admin
Admin
Posts: 145351
Age: 68
Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico

#8 Postby cycloneye » Mon Aug 25, 2003 6:50 am

ameriwx2003 I edited the number of the invest from 92L to 93L as they changed it correctly :)
0 likes   
Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here
Top
Steve H.
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 2146
Joined: Sat Oct 19, 2002 9:06 am
Location: Palm Bay, Florida

#9 Postby Steve H. » Mon Aug 25, 2003 7:05 am

Forget the intensity model for now. though I think it will evolve slowly, but expect a TS in three days. The further west it develops of course, the more dangerous is it could be. The SHIPS/D will adjust in successive runs.
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
Colin
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 5086
Joined: Fri Apr 18, 2003 4:17 pm
Location: Catasauqua, PA
Contact:
Contact Colin

#10 Postby Colin » Mon Aug 25, 2003 9:32 am

This could be the BIG one...
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
JCT777
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 6251
Joined: Mon Oct 14, 2002 9:21 am
Location: Spring Mount, PA
Contact:
Contact JCT777

#11 Postby JCT777 » Mon Aug 25, 2003 9:42 am

Let's see what this one can do. I am not holding my breath, since so many other promising-looking storms have fizzled.
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
The_Cycloman_PR
Category 1
Category 1
Posts: 316
Joined: Mon Oct 28, 2002 12:10 pm
Location: Puerto Rico

#12 Postby The_Cycloman_PR » Mon Aug 25, 2003 11:11 am

JCT777 wrote:Let's see what this one can do. I am not holding my breath, since so many other promising-looking storms have fizzled.


Agree! I will give it 2 days to see how the convection behave in it's route across the eastern Atlantic, then we'll talk about it. There have been many systems so far this year as strong as this one, that have vanish or lost most of it's convection in the mid Atlantic because of the influence of dry air, subsidence, the SAL of last month, etc. Let's see if conditions over the Atlantic have improved for this one.
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
ameriwx2003
Category 4
Category 4
Posts: 980
Joined: Tue Jul 22, 2003 10:45 am

#13 Postby ameriwx2003 » Mon Aug 25, 2003 11:55 am

Luis... thanks for the edit:):). I have a feeling this one will make a run at the Islands:):). Things look to be ramping up this week:):)
0 likes   
Top
Post Reply

Return to “Talkin' Tropics”

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: Hurricanehink, sasha_B and 44 guests