Severe Weather - Week of May 22 Sunday thru Thursday

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CrazyC83
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Re: Severe Weather - Week of May 22 Sunday thru Thursday

#441 Postby CrazyC83 » Tue May 24, 2011 2:41 pm

New PDS Tornado Watch coming by 4 pm.

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0932
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0235 PM CDT TUE MAY 24 2011

AREAS AFFECTED...CNTRL AND SRN KS...NRN OK

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...TORNADO WATCH LIKELY

VALID 241935Z - 242100Z

A SEVERE THREAT WILL LIKELY DEVELOP ACROSS NRN OK AND SRN KS LATE
THIS AFTERNOON AS STORMS INITIATE AND MOVE INTO THE REGION FROM THE
SOUTHWEST. A TORNADO WATCH WILL BE REQUIRED PRIOR TO 21Z.

SFC ANALYSIS SHOWS A RAPIDLY DEEPENING 994 MB LOW ACROSS THE ERN OK
PANHANDLE WITH A DRYLINE MOVING EWD ACROSS WRN OK. THUNDERSTORMS ARE
DEVELOPING ALONG THE DRYLINE AHEAD OF A STRONGLY UNSTABLE AIRMASS
WHERE MESOANALYSIS SHOWS MLCAPE VALUES RANGING FROM 3500 TO 4500
J/KG. IN ADDITION...A WELL-DEFINED MID-LEVEL JET 70 TO 85 KT
ENTERING WEST TX WILL EJECT NEWD ACROSS THE MCD AREA LATE THIS
AFTERNOON INTO EARLY THIS EVENING. THIS WILL CREATE VERY FAVORABLE
DEEP LAYER SHEAR PROFILES FOR SUPERCELLS. THIS POTENTIAL WILL
INCREASE AS THE SUPERCELLS CURRENTLY IN WRN OK MOVE NEWD INTO SRN KS
OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF HOURS. AS THE UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH MOVES INTO
THE REGION FROM THE WEST...THE LOW-LEVEL JET WILL QUICKLY STRENGTHEN
RESULTING IN VERY FAVORABLE CONDITIONS FOR TORNADOES. A THREAT FOR
STRONG LONG-TRACK TORNADOES WILL LIKELY EXIST WITH THE MORE DOMINANT
SUPERCELLS WITH THIS THREAT INCREASING WITH TIME.


..BROYLES.. 05/24/2011


ATTN...WFO...TSA...TOP...ICT...OUN...DDC...

LAT...LON 39049645 39019804 38839927 38349974 37639976 37059947
36649888 36609741 36949604 37449564 38149562 39049645
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#442 Postby CrazyC83 » Tue May 24, 2011 2:44 pm

2000Z update: Little change. Slight expansion of the MDT area northwest.
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#443 Postby CrazyC83 » Tue May 24, 2011 2:45 pm

Rapidly rotating. Should be a Tornado Warning IMO.

WWUS54 KOUN 241944
SVSOUN

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
244 PM CDT TUE MAY 24 2011

OKC043-242000-
/O.CON.KOUN.SV.W.0246.000000T0000Z-110524T2000Z/
DEWEY OK-
244 PM CDT TUE MAY 24 2011

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 300 PM CDT
FOR EASTERN DEWEY COUNTY...

AT 244 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RADAR DETECTED A SEVERE
THUNDERSTORM 8 MILES SOUTHEAST OF TALOGA...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 40
MPH.

HAZARDS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE...
HAIL UP TO THE SIZE OF TENNIS BALLS...
WIND GUSTS TO 65 MPH...

* LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE EXTREME WESTERN CANTON LAKE...
HUCMAC...OAKWOOD...PUTNAM AND TALOGA.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN PRODUCE TORNADOES WITH NO ADVANCE WARNING.
MOVE IMMEDIATELY TO A STORM SHELTER... BASEMENT OR STURDY BUILDING IF
A TORNADO IS SIGHTED.

&&

LAT...LON 3595 9864 3587 9872 3584 9898 3600 9905
3616 9891 3616 9868
TIME...MOT...LOC 1944Z 215DEG 33KT 3597 9886

$$
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#444 Postby snoopj » Tue May 24, 2011 3:11 pm

It looks like the supercells have finally separated enough to finally go tornadic in W. Oklahoma.
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#445 Postby WeatherGuesser » Tue May 24, 2011 3:14 pm

3 TOR in OK, 3 elsewhere
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Re: Severe Weather - Week of May 22 Sunday thru Thursday

#446 Postby HockeyTx82 » Tue May 24, 2011 3:14 pm

That storm NE of Abilene looked pretty impressive, but now it seems to be dying out? What's gives? Of course I am all for the storms not being bad but what could be causing it? Could the cap be holding on?

http://radar.weather.gov/radar.php?rid= ... 1&loop=yes

One looks to be building right along I20 East of Abliene.....................
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#447 Postby snoopj » Tue May 24, 2011 3:30 pm

Storm chasers on the Blaine-Dewey-Major-Woods County storm in OK are reporting a large tornado (estimated 1/2 mile wide) on the ground at 20:26Z. Severe Weather Statement just came out with that as well:

AT 328 PM CDT...RADAR AND STORM SPOTTERS OBSERVED A TORNADO NEAR
EASTERN CANTON LAKE...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 35 MPH. THIS TORNADO IS
MOVING TOWARD THE LONGDALE AREA. TAKE COVER IMMEDIATELY IF YOU LIVE
IN OR NEAR LONGDALE.
Last edited by snoopj on Tue May 24, 2011 3:34 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: Severe Weather - Week of May 22 Sunday thru Thursday

#448 Postby GCANE » Tue May 24, 2011 3:30 pm

STP starting to pick up now.


Image
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#449 Postby Dave » Tue May 24, 2011 3:38 pm

We just lost the 100 year run with no tornadoes in Milan, where I live...NWS Wilmington OH has confirmed an EF0 hit last night. Mostly roof & tree damage..no injuries.

http://www.wcpo.com/dpp/weather/weather_news/NWS:-2-tornadoes-touch-down-in-Tri-State
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Re:

#450 Postby Texas Snowman » Tue May 24, 2011 3:39 pm

snoopj wrote:It looks like the supercells have finally separated enough to finally go tornadic in W. Oklahoma.


Storms really beginning to fire along the dry line from SW Oklahoma towards Abilene. Long, rough evening coming up in Oklahoma and Texas I'm afraid...
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#451 Postby snoopj » Tue May 24, 2011 3:42 pm

TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
341 PM CDT TUE MAY 24 2011

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN NORMAN HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
WESTERN CANADIAN COUNTY IN CENTRAL OKLAHOMA...
SOUTHERN BLAINE COUNTY IN NORTHWEST OKLAHOMA...
NORTHERN CADDO COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST OKLAHOMA...

* UNTIL 430 PM CDT

* AT 341 PM CDT...A LARGE... VIOLENT TORNADO WAS LOCATED 6 MILES
SOUTH OF HINTON...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 40 MPH.

* LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BRIDGEPORT...CALUMET...CEDAR
LAKE...GEARY AND HINTON.

This goes with the SpotterNetwork report from a storm chaser that a large, multi-vortex tornado was on the ground with this storm.
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#452 Postby Bunkertor » Tue May 24, 2011 3:56 pm

Looks there are at least two massive V on the ground
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Re: Severe Weather - Week of May 22 Sunday thru Thursday

#453 Postby artist » Tue May 24, 2011 3:59 pm

TORNADO WARNING
OKC011-015-017-242130-
/O.NEW.KOUN.TO.W.0042.110524T2041Z-110524T2130Z/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
341 PM CDT TUE MAY 24 2011

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN NORMAN HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
WESTERN CANADIAN COUNTY IN CENTRAL OKLAHOMA...
SOUTHERN BLAINE COUNTY IN NORTHWEST OKLAHOMA...
NORTHERN CADDO COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST OKLAHOMA...

* UNTIL 430 PM CDT

* AT 341 PM CDT...A LARGE... VIOLENT TORNADO WAS LOCATED 6 MILES
SOUTH OF HINTON...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 40 MPH.
* LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BRIDGEPORT...CALUMET...CEDAR
LAKE...GEARY AND HINTON.

LAT...LON 3571 9833 3572 9798 3547 9812 3534 9829
3545 9848
TIME...MOT...LOC 2041Z 218DEG 35KT 3542 9836

$$
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
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#454 Postby Dave » Tue May 24, 2011 4:00 pm

BLAINE OK-CANADIAN OK-CADDO OK-
355 PM CDT TUE MAY 24 2011

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 430 PM CDT FOR NORTHERN
CADDO...WESTERN CANADIAN AND SOUTHERN BLAINE COUNTIES...

AT 350 PM CDT...RADAR CONTINUE TO INDICATE THE POSSIBILITY
OF A TORNADO JUST SOUTHEAST OF HINTON. THIS TORNADIC STORM WILL
LIKELY CROSS I-40 BETWEEN MILES MAKERS 111 AND 106. THE
STORMS ARE MOVING NORTHEAST AT 40 MPH.

* LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BRIDGEPORT...CALUMET...CEDAR
LAKE...GEARY AND HINTON.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

IN ADDITION TO A TORNADO THREAT... THIS STORM LIKELY CONTAINS
DAMAGING HAIL TO THE SIZE OF BASEBALLS OR LARGER.
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#455 Postby Dave » Tue May 24, 2011 4:01 pm

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
400 PM CDT TUE MAY 24 2011

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN NORMAN HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
CANADIAN COUNTY IN CENTRAL OKLAHOMA...

* UNTIL 445 PM CDT

* AT 359 PM CDT...A THUNDERSTORM WITH A HISTORY OF PRODUCING
TORNADOES WAS LOCATED 9 MILES SOUTHWEST OF CALUMET...MOVING
NORTHEAST AT 40 MPH. PERSONS ACROSS THE WESTERN SIDES OF THE
OKLAHOMA CITY METRO NEED TO TAKE IMMEDIATE TORNADO PRECAUTIONS.

* LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE CALUMET...CEDAR LAKE...CONCHO...EL
RENO...NORTHWESTERN OKLAHOMA CITY...OKARCHE...PIEDMONT...RICHLAND
AND YUKON.

THIS INCLUDES INTERSTATE 40 BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 105 AND 137.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TAKE COVER NOW. LEAVE MOBILE HOMES AND VEHICLES.
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#456 Postby artist » Tue May 24, 2011 4:02 pm

Tornado Warning(s)
all or portions of the following counties,
In Oklahoma: Alfalfa, Blaine, Blaine, Caddo, Caddo, Canadian, Kingfisher, Major, Major, Washita
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#457 Postby snoopj » Tue May 24, 2011 4:03 pm

Looks like the outskirts of OKC on the west side are going to effected by this storm.

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
400 PM CDT TUE MAY 24 2011

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN NORMAN HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
CANADIAN COUNTY IN CENTRAL OKLAHOMA...

* UNTIL 445 PM CDT

* AT 359 PM CDT...A THUNDERSTORM WITH A HISTORY OF PRODUCING
TORNADOES WAS LOCATED 9 MILES SOUTHWEST OF CALUMET...MOVING
NORTHEAST AT 40 MPH. PERSONS ACROSS THE WESTERN SIDES OF THE
OKLAHOMA CITY METRO NEED TO TAKE IMMEDIATE TORNADO PRECAUTIONS.


* LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE CALUMET...CEDAR LAKE...CONCHO...EL
RENO...NORTHWESTERN OKLAHOMA CITY...OKARCHE...PIEDMONT...RICHLAND
AND YUKON.

THIS INCLUDES INTERSTATE 40 BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 105 AND 137.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TAKE COVER NOW. LEAVE MOBILE HOMES AND VEHICLES. IF POSSIBLE...MOVE
TO A BASEMENT OR STORM SHELTER. OTHERWISE MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM OR
HALLWAY ON THE LOWEST FLOOR. STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS AND OUTSIDE
WALLS.

THIS TORNADO IS LIKELY OBSCURED BY RAIN AND MAY NOT BE VISIBLE.
ABANDON MOBILE HOMES AND VEHICLES. IF POSSIBLE... MOVE TO A BASEMENT
OR STORM SHELTER. OTHERWISE MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM OR HALLWAY ON
THE LOWEST FLOOR. STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS.
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#458 Postby RL3AO » Tue May 24, 2011 4:06 pm

190kt g2g shear west of El Reno.

Image
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#459 Postby snoopj » Tue May 24, 2011 4:07 pm

Um, am I reading this right?

-115.6kts near a +94.2kts on that storm for Canadian county in OK?

Edit: Apparently I am according to the post above me.
Last edited by snoopj on Tue May 24, 2011 4:08 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Re:

#460 Postby RL3AO » Tue May 24, 2011 4:08 pm

snoopj wrote:Um, am I reading this right?

-115.6kts near a +94.2kts on that storm for Canadian county in OK?


Yep.
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