Severe Weather - Week of May 22 Sunday thru Thursday

[TwisterFanatic]

Mike Bettes on site in Joplin on TWC. Unreal damage.

[psyclone]

mike bettes has been incorrectly identifying a white, smoke like cloud coming from near the hospital in joplin as a fire. it is not. it is some sort of a gas leak. that scene is just awful.

[CrazyC83]

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0871
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0709 PM CDT SUN MAY 22 2011

AREAS AFFECTED...NWRN LOWER MI

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE

VALID 230009Z - 230145Z

A SEVERE THREAT COULD EVOLVE ACROSS NWRN PORTIONS OF LOWER MI THIS
EVENING. IT IS NOT CLEAR WHETHER A WW IS WARRANTED AT THIS TIME DUE
TO POTENTIAL LIMITING FACTORS. HOWEVER..AREA WILL CONTINUE TO BE
MONITORED...AND ANY WW ISSUANCE WILL ULTIMATELY DEPEND ON CONVECTIVE
TRENDS.

CLUSTER OF STORMS IS CROSSING LAKE MI AND APPROACHING THE COAST OF
LOWER MI. HOWEVER...DEWPOINTS ARE ONLY IN THE 50S INLAND FROM THE
COAST...AND MORE SUBSTANTIAL BOUNDARY LAYER MOISTURE RECOVERY HAS
BEEN LIMITED IN PART BY CONVECTION FARTHER SOUTH. NEVERTHELESS
OBJECTIVE ANALYSIS SHOW THE ATMOSPHERE TO BE MODERATELY UNSTABLE
WITH 1000-1500 J/KG MLCAPE. VERTICAL SHEAR IS MODEST...BUT WILL
LIKELY INCREASE LATER THIS EVENING AS THE UPPER LOW AND LLJ SHIFT
EWD. WHILE THE LOWER DEWPOINTS AND MODEST SHEAR WILL TEND TO LIMIT
TORNADO POTENTIAL...HIGH TEMPERATURE-DEWPOINTS SPREADS MAY ENHANCE
THE THREAT FOR DAMAGING WIND...BUT LOSS OF DIABATIC WARMING COULD
POTENTIALLY SERVE AS A LIMITING FACTOR.

..DIAL.. 05/23/2011


ATTN...WFO...APX...GRR...

LAT...LON 43738506 43638629 44638603 45548486 45238409 43738506

[Dave]

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
713 PM CDT SUN MAY 22 2011

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TULSA HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
NORTHERN CHEROKEE COUNTY IN EAST CENTRAL OKLAHOMA
NORTHERN ADAIR COUNTY IN NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA
SOUTHERN DELAWARE COUNTY IN NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA
SOUTHEASTERN MAYES COUNTY IN NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA

* UNTIL 815 PM CDT

* AT 711 PM CDT...A TORNADO WAS INDICATED BY RADAR 3 MILES SOUTHWEST
OF PEGGS...MOVING EAST AT 25 MPH. THIS IS A DANGEROUS STORM WITH
STRONG LOW LEVEL ROTATION...A TORNADO IS OCCURRING OR COULD FORM AT
ANY TIME.

* SOME LOCATIONS IN OR NEAR THE PATH OF THIS STORM INCLUDE...PEGGS...
OAKS...SCRAPER...KANSAS...PROCTOR...CHRISTIE...WEST SILOAM
SPRINGS...WATTS...WESTVILLE AND BARON.

[Dave]

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
715 PM CDT SUN MAY 22 2011

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN ST LOUIS HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
EXTREME NORTHWESTERN FRANKLIN COUNTY IN EAST CENTRAL MISSOURI...
NORTHERN GASCONADE COUNTY IN EAST CENTRAL MISSOURI...
MONTGOMERY COUNTY IN EAST CENTRAL MISSOURI...
NORTHEASTERN OSAGE COUNTY IN CENTRAL MISSOURI...
WARREN COUNTY IN EAST CENTRAL MISSOURI...

* UNTIL 800 PM CDT

* AT 713 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO. THIS DANGEROUS
STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR HERMANN...AND MOVING EAST AT 30 MPH.

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
WARRENTON...WRIGHT CITY...TRUESDALE AND BERGER.

[Dave]

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0871
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0709 PM CDT SUN MAY 22 2011

AREAS AFFECTED...NWRN LOWER MI

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE

VALID 230009Z - 230145Z

A SEVERE THREAT COULD EVOLVE ACROSS NWRN PORTIONS OF LOWER MI THIS
EVENING. IT IS NOT CLEAR WHETHER A WW IS WARRANTED AT THIS TIME DUE
TO POTENTIAL LIMITING FACTORS. HOWEVER..AREA WILL CONTINUE TO BE
MONITORED...AND ANY WW ISSUANCE WILL ULTIMATELY DEPEND ON CONVECTIVE
TRENDS.

CLUSTER OF STORMS IS CROSSING LAKE MI AND APPROACHING THE COAST OF
LOWER MI. HOWEVER...DEWPOINTS ARE ONLY IN THE 50S INLAND FROM THE
COAST...AND MORE SUBSTANTIAL BOUNDARY LAYER MOISTURE RECOVERY HAS
BEEN LIMITED IN PART BY CONVECTION FARTHER SOUTH. NEVERTHELESS
OBJECTIVE ANALYSIS SHOW THE ATMOSPHERE TO BE MODERATELY UNSTABLE
WITH 1000-1500 J/KG MLCAPE. VERTICAL SHEAR IS MODEST...BUT WILL
LIKELY INCREASE LATER THIS EVENING AS THE UPPER LOW AND LLJ SHIFT
EWD. WHILE THE LOWER DEWPOINTS AND MODEST SHEAR WILL TEND TO LIMIT
TORNADO POTENTIAL...HIGH TEMPERATURE-DEWPOINTS SPREADS MAY ENHANCE
THE THREAT FOR DAMAGING WIND...BUT LOSS OF DIABATIC WARMING COULD
POTENTIALLY SERVE AS A LIMITING FACTOR.

..DIAL.. 05/23/2011


ATTN...WFO...APX...GRR...

[CrazyC83]

Joplin cell trying to intensify again as it approaches Springfield?

[Dave]

MAY 22 201800 EDT
TORNADO
5 MI S GROVE
DELAWARE COUNTY
OK
TRAINED SPOTTER

[CajunMama]

I just turned on TWC and these live shots. OMG. I can't put on here what i actually said when i saw the scene.

Do we have any members in joplin? I know wx247 and streetsoldier are from MO but they're not in joplin.

[Dave]

CHRISTIAN MO-STONE MO-
724 PM CDT SUN MAY 22 2011

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 745 PM CDT FOR NORTHERN
STONE AND WESTERN CHRISTIAN COUNTIES...

AT 721 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO INDICATE A TORNADO NEAR GALENA...OR 12 MILES SOUTHWEST OF HIGHLANDVILLE...MOVING EAST AT 40 MPH. THIS STORM HAS A HISTORY OF PRODUCING DAMAGING TORNADOES.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE BOAZ...CLEVER...CRANE...ELSEY...GALENA...
HURLEY...PONCE DE LEON AND REEDS SPRING.

OTHER LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE TABLE ROCK LAKE.

IN ADDITION TO A TORNADO...THIS STORM IS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING LARGE
DAMAGING HAIL UP TO GOLF BALL SIZE.

[Dave]

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
724 PM CDT SUN MAY 22 2011

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN ST LOUIS HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
CENTRAL LINCOLN COUNTY IN EAST CENTRAL MISSOURI...

* UNTIL 815 PM CDT

* AT 722 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO. THIS DANGEROUS
STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR HAWK POINT...OR 10 MILES WEST OF TROY...AND
MOVING EAST AT 45 MPH.

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
TROY...DAVIS...WINFIELD...CAVE AND FOLEY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TAKE COVER NOW. MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
STURDY BUILDING. AVOID WINDOWS. IF IN A MOBILE HOME...A VEHICLE OR
OUTDOORS...MOVE TO THE CLOSEST SUBSTANTIAL SHELTER AND PROTECT
YOURSELF FROM FLYING DEBRIS.

[Dave]

Possible tornado near Galena MO

[Dave]

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
728 PM CDT SUN MAY 22 2011

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SPRINGFIELD HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
NORTHWESTERN TANEY COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST MISSOURI...
SOUTHEASTERN CHRISTIAN COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST MISSOURI...

* UNTIL 815 PM CDT.

* AT 721 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
TORNADO 9 MILES WEST OF SPOKANE...OR 11 MILES SOUTHWEST OF
HIGHLANDVILLE...MOVING EAST AT 35 MPH. THIS STORM HAS A HISTORY OF
PRODUCING DAMAGING TORNADOES IN JOPLIN AND WENTWORTH MISSOURI.

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE CHESTNUTRIDGE...FORSYTH...GARRISON...
HIGHLANDVILLE...KISSEE MILLS...MERRIAM WOODS...ROCKAWAY BEACH...
SPOKANE...TANEYVILLE AND WALNUT SHADE.

IN ADDITION TO A TORNADO...THIS STORM IS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING LARGE
DAMAGING HAIL UP TO GOLF BALL SIZE.

[Dave]

Graphics for the warning above:

[Dave]

West of St Louis MO

FRANKLIN MO-GASCONADE MO-WARREN MO-
729 PM CDT SUN MAY 22 2011

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR CENTRAL WARREN...NORTHERN GASCONADE AND EXTREME NORTHWESTERN FRANKLIN COUNTIES UNTIL 800 PM CDT...

AT 726 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO. THIS DANGEROUS STORM WAS LOCATED 7 MILES NORTHWEST OF TRELOAR...OR 8 MILES EAST OF HERMANN...MOVING EAST AT 30 MPH. THERE IS VERY STRONG ROTATION WITH THIS STORM TAKE SHELTER NOW!

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
WARRENTON...WRIGHT CITY AND TRUESDALE.

[Dave]

SW MO

STONE MO-
731 PM CDT SUN MAY 22 2011

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 745 PM CDT FOR NORTHERN
STONE COUNTY...

AT 726 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO
INDICATE A TORNADO 3 MILES EAST OF GALENA...OR 11 MILES SOUTHWEST OF
HIGHLANDVILLE...MOVING EAST AT 35 MPH. THIS STORM HAS A HISTORY OF
PRODUCING TORNADOES TO THE WEST OF THE AREA.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE GALENA...HURLEY...PONCE DE LEON AND REEDS
SPRING.

IN ADDITION TO A TORNADO...THIS STORM IS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING LARGE
DAMAGING HAIL UP TO GOLF BALL SIZE.

[Dave]

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0872
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0720 PM CDT SUN MAY 22 2011

AREAS AFFECTED...NRN IND...SRN LOWER MI...NWRN/W-CNTRL OH

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 332...

VALID 230020Z - 230215Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 332
CONTINUES.

AN ORGANIZED...LEADING-LINE/TRAILING-STRATIFORM MCS CONTINUES MOVING
EWD ACROSS PORTIONS OF SRN LOWER MI AND NRN IND. THE NORTH WEBSTER
IND VWP SAMPLED WLY WINDS AROUND 45 KT NEAR 1 KM AGL ASSOCIATED WITH
THE REAR-INFLOW JET ATTENDANT TO THE MCS. THIS FEATURE HAS AIDED IN
PRODUCING DMGG WINDS ACROSS NRN IND...AND A MEASURED SEVERE GUST IN
KALAMAZOO COUNTY MI. RECENT RADAR TRENDS INDICATE THAT OUTFLOW HAS
SURGED AHEAD OF PARENT CONVECTION...SUGGESTING THAT THE MCS IS IN
ITS DECAY STAGE AND WILL EXHIBIT AN OVERALL WEAKENING TREND.
NEVERTHELESS...THE THREAT FOR A FEW DMGG WIND GUSTS COULD CONTINUE
AS IT TRACKS TOWARD THE ERN EDGE OF THE WW OWING TO DCAPE VALUES IN
EXCESS OF 1000 J/KG. FARTHER EAST INTO NWRN OH AND SERN LOWER
MI...THE SVR THREAT WILL BE SUBSTANTIALLY REDUCED AS THE BOUNDARY
LAYER STABILIZES WITH THE LOSS OF PRECONVECTIVE DIABATIC HEATING.
THUS...AND AN ADDITIONAL WW DOWNSTREAM WILL NOT BE NEEDED.

WHILE A TEMPORARY LULL IN THE SVR THREAT MAY OCCUR IN THE WAKE OF
THE AFOREMENTIONED MCS...THE SVR THREAT COULD INCREASE THEREAFTER AS
ADDITIONAL CONVECTION UPSTREAM OVER IL AND WI MOVES INTO THE WW.
WHILE THE COLD POOL IN THE WAKE OF THE MCS MAY LIMIT THE POTENTIAL
FOR SFC-BASED STORMS ACROSS NRN IND AND SWRN LOWER MI...UNSTABLE
PARCELS ORIGINATING FROM THE SFC UPSTREAM /SBCAPE OF 1469 J PER KG
ACCORDING TO THE CENTRAL ILLINOIS 00Z SOUNDING/ COMBINED WITH
ADEQUATE DEEP-LAYER WIND SHEAR WILL SUPPORT A CONTINUING SVR
POTENTIAL THROUGH THE DURATION OF THE WW.

..COHEN.. 05/23/2011


ATTN...WFO...ILN...DTX...IWX...GRR...IND...LOT...

[HurricaneBill]

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
734 PM CDT SUN MAY 22 2011

MOC119-230045-
/O.CON.KSGF.TO.W.0035.000000T0000Z-110523T0045Z/
MCDONALD MO-
734 PM CDT SUN MAY 22 2011

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 745 PM CDT FOR
SOUTHWESTERN MCDONALD COUNTY...

AT 731 PM CDT...EMERGENCY OFFICIALS REPORTED A LARGE AND EXTREMELY
DANGEROUS TORNADO 2 MILES WEST OF NOEL...OR 10 MILES WEST OF
PINEVILLE...MOVING EAST AT 30 MPH.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE NOEL...PINEVILLE AND SOUTH WEST CITY.

AT 733PM THE TORNADO WAS LOCATED NEAR HIGHWAY 43 AND O NORTH OF
SOUTHWEST CITY.

IN ADDITION TO A TORNADO...THIS STORM IS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING LARGE
DAMAGING HAIL UP TO GOLF BALL SIZE...AND DESTRUCTIVE STRAIGHT LINE
WINDS IN EXCESS OF 70 MPH.

[btangy]

The Joplin storm is just devastating. I'm looking at some of the data and comparing with satellite maps. The strongest rotation went through the center of town. I'm afraid the worst damage may be just N and E of where Mike Bettes is currently reporting from. Unfortunately, this is through densely populated residential areas. Gate-to-gate horizontal shear was at least 170 knots, which is indicative of a high-end event. At least an EF4 and wouldn't at all be surprised if this receives an EF5 rating.

[TwisterFanatic]

Umm, 3 Cone Tornadoes on the ground at once in Eastern Oklahoma. Seriously. Never seen this before.

edit: On the same storm.