Severe Weather - Week of May 22 Sunday thru Thursday

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#81 Postby Dave » Sun May 22, 2011 6:15 pm

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
612 PM CDT SUN MAY 22 2011

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN ST LOUIS HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
EASTERN AUDRAIN COUNTY IN CENTRAL MISSOURI...
NORTHEASTERN CALLAWAY COUNTY IN CENTRAL MISSOURI...
MONTGOMERY COUNTY IN EAST CENTRAL MISSOURI...
SOUTHWESTERN PIKE COUNTY IN NORTHEAST MISSOURI...
SOUTH CENTRAL RALLS COUNTY IN NORTHEAST MISSOURI...

* UNTIL 645 PM CDT

* AT 608 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO. THIS DANGEROUS
STORM WAS LOCATED 6 MILES NORTHEAST OF FULTON...AND MOVING
NORTHEAST AT 35 MPH.

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
WELLSVILLE...VANDALIA...WILLIAMSBURG...SHAMROCK...MARTINSBURG...
LADDONIA...FARBER...BENTON CITY AND MIDDLETOWN.
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Re: Severe Weather - Week of May 22 Sunday thru Thursday

#82 Postby srainhoutx » Sun May 22, 2011 6:17 pm

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Re: Severe Weather - Week of May 22 Sunday thru Thursday

#83 Postby CrazyC83 » Sun May 22, 2011 6:18 pm

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0867
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0610 PM CDT SUN MAY 22 2011

AREAS AFFECTED...CNTRL/SWRN MO...SERN KS...NWRN AR...NERN OK

CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 325...

VALID 222310Z - 230015Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR TORNADO WATCH 325 CONTINUES.

AT 2245-23Z...REGIONAL AND HI-RES RADAR IMAGERY SHOW A CLUSTER OF HP
SUPERCELLS MOVING E-SE AT AROUND 30 KT. MOST SIGNIFICANT STORM /WITH
A HISTORY OF PRODUCING A TORNADO/ IN THIS CLUSTER WAS LOCATED NEAR
JOPLIN AT 2248Z. SGF VWP SHOWS ENLARGED LOW-LEVEL HODOGRAPH
STRUCTURE...WITH 0-1 KM SRH NEAR 200 M2 S-2. GIVEN STRONG SHEAR
PROFILES RESIDE DOWNSTREAM OVER SWRN MO...ALONG WITH AXIS OF MLCAPE
VALUES FROM 2500-4000 J/KG...TORNADO THREAT /POTENTIALLY STRONG/
ALONG WITH VERY LARGE HAIL SHOULD PERSIST AS HP SUPERCELL CLUSTER
MOVES ACROSS THE REMAINDER OF SWRN MO.
FARTHER N OVER CNTRL
MO...CLUSTER OF STORMS WAS MOVING E ACROSS AN ENVIRONMENT
CHARACTERIZED BY STRONG INSTABILITY AND FAVORABLE SHEAR PROFILES FOR
SUPERCELLS POSING A THREAT FOR TORNADOES...LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING
WINDS.

MEANWHILE OVER NERN OK...SUSTAINED STORM DEVELOPMENT APPEARS TO BE
TAKING PLACE BASED ON RECENT REGIONAL REFLECTIVITY. WITH SURFACE
CONDITIONS CHARACTERIZED BY TEMPERATURES IN THE MID 80S AND
DEWPOINTS IN THE LOW 70S...AND 700-500 MB LAPSE RATES AROUND 7
C/KM...EXTREME INSTABILITY RESIDES AHEAD OF THIS NEW DEVELOPMENT
/MLCAPE VALUES NEAR 4000 J PER KG/. AREA VWP/S AND RUC SOUNDINGS
SHOW FAVORABLE WIND PROFILES FOR SUPERCELL DEVELOPMENT AS THIS
ACTIVITY MOVES DOWNSTREAM ACROSS NERN OK INTO NWRN AR...WITH THE
POTENTIAL FOR VERY LARGE HAIL AND TORNADOES CONTINUING INTO THE
EVENING HRS.

OVER S-CNTRL OK...LEFT MOVING SUPERCELL IS RAPIDLY MOVING N TOWARD
THE SWRN CORNER OF WW 325. THIS STORM WILL POSE A THREAT FOR LARGE
HAIL IF IT PERSISTS INTO E-CNTRL/NERN OK.

..GARNER.. 05/22/2011


ATTN...WFO...LSX...LZK...SGF...EAX...TSA...ICT...OUN...

LAT...LON 38779404 38769126 35229404 35229670 38779404
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#84 Postby Dave » Sun May 22, 2011 6:20 pm

JASPER MO-NEWTON MO-LAWRENCE MO-
619 PM CDT SUN MAY 22 2011

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 630 PM CDT FOR
SOUTHWESTERN LAWRENCE...NORTHERN NEWTON AND SOUTHEASTERN JASPER
COUNTIES...

AT 612 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO
INDICATE A TORNADO 4 MILES SOUTHWEST OF REEDS...OR 8 MILES SOUTHEAST
OF CARTHAGE...MOVING EAST AT 35 MPH. THIS STORM HAS A HISTORY OF
PRODUCING A LARGE DAMAGING TORNADO IN JOPLIN MISSOURI.


LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE ATLAS...CARTHAGE...CLIFF VILLAGE...
DIAMOND...DUENWEG...DUQUESNE...FIDELITY...FREISTATT...LA RUSSELL...
LEAWOOD...PIERCE CITY...REDINGS MILL...REEDS...SAGINAW...SARCOXIE...
SHOAL CREEK ESTATES...SHOAL CREEK ESTATE...SILVER CREEK...
SOUTHEASTERN JOPLIN...STOTTS CITY AND WENTWORTH.

INTERSTATE 44 BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 9 AND 41 WILL ALSO BE IMPACTED BY
THIS TORNADO.

IN ADDITION TO A TORNADO...THIS STORM IS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING LARGE
DAMAGING HAIL UP TO BASEBALL SIZE.
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#85 Postby CrazyC83 » Sun May 22, 2011 6:20 pm

On that report, definitely at least an EF3 in Joplin.
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#86 Postby Dave » Sun May 22, 2011 6:23 pm

SRV 1.5 East of Joplin MO

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#87 Postby Dave » Sun May 22, 2011 6:23 pm

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
622 PM CDT SUN MAY 22 2011

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SPRINGFIELD HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
LAWRENCE COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST MISSOURI...
NORTHEASTERN NEWTON COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST MISSOURI...
NORTHERN BARRY COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST MISSOURI...
SOUTHEASTERN JASPER COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST MISSOURI...

* UNTIL 700 PM CDT.

* AT 617 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
TORNADO 4 MILES NORTH OF RITCHEY...OR 14 MILES NORTHWEST OF
MONETT...MOVING EAST AT 45 MPH. THIS STORM IS MOVING INTO STOTTS
CITY. THIS STORM HAS A HISTORY OF PRODUCING A LARGE DAMAGING TORNADO
IN JOPLIN MISSOURI.

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE AURORA...AVILLA...CHESAPEAKE...
DIAMOND...FIDELITY...FREISTATT...HOBERG...LA RUSSELL...MADRY...
MARIONVILLE...MCDOWELL...MONETT...MOUNT VERNON...PIERCE CITY...
PLEASANT RIDGE...REEDS...RITCHEY...SARCOXIE...STOTTS CITY...
VERONA...WENTWORTH AND WHEELERVILLE.

INTERSTATE 44 BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 16 AND 54 WILL ALSO BE IMPACTED BY
THIS TORNADO.

IN ADDITION TO A TORNADO...THIS STORM IS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING LARGE
DAMAGING HAIL UP TO BASEBALL SIZE.

THIS TORNADO WARNING REPLACES THE TORNADO WARNING PREVIOUSLY OUT FOR THIS STORM.
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Re: Severe Weather - Week of May 22 Sunday thru Thursday

#88 Postby HurricaneBill » Sun May 22, 2011 6:26 pm

Up to 30 tornado reports now.
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Re: Severe Weather - Week of May 22 Sunday thru Thursday

#89 Postby CrazyC83 » Sun May 22, 2011 6:26 pm

Farther north...

WWUS53 KGRB 222323
SVSGRB

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREEN BAY WI
623 PM CDT SUN MAY 22 2011

WIC097-135-141-230000-
/O.CON.KGRB.TO.W.0022.000000T0000Z-110523T0000Z/
WAUPACA WI-PORTAGE WI-WOOD WI-
623 PM CDT SUN MAY 22 2011

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR SOUTHEASTERN WOOD...
SOUTHERN PORTAGE AND WEST CENTRAL WAUPACA COUNTIES UNTIL 700 PM
CDT...

AT 615 PM CDT...LOCAL LAW ENFORCEMENT REPORTED A CONFIRMED TORNADO
ON THE GROUND APPROXIMATELY 2 MILES SOUTH OF NEKOOSA.
THIS TORNADO
WILL MOVE ACROSS INTERSTATE 39 BY 630 PM. THIS TORNADO WAS LOCATED
9 MILES SOUTHEAST OF WISCONSIN RAPIDS...MOVING EAST AT 45 MPH.

THE TORNADO WILL BE NEAR...
AMHERST AROUND 645 PM CDT.

OTHER LOCATIONS IMPACTED BY THE TORNADO INCLUDE BANCROFT...KEENE...
ARNOTT...BLAINE...AMHERST JUNCTION...SHERIDAN AND SCANDINAVIA.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TO REPEAT...A TORNADO IS ON THE GROUND. TAKE COVER NOW. MOVE TO AN
INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A STURDY BUILDING. AVOID
WINDOWS. IF IN A MOBILE HOME...A VEHICLE OR OUTDOORS...MOVE TO THE
CLOSEST SUBSTANTIAL SHELTER AND PROTECT YOURSELF FROM FLYING DEBRIS.

&&

LAT...LON 4439 8987 4458 8916 4434 8902 4424 8956
4424 8982
TIME...MOT...LOC 2320Z 252DEG 41KT 4432 8964

$$

MPC
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#90 Postby Dave » Sun May 22, 2011 6:27 pm

Wide area view - BR 0.5 from KSGF SPRINGFIELD MO

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#91 Postby Dave » Sun May 22, 2011 6:27 pm

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
624 PM CDT SUN MAY 22 2011

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TULSA HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
SOUTHEASTERN CRAIG COUNTY IN NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA
NORTHERN DELAWARE COUNTY IN NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA
SOUTHERN OTTAWA COUNTY IN NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA

* UNTIL 700 PM CDT

* AT 622 PM CDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A
TORNADO WAS LOCATED 4 MILES WEST OF CLEORA...MOVING EAST AT 30 MPH.

* SOME LOCATIONS IN OR NEAR THE PATH OF THIS STORM INCLUDE...
CLEORA...AFTON...BERNICE AND GROVE.
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#92 Postby Dave » Sun May 22, 2011 6:28 pm

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
625 PM CDT SUN MAY 22 2011

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN FORT WORTH HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
NORTHEAST JACK COUNTY IN NORTH CENTRAL TEXAS...
NORTHWESTERN WISE COUNTY IN NORTH CENTRAL TEXAS...

* UNTIL 715 PM CDT

* AT 624 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS DETECTED A
DEVELOPING TORNADO 9 MILES WEST OF CHICO...MOVING EAST AT 20 MPH.

* THE TORNADO WILL BE NEAR...
LAKE BRIDGEPORT AROUND 640 PM CDT...
CHICO AROUND 650 PM CDT...
ALVORD AROUND 715 PM CDT...
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#93 Postby Dave » Sun May 22, 2011 6:33 pm

KSGF SPRINGFIELD MO - CURRENT

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Re: Severe Weather - Week of May 22 Sunday thru Thursday

#94 Postby CrazyC83 » Sun May 22, 2011 6:34 pm

Back on the ground.

WWUS53 KSGF 222332
SVSSGF

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
632 PM CDT SUN MAY 22 2011

MOC009-097-109-145-230000-
/O.CON.KSGF.TO.W.0033.000000T0000Z-110523T0000Z/
JASPER MO-BARRY MO-NEWTON MO-LAWRENCE MO-
632 PM CDT SUN MAY 22 2011

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 700 PM CDT FOR
LAWRENCE...NORTHEASTERN NEWTON...NORTHERN BARRY AND SOUTHEASTERN
JASPER COUNTIES...

AT 627 PM CDT...TRAINED WEATHER SPOTTERS REPORTED A TORNADO NEAR
WENTWORTH
...OR 9 MILES NORTHWEST OF MONETT...MOVING EAST AT 30 MPH.
THIS STORM ALSO HAS A HISTORY OF PRODUCING A LARGE DAMAGING TORNADO
IN JOPLIN MISSOURI.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE AURORA...AVILLA...CHESAPEAKE...
FREISTATT...HOBERG...LA RUSSELL...MADRY...MARIONVILLE...MCDOWELL...
MONETT...MOUNT VERNON...PIERCE CITY...PLEASANT RIDGE...REEDS...
RITCHEY...SARCOXIE...STOTTS CITY...VERONA...WENTWORTH AND
WHEELERVILLE.

INTERSTATE 44 BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 23 AND 54 WILL ALSO BE IMPACTED BY
THIS TORNADO.

IN ADDITION TO A TORNADO...THIS STORM IS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING LARGE
DAMAGING HAIL UP TO BASEBALL SIZE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

THE SAFEST PLACE TO BE DURING A TORNADO IS IN A BASEMENT. GET UNDER A
WORKBENCH OR OTHER PIECE OF STURDY FURNITURE. IF NO BASEMENT IS
AVAILABLE...SEEK SHELTER ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF THE BUILDING IN AN
INTERIOR HALLWAY OR ROOM SUCH AS A CLOSET. USE BLANKETS OR PILLOWS TO
COVER YOUR BODY AND ALWAYS STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS.

IF IN MOBILE HOMES OR VEHICLES...EVACUATE THEM AND GET INSIDE A
SUBSTANTIAL SHELTER. IF NO SHELTER IS AVAILABLE...LIE FLAT IN THE
NEAREST DITCH OR OTHER LOW SPOT AND COVER YOUR HEAD WITH YOUR HANDS.

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 900 PM CDT SUNDAY EVENING FOR
SOUTHEAST KANSAS AND SOUTHERN MISSOURI.

&&

LAT...LON 3689 9410 3697 9429 3721 9419 3717 9361
3678 9363
TIME...MOT...LOC 2331Z 274DEG 25KT 3699 9403
HAIL 2.75IN

$$

WISE
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#95 Postby Dave » Sun May 22, 2011 6:34 pm

JASPER MO-BARRY MO-NEWTON MO-LAWRENCE MO-
632 PM CDT SUN MAY 22 2011

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 700 PM CDT FOR
LAWRENCE...NORTHEASTERN NEWTON...NORTHERN BARRY AND SOUTHEASTERN
JASPER COUNTIES...

AT 627 PM CDT...TRAINED WEATHER SPOTTERS REPORTED A TORNADO NEAR WENTWORTH...OR 9 MILES NORTHWEST OF MONETT...MOVING EAST AT 30 MPH. THIS STORM ALSO HAS A HISTORY OF PRODUCING A LARGE DAMAGING TORNADO
IN JOPLIN MISSOURI.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE AURORA...AVILLA...CHESAPEAKE...
FREISTATT...HOBERG...LA RUSSELL...MADRY...MARIONVILLE...MCDOWELL...
MONETT...MOUNT VERNON...PIERCE CITY...PLEASANT RIDGE...REEDS...
RITCHEY...SARCOXIE...STOTTS CITY...VERONA...WENTWORTH AND
WHEELERVILLE.

INTERSTATE 44 BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 23 AND 54 WILL ALSO BE IMPACTED BY
THIS TORNADO.

IN ADDITION TO A TORNADO...THIS STORM IS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING LARGE
DAMAGING HAIL UP TO BASEBALL SIZE.
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#96 Postby CrazyC83 » Sun May 22, 2011 6:35 pm

Part of the main hospital in Joplin was destroyed as well.
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#97 Postby Dave » Sun May 22, 2011 6:36 pm

West of St Louis MO

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
628 PM CDT SUN MAY 22 2011

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN ST LOUIS HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
NORTHWESTERN FRANKLIN COUNTY IN EAST CENTRAL MISSOURI...
GASCONADE COUNTY IN EAST CENTRAL MISSOURI...
EXTREME SOUTHERN MONTGOMERY COUNTY IN EAST CENTRAL MISSOURI...
NORTHEASTERN OSAGE COUNTY IN CENTRAL MISSOURI...
WEST CENTRAL WARREN COUNTY IN EAST CENTRAL MISSOURI...

* UNTIL 715 PM CDT

* AT 626 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO. THIS DANGEROUS
STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR LINN...AND MOVING EAST AT 30 MPH.

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
HERMANN...NEW HAVEN...MORRISON...GASCONADE...BAY...SWISS...
RHINELAND...MCKITTRICK AND BERGER.
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#98 Postby Dave » Sun May 22, 2011 6:37 pm

Wisconsin

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREEN BAY WI
635 PM CDT SUN MAY 22 2011

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GREEN BAY HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
NORTHWESTERN ONEIDA COUNTY IN NORTH CENTRAL WISCONSIN...
WESTERN VILAS COUNTY IN NORTH CENTRAL WISCONSIN...

* UNTIL 730 PM CDT

* AT 630 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO. THIS DANGEROUS
STORM WAS LOCATED 10 MILES SOUTHWEST OF LAC DU FLAMBEAU...OR 19
MILES EAST OF PARK FALLS...AND MOVING NORTHEAST AT 40 MPH.

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
LAC DU FLAMBEAU...WINCHESTER...BOULDER JUNCTION...MANITOWISH WATERS
AND PRESQUE ISLE.
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#99 Postby CrazyC83 » Sun May 22, 2011 6:37 pm

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0869
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0634 PM CDT SUN MAY 22 2011

AREAS AFFECTED...SRN/SERN OK...NRN TX

CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 326...

VALID 222334Z - 230030Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR TORNADO WATCH 326 CONTINUES.

AXIS OF UPPER 60S DEWPOINTS RESIDES AHEAD OF A LARGE CLUSTER OF
STORMS...SOME SUPERCELLS...OVER NRN TX. THIS MOISTURE COMBINED WITH
STEEP MIDLEVEL LAPSE RATES IS CONTRIBUTING TOWARD MLCAPE VALUES FROM
3000-4000 J/KG...WHILE OBJECTIVE ANALYSIS INDICATES EFFECTIVE BULK
SHEAR VALUES FROM 40-50 KT. THIS ENVIRONMENT FAVORS SUPERCELLS
POSING A THREAT FOR LARGE/VERY LARGE HAIL. THOUGH AREA VWP/S AND RUC
SOUNDINGS INDICATE WEAKNESS IN THE LOW-LEVEL FLOW...A TORNADO THREAT
STILL EXISTS...PARTICULARLY FOR STRONGLY DEVIANT RIGHT MOVERS. AS
EVENING APPROACHES...LATEST HRRR INDICATES THAT STORMS OVER N TX MAY
EVOLVE UPSCALE INTO A QLCS...WHICH APPEARS REASONABLE GIVEN THE
CLOSE SPACING OF ONGOING ACTIVITY...AS WELL AS EXPECTED
INTENSIFICATION OF THE NOCTURNAL LLJ. OTHERWISE IN THE SHORT
TERM...ADDITIONAL COUNTIES MAY NEED TO BE ADDED S OF WW 326 AS RIGHT
MOVING STORM EXITS BROWN COUNTY TX AND MOVES ACROSS COMANCHE COUNTY
AND LOCATIONS FARTHER DOWNSTREAM.

FARTHER N OVER PORTIONS OF SRN OK...LEFT MOVING SUPERCELL WILL
CONTINUE TO POSE A THREAT FOR LARGE HAIL. OTHER STORMS MAY DEVELOP
OFF OF THE WWD RETREATING DRYLINE...THOUGH IT IS UNCERTAIN IF SVR
STORM POTENTIAL WILL BE MITIGATED BY OUTFLOW FROM THE LEFT MOVER AND
N TX ACTIVITY.

..GARNER.. 05/22/2011


ATTN...WFO...TSA...FWD...OUN...SJT...

LAT...LON 35209718 35229469 32259713 32219953 35209718
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#100 Postby CrazyC83 » Sun May 22, 2011 6:38 pm

Outside assistance being called into Joplin. Catastrophic damage. Sounds like a possible EF4-5.
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