First Tropical Wave! (Dropped from Surface Analysis)

[cycloneye]

5/20/11 at 8:05 AM EDT

...TROPICAL WAVES...

AN ATLANTIC OCEAN TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 64W/65W TO THE SOUTH
OF 13N. ISOLATED MODERATE RAINSHOWERS AND LOCALLY STRONG
THUNDERSTORMS ARE IN VENEZUELA FROM 3N TO 8N BETWEEN 65W AND
67W. STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ARE IN WEST CENTRAL VENEZUELA ALONG
70W FROM 6N TO 7N. RAINSHOWERS ARE POSSIBLE TO THE SOUTH OF 12N
BETWEEN 62W AND 68W.

[cycloneye]

5/20/11 at 2:05 PM EDT

...TROPICAL WAVES...

A TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 65W/66W TO THE SOUTH OF 14N MOVING W AT
10 KT. THE WAVE EXTENDS OVER VENEZUELA TO 4N. IT IS EMBEDDED IN
A BROAD AREA OF MOISTURE N OF THE ITCZ AS DEPICTED ON THE SSMI
TOTAL PRECIPITABLE WATER IMAGERY. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION
IS WITHIN 90 NM OF THE AXIS.

[cycloneye]

5/20/11 at 8:05 PM EDT

...TROPICAL WAVES...

TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 66W/67W S OF 13N TO INLAND OVER SOUTH
AMERICA MOVING W 10-15 KT. WAVE REMAINS EMBEDDED WITHIN AN AREA
OF DEEP LAYERED MOISTURE AS DEPICTED ON THE TOTAL PRECIPITABLE
WATER IMAGERY. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS
INLAND OVER VENEZUELA.

[cycloneye]

5/21/11 at 2:05 AM EDT

...TROPICAL WAVES...

A CARIBBEAN SEA TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 67W/68W TO THE SOUTH
OF 14N. ISOLATED MODERATE RAINSHOWERS AND LOCALLY STRONG
THUNDERSTORMS ARE IN VENEZUELA FROM 3N TO 8N BETWEEN 64W
AND 69W.

[cycloneye]

5/21/11 at 8:05 AM EDT

...TROPICAL WAVES...

A CARIBBEAN SEA TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 68W/69W TO THE SOUTH
OF 13N. STRONG RAINSHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE IN VENEZUELA
FROM 5N TO 10N BETWEEN 65W AND 68W.

[cycloneye]

5/21/11 at 2:05 PM EDT Still hanging around.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

A TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 70W TO THE SOUTH OF 13N MOVING W AT 10
KT. THE WAVE EXTENDS S OVER W VENEZUELA AND E COLOMBIA TO 4N. IT
IS EMBEDDED IN A BROAD AREA OF MOISTURE AS DEPICTED ON THE SSMI
TOTAL PRECIPITABLE WATER IMAGERY. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED
STRONG CONVECTION IS E OF THE AXIS FROM 5N-11N 64W-70W.

[cycloneye]

5/21/11 at 8:05 PM EDT

...TROPICAL WAVES...

A TROPICAL WAVE IS INLAND OVER SOUTH AMERICA ALONG 72W TO THE
SOUTH OF 10N MOVING W AT 5-10 KT. THE WAVE EXTENDS ACROSS W
VENEZUELA AND E COLOMBIA TO NEAR 2N. EXCEPT FOR CYCLONIC
TURNING IN THE VICINITY OF THE WAVE AXIS NOTED ON VISIBLE
SATELLITE IMAGERY...WAVE HAS BECOME DIFFICULT TO DEPICT.
SCATTERED MODERATE-STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 150/200 NM ON
EITHER SIDE OF THE AXIS.

[cycloneye]

5/22/11 at 2:05 AM EDT It appears the journey will end very soon.

...TROPICAL WAVES...


THE TROPICAL WAVE THAT HAS BEEN MOVING THROUGH VENEZUELA NOW IS
ALONG 71W/72W TO THE SOUTH OF LAKE MARACAIBO...FROM VENEZUELA
INTO COLOMBIA. STRONG RAINSHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE IN
COLOMBIA ABOUT 100 NM TO THE SOUTH OF THE VENEZUELA BORDER NEAR
5N71W. IT IS NOT EASY TO DISCERN THE WAVE SOLELY FROM SATELLITE
IMAGERY. SURFACE OBSERVATIONS DO NOT HELP MUCH EITHER. IT IS
POSSIBLE THAT THIS WAVE MAY BE ELIMINATED FROM THE 22/0600 UTC
MAP ANALYSIS.

[cycloneye]

5/22/11 at 8:00 am EDT

It has been dropped.

THE 71W/72W TROPICAL WAVE FROM THE 22/0000 UTC ANALYSIS
WAS NOT INCLUDED IN THE 22/0600 UTC ANALYSIS. WE WILL REPORT
ABOUT THIS WAVE AGAIN IF AND WHEN MORE DATA ARE AVAILABLE
IN ORDER TO BE ABLE TO LOCATE IT.

[Nimbus]

Is this wave connected to the convection near 15N 75W in the Caribbean?