Possible Severe Weather Outbreak April 2-5?

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#21 Postby Dave » Sun Apr 03, 2011 2:54 pm

Louisville District:

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY
346 PM EDT SUN APR 3 2011

INZ076>079-083-084-089>092-KYZ023>043-045>049-053>057-061>067-
070>078-081-082-042000-
ORANGE IN-WASHINGTON IN-SCOTT IN-JEFFERSON IN-DUBOIS IN-
CRAWFORD IN-PERRY IN-HARRISON IN-FLOYD IN-CLARK IN-HANCOCK KY-
BRECKINRIDGE KY-MEADE KY-OHIO KY-GRAYSON KY-HARDIN KY-BULLITT KY-
JEFFERSON KY-OLDHAM KY-TRIMBLE KY-HENRY KY-SHELBY KY-FRANKLIN KY-
SCOTT KY-HARRISON KY-SPENCER KY-ANDERSON KY-WOODFORD KY-
FAYETTE KY-BOURBON KY-NICHOLAS KY-NELSON KY-WASHINGTON KY-
MERCER KY-JESSAMINE KY-CLARK KY-LARUE KY-MARION KY-BOYLE KY-
GARRARD KY-MADISON KY-BUTLER KY-EDMONSON KY-HART KY-GREEN KY-
TAYLOR KY-CASEY KY-LINCOLN KY-LOGAN KY-WARREN KY-SIMPSON KY-
ALLEN KY-BARREN KY-MONROE KY-METCALFE KY-ADAIR KY-RUSSELL KY-
CUMBERLAND KY-CLINTON KY-
346 PM EDT SUN APR 3 2011 /246 PM CDT SUN APR 3 2011/

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTH CENTRAL
INDIANA AND CENTRAL KENTUCKY.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

SOUTHERLY WINDS BETWEEN 20 AND 30 MPH WITH GUSTS BETWEEN 35 AND 45
MPH ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THIS AFTERNOON AND EARLY THIS EVENING.
WIND GUSTS SHOULD SLACKEN AROUND SUNSET. ALSO...THE COMBINATION OF
STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES AND DRY SMALL FUELS
WILL CONTINUE TO RESULT IN DANGEROUS FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
THROUGH SUNSET.

THERE WILL BE A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS TOWARD DAWN...MAINLY IN
SOUTHWESTERN INDIANA. THE MAIN THREATS WITH THESE THUNDERSTORMS
WILL BE GUSTY WINDS...CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING AND SMALL HAIL.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

WIDESPREAD THUNDERSTORMS ARE FORECAST FOR MONDAY AND MONDAY
EVENING AS A POWERFUL COLD FRONT MOVES THROUGH THE OHIO AND
TENNESSEE VALLEYS. STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS LOOK LIKELY DURING THIS
TIME WITH DAMAGING WINDS AS THE MAIN THREAT...AND ISOLATED
TORNADOES AND LARGE HAIL AS SECONDARY THREATS. THE MOST LIKELY
TIME FOR SEVERE WEATHER WILL BE IN THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING.
SOUTHERN KENTUCKY STANDS THE BEST CHANCE OF SEEING SEVERE STORMS.

ADDITIONALLY...LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL AND FLASH FLOODING WILL ALSO
BE POSSIBLE AS WIDESPREAD 1 TO 3 INCH RAINFALL AMOUNTS ARE
ANTICIPATED. LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS ARE POSSIBLE IN AREAS THAT SEE
REPEATED STRONG THUNDERSTORMS.

ISOLATED TO SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED THURSDAY NIGHT
THROUGH SATURDAY AS A FRONT MEANDERS FROM THE MID MISSISSIPPI VALLEY
INTO THE UPPER OHIO VALLEY. THE MOST WIDESPREAD ACTIVITY SHOULD BE
OVER SOUTHERN INDIANA.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT ANY WIND DAMAGE OR MEASURED WIND
GUSTS THIS AFTERNOON. SPOTTERS WILL LIKELY BE NEEDED EARLY MONDAY
THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT AS WELL.
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#22 Postby Dave » Sun Apr 03, 2011 2:57 pm

Then Wilmington's statements...notice, spotters may be needed in the Indy & Louisville statements but not in Wilmington and the two counties (Jennings (indy)) and (Jefferson (Louisville KY)) butt up against Ripley county...mine. Oh the joys of where I live.

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
451 AM EDT SUN APR 3 2011

INZ050-058-059-066-073>075-080-KYZ089>100-OHZ026-034-035-042>046-
051>056-060>065-070>074-077>082-088-040900-
WAYNE-FAYETTE IN-UNION IN-FRANKLIN IN-RIPLEY-DEARBORN-OHIO-
SWITZERLAND-CARROLL-GALLATIN-BOONE-KENTON-CAMPBELL-OWEN-GRANT-
PENDLETON-BRACKEN-ROBERTSON-MASON-LEWIS-HARDIN-MERCER-AUGLAIZE-DARKE-
SHELBY-LOGAN-UNION OH-DELAWARE-MIAMI-CHAMPAIGN-CLARK-MADISON-
FRANKLIN OH-LICKING-PREBLE-MONTGOMERY-GREENE-FAYETTE OH-PICKAWAY-
FAIRFIELD-BUTLER-WARREN-CLINTON-ROSS-HOCKING-HAMILTON-CLERMONT-BROWN-
HIGHLAND-ADAMS-PIKE-SCIOTO-
451 AM EDT SUN APR 3 2011

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EAST CENTRAL
INDIANA...SOUTHEAST INDIANA...NORTHEAST KENTUCKY...NORTHERN
KENTUCKY...CENTRAL OHIO...MIAMI VALLEY OF OHIO...SOUTH CENTRAL
OHIO...SOUTHWEST OHIO AND WEST CENTRAL OHIO.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

STRONG WINDS WILL OCCUR LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING AS
WINDS INCREASE BEHIND A WARM FRONTAL PASSAGE. SUSTAINED WINDS WILL
BE AROUND 20 MPH FOR MUCH OF THE OHIO VALLEY AND SEE GUSTS TOPPING
40 MPH IN SPOTS. THESE GUSTS WILL TOP OUT IN THE LATE AFTERNOON
AND PRIMARILY OCCUR BETWEEN 4 AND 7 PM.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

A COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE OHIO VALLEY MONDAY AFTERNOON AND
EVENING...BRINGING SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AS IT PASSES. A VERY
STRONG SOUTHERLY WIND WILL SET UP AHEAD OF THE FRONT EARLY MONDAY
AND PUMP WARMER AND SIGNIFICANTLY MOIST AIR TO THE REGION. ANY
STORMS THAT MAY DEVELOP AHEAD OF THE FRONT WILL LIKELY BRING DOWN
THESE STRONG WINDS. AS THE FRONT CROSSES...THERE IS AN INCREASED
POTENTIAL FOR DAMAGING WINDS WITH THE INITIAL LINE OF
THUNDERSTORMS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
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#23 Postby Dave » Sun Apr 03, 2011 2:59 pm

Special Wx Statement for winds just upgraded to a Wind Advisory for the Wilmington District.

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
353 PM EDT SUN APR 3 2011

INZ050-058-059-066-073>075-080-KYZ089>100-OHZ026-034-035-042>046-
051>056-060>065-070>074-077>082-088-040400-
/O.NEW.KILN.WI.Y.0002.110404T1400Z-110405T0200Z/
WAYNE-FAYETTE IN-UNION IN-FRANKLIN IN-RIPLEY-DEARBORN-OHIO-
SWITZERLAND-CARROLL-GALLATIN-BOONE-KENTON-CAMPBELL-OWEN-GRANT-
PENDLETON-BRACKEN-ROBERTSON-MASON-LEWIS-HARDIN-MERCER-AUGLAIZE-
DARKE-SHELBY-LOGAN-UNION OH-DELAWARE-MIAMI-CHAMPAIGN-CLARK-
MADISON-FRANKLIN OH-LICKING-PREBLE-MONTGOMERY-GREENE-FAYETTE OH-
PICKAWAY-FAIRFIELD-BUTLER-WARREN-CLINTON-ROSS-HOCKING-HAMILTON-
CLERMONT-BROWN-HIGHLAND-ADAMS-PIKE-SCIOTO-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...RICHMOND...CONNERSVILLE...LIBERTY...
BROOKVILLE...VERSAILLES...LAWRENCEBURG...RISING SUN...VEVAY...
CARROLLTON...WARSAW...BURLINGTON...INDEPENDENCE...ALEXANDRIA...
OWENTON...WILLIAMSTOWN...FALMOUTH...BROOKSVILLE...MOUNT OLIVET...
MAYSVILLE...VANCEBURG...KENTON...CELINA...WAPAKONETA...
GREENVILLE...SIDNEY...BELLEFONTAINE...MARYSVILLE...DELAWARE...
PIQUA...URBANA...SPRINGFIELD...LONDON...COLUMBUS...NEWARK...
EATON...DAYTON...XENIA...WASHINGTON COURT HOUSE...CIRCLEVILLE...
LANCASTER...HAMILTON...LEBANON...WILMINGTON...CHILLICOTHE...
LOGAN...CINCINNATI...MILFORD...GEORGETOWN...HILLSBORO...
WEST UNION...PIKETON...PORTSMOUTH
353 PM EDT SUN APR 3 2011

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM TO 10 PM EDT MONDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN WILMINGTON HAS ISSUED A WIND
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM TO 10 PM EDT MONDAY.

DEEP LOW PRESSURE MOVING THROUGH THE GREAT LAKES ON MONDAY WILL
PUSH A COLD FRONT ACROSS THE OHIO VALLEY. STRONG WINDS AHEAD OF
THE FRONT WILL IMPACT THE REGION MONDAY MORNING INTO MONDAY
EVENING. WIND GUSTS NOT ASSOCIATED WITH THUNDERSTORMS WILL REACH
50 MPH.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WIND ADVISORY IS ISSUED WHEN SUSTAINED WINDS ARE FORECAST TO BE
31 TO 39 MPH OR GUSTS WILL RANGE BETWEEN 46 AND 57 MPH. WINDS OF
THESE MAGNITUDES MAY CAUSE MINOR PROPERTY DAMAGE WITHOUT EXTRA
PRECAUTIONS. MOTORISTS IN HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES SHOULD USE
CAUTION UNTIL THE WINDS SUBSIDE.

&&
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Re: Possible Severe Weather Outbreak April 2-5?

#24 Postby srainhoutx » Sun Apr 03, 2011 3:14 pm

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0300 PM CDT SUN APR 03 2011

VALID 032000Z - 041200Z

...THERE IS A MDT RISK OF SVR TSTMS ACROSS EASTERN KS AND NORTHERN
MO...

...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS FROM THE SOUTHERN PLAINS/LOWER
MO VALLEY TO LAKE MI VICINITY...

...SE IA/N IL AND MO/E KS THIS EVENING INTO TONIGHT...
FEW CHANGES TO PREVIOUS OUTLOOK. INITIAL DEEP CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT
IS ANTICIPATED TO OCCUR LATE THIS AFTERNOON OR MORE LIKELY EARLY
THIS EVENING WITHIN A GENERAL SW-NE NEAR-FRONTAL CORRIDOR FROM
AROUND THE KC METRO TO NEAR KIRKSVILLE MO/QUINCY IL...TO EXTREME
SOUTHEAST IA/NORTHWEST IL INCLUDING NEAR/EAST OF THE QUAD CITIES.
LATEST EXPERIMENTAL HRRR GUIDANCE...ALONG WITH AN ASSORTMENT OF 15Z
SREF MEMBERSHIP SUGGESTS THIS COULD OCCUR BY AROUND 23Z-00Z...WITH A
SIMILAR/BUT A FEW HOUR DELAYED SOLUTION AS INDICATED BY THE 12Z
WRF-NMM. INITIALLY...FAST EASTWARD-MOVING SUPERCELLS /40-45 KT/ ARE
PROBABLE...INCLUDING ASSOCIATED POTENTIAL FOR LARGE HAIL AND
ISOLATED TORNADOES...BEFORE A QUASI-LINEAR MODE /INCLUDING BOWS WITH
DAMAGING WINDS/ BECOMES DOMINANT BY LATE EVENING/OVERNIGHT.

OTHERWISE...SEE PRIOR OUTLOOK DISCUSSION BELOW AND ANY SUBSEQUENT
MESOSCALE DISCUSSIONS/WATCHES LATER TODAY.

...OK/NORTH TX TO ARKLATEX THROUGH EARLY MONDAY...
LATEST OBSERVATIONAL TRENDS/GUIDANCE SUGGEST LITTLE CHANGE TO PRIOR
FORECAST REASONING. AS THE DRYLINE CONTINUES TO GRADUALLY MIX
EASTWARD TOWARD/ACROSS CENTRAL OK AND PARTS OF NORTH TX...DEEP
CONVECTIVE INITIATION PRIOR TO EARLY EVENING STILL SEEMS UNLIKELY
OWING TO A STOUT ELEVATED MIXED LAYER AND RELATIVELY WELL-MIXED
BOUNDARY LAYER. THAT SAID...TSTMS WILL BECOME MORE PROBABLE LATE
TONIGHT AS THE COLD FRONT GRADUALLY OVERTAKES THE DRYLINE FROM NORTH
TO SOUTH...WITH SOME OF THE STRONGEST STORMS CAPABLE OF SEVERE
HAIL/WIND.

..GUYER.. 04/03/2011
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#25 Postby Dave » Sun Apr 03, 2011 4:55 pm

Image

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0327
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0449 PM CDT SUN APR 03 2011

AREAS AFFECTED...EXTREME NCNTRL/NERN MO...SCNTRL/SERN IA...NWRN IL
AND FAR SW WI

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH LIKELY

VALID 032149Z - 032245Z

TSTM INITIATION IS LIKELY BETWEEN 22-23Z AND SUPERCELLS WITH VERY
LARGE HAIL...DAMAGING WIND GUSTS AND PERHAPS A TORNADO WILL BE
POSSIBLE. WW IS LIKELY...ROUGHLY 70 PERCENT CHANCE.

CUMULUS FIELD WAS DEEPENING LATE THIS AFTERNOON ACROSS SCNTRL/SERN
IA AND EXTREME NCNTRL MO WITHIN A WEAKENING CAP ALONG NOSE OF STEEP
LOW-LEVEL LAPSE RATES. APPROACH OF LARGE-SCALE HEIGHT FALLS...NOW
OVER ERN NEB...WILL LIKELY BOOST OVERALL ASCENT AND AID IN TSTM
INITIATION ACROSS SCNTRL/SERN IA BY 23Z...SIMILAR TO LATEST RAPID
REFRESH AND RUC SOLUTIONS. ONCE STORMS BECOME ESTABLISHED...
MLCAPES TO 2000 J/KG AND VERTICAL SHEAR OF 40-45 KTS WILL BE
FAVORABLE FOR ROBUST ROTATING UPDRAFTS. VERY STEEP MID-LEVEL LAPSE
RATES WILL YIELD VERY LARGE HAIL...ALTHOUGH A TORNADO/DAMAGING WINDS
WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE.

ACTIVITY MAY BACKBUILD SWWD ALONG THE APPROACH COLD FRONT LATER THIS
EVENING INTO NCNTRL MO...THOUGH COMPARATIVELY STRONGER CAP RENDERS
MORE UNCERTAINTY ACROSS THIS AREA.

..RACY.. 04/03/2011


ATTN...WFO...LOT...ILX...MKX...DVN...ARX...DMX...EAX...
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Re: Possible Severe Weather Outbreak April 2-5?

#26 Postby srainhoutx » Sun Apr 03, 2011 5:58 pm

Looks a Tornado Watch is coming for IA and surrounding areas.
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Re: Possible Severe Weather Outbreak April 2-5?

#27 Postby srainhoutx » Sun Apr 03, 2011 6:00 pm

Image

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 82
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
600 PM CDT SUN APR 3 2011

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF

EASTERN IOWA
WESTERN AND NORTHERN ILLINOIS
EXTREME NORTHEAST MISSOURI
FAR SOUTHERN WISCONSIN

EFFECTIVE THIS SUNDAY NIGHT FROM 600 PM UNTIL MIDNIGHT CDT.

TORNADOES...HAIL TO 2.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 75 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.

THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 80 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 45 MILES SOUTH SOUTHEAST OF
OTTUMWA IOWA TO 35 MILES EAST NORTHEAST OF DUBUQUE IOWA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE
UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU2).

REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

DISCUSSION...THUNDERSTORMS HAVE BEGUN TO FORM ALONG THE COLD FRONT
OVER IA. THESE STORMS ARE EXPECTED TO INCREASE IN COVERAGE AND
INTENSITY THROUGH THE EVENING HOURS AND SPREAD INTO WESTERN IL.
LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS ARE THE MAIN THREATS. HOWEVER...THE
POTENTIAL EXISTS FOR ISOLATED TORNADOES ESPECIALLY NEAR THE SURFACE
WARM FRONT OVER NORTHERN IL OR PERHAPS FAR SOUTHERN WI.

AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 2.5 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 65 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 26040.

...HART
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Re: Possible Severe Weather Outbreak April 2-5?

#28 Postby srainhoutx » Sun Apr 03, 2011 6:48 pm

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 83
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
620 PM CDT SUN APR 3 2011

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF

EASTERN KANSAS
NORTHERN MISSOURI

EFFECTIVE THIS SUNDAY NIGHT FROM 620 PM UNTIL MIDNIGHT CDT.

HAIL TO 3 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS TO 70
MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.

THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 50
STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 40 MILES SOUTHWEST
OF MANHATTAN KANSAS TO 10 MILES EAST SOUTHEAST OF KIRKSVILLE
MISSOURI. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE
ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU3).

REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE
FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY
DO PRODUCE TORNADOES.

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 82...

DISCUSSION...THUNDERSTORMS HAVE BEGUN TO RAPIDLY INTENSIFY ALONG AND
NORTH OF A COLD FRONT OVER NORTHEAST KS. THESE STORMS ARE EXPECTED
TO BECOME MORE NUMEROUS AND SPREAD EAST-SOUTHEASTWARD ACROSS THE
WATCH AREA THIS EVENING. VERY STEEP MID LEVEL LAPSE RATES AND
STRONG VERTICAL SHEAR WILL PROMOTE SUPERCELL STORMS...WITH VERY
LARGE HAIL BEING THE MAIN THREAT. DAMAGING WINDS MAY ALSO BECOME
MORE OF A THREAT THIS EVENING AS THE ACTIVITY BEGINS TO SURGE
SOUTHEASTWARD.
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#29 Postby Dave » Sun Apr 03, 2011 8:32 pm

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 84
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
810 PM CDT SUN APR 3 2011

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF

CENTRAL ILLINOIS
NORTHEAST MISSOURI

EFFECTIVE THIS SUNDAY NIGHT AND MONDAY MORNING FROM 810 PM UNTIL
200 AM CDT.

HAIL TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS TO 70
MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.

THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 50
STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 65 MILES WEST
SOUTHWEST OF QUINCY ILLINOIS TO 20 MILES EAST NORTHEAST OF PEORIA
ILLINOIS. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE
ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU4).

REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE
FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY
DO PRODUCE TORNADOES.

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 82...WW 83...

DISCUSSION...THUNDERSTORMS ARE INCREASING OVER NORTHERN MO ALONG A
SAGGING COLD FRONT. THESE STORMS WILL BEGIN AFFECTING THE WESTERN
PORTIONS OF THIS WATCH AREA SOON. OTHER STORMS NEAR KC WILL LIKELY
MAINTAIN INTENSITY AS THEY MOVE RAPIDLY EASTWARD AND INTO THE WATCH
AREA BEFORE MIDNIGHT. LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS APPEAR TO BE
THE MAIN THREAT.

AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT
TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60
KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM
MOTION VECTOR 26040.
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#30 Postby Dave » Sun Apr 03, 2011 8:35 pm

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
834 PM CDT SUN APR 3 2011

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN ST LOUIS HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
NORTHERN KNOX COUNTY IN NORTHEAST MISSOURI...

* UNTIL 915 PM CDT

* AT 832 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING QUARTER SIZE HAIL...AND
DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH. THIS STORM WAS LOCATED 12
MILES SOUTH OF NOVINGER...OR 14 MILES SOUTHWEST OF KIRKSVILLE...AND
MOVING EAST AT 55 MPH.

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
EDINA...KNOX CITY...COLONY...HURDLAND AND BARING.
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#31 Postby Dave » Sun Apr 03, 2011 8:35 pm

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE QUAD CITIES IA IL
828 PM CDT SUN APR 3 2011

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN THE QUAD CITIES HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
EASTERN MUSCATINE COUNTY IN EAST CENTRAL IOWA...
SOUTH CENTRAL SCOTT COUNTY IN EAST CENTRAL IOWA...
WEST CENTRAL HENRY COUNTY IN NORTHWEST ILLINOIS...
MERCER COUNTY IN NORTHWEST ILLINOIS...
SOUTHWESTERN ROCK ISLAND COUNTY IN NORTHWEST ILLINOIS...
NORTHEASTERN DES MOINES COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST IOWA...
SOUTHEASTERN LOUISA COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST IOWA...
NORTHEASTERN HENDERSON COUNTY IN WEST CENTRAL ILLINOIS...
NORTHWESTERN WARREN COUNTY IN WEST CENTRAL ILLINOIS...

* UNTIL 930 PM CDT.

* AT 826 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
LINE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DAMAGING WINDS IN
EXCESS OF 60 MPH...AND GOLF BALL SIZE HAIL. THESE STORMS WERE
LOCATED APPROXIMATELY ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM BLUE GRASS TO
WAPELLO...OR ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 8 MILES SOUTHEAST OF
DURANT TO WAPELLO...AND MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 55 MPH.

* OTHER LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO
ELIZA...BUFFALO...ANDALUSIA...MANNON...TOOLESBORO...NEW BOSTON...
OAKVILLE...ROCK ISLAND...TAYLOR RIDGE...JOY...HAMLET...
MILLERSBURG...MILAN...REYNOLDS...KEITHSBURG...OAK GROVE...MOLINE
QUAD-CITY AIRPORT...ALEDO...SEATON...MATHERVILLE...SHALE CITY...
BODEN...SHERRARD...CABLE...VIOLA...ROZETTA...BURGESS AND ORION.

THIS INCLUDES INTERSTATE 280 BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 5 AND 18.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

THIS IS A DANGEROUS STORM. MOVE IMMEDIATELY INDOORS AND STAY AWAY
FROM WINDOWS.
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#32 Postby Dave » Sun Apr 03, 2011 8:35 pm

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
825 PM CDT SUN APR 3 2011

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PLEASANT HILL HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
SOUTHWESTERN CARROLL COUNTY IN NORTH CENTRAL MISSOURI...
NORTHEASTERN CLAY COUNTY IN WEST CENTRAL MISSOURI...
NORTHEASTERN JACKSON COUNTY IN WEST CENTRAL MISSOURI...
NORTHERN LAFAYETTE COUNTY IN WEST CENTRAL MISSOURI...
RAY COUNTY IN WEST CENTRAL MISSOURI...

* UNTIL 900 PM CDT

* AT 822 PM CDT...TRAINED WEATHER SPOTTERS REPORTED A SEVERE
THUNDERSTORM PRODUCING GOLF BALL SIZE HAIL IN LIBERTY AND
KEARNEY. THIS DANGEROUS STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR EXCELSIOR
SPRINGS...AND MOVING EAST AT 50 MPH.

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
RICHMOND...LEXINGTON...WOODS HEIGHTS...LEVASY...ORRICK...
WELLINGTON...HENRIETTA...HARDIN...NORBORNE...FLEMING...RAYVILLE...
CAMDEN...KNOXVILLE...RUSSELLVILLE...STET AND DOVER.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

THIS STORM HAS A HISTORY OF PRODUCING DESTRUCTIVE WINDS AND LARGE
HAIL. SEEK SHELTER NOW INSIDE A STURDY STRUCTURE AND STAY AWAY FROM
WINDOWS.
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#33 Postby Dave » Sun Apr 03, 2011 8:36 pm

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
820 PM CDT SUN APR 3 2011

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TOPEKA HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
NORTHEASTERN LYON COUNTY IN EAST CENTRAL KANSAS...
OSAGE COUNTY IN EAST CENTRAL KANSAS...

* UNTIL 900 PM CDT

* AT 817 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
LINE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING GOLF BALL SIZE
HAIL...AND DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH. THESE STORMS WERE
LOCATED ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 13 MILES SOUTH OF ESKRIDGE TO 7
MILES NORTHEAST OF EMPORIA...MOVING EAST AT 55 MPH.

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
READING...
BURLINGAME...
OSAGE CITY...
MELVERN LAKE...
OLIVET...
LYNDON...
MELVERN...
POMONA LAKE...
QUENEMO...

THIS INCLUDES THE KANSAS TURNPIKE BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 134 AND 153.

THIS INCLUDES INTERSTATE 35 BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 157 AND 167.
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#34 Postby Dave » Sun Apr 03, 2011 8:36 pm

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
828 PM CDT SUN APR 3 2011

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN WICHITA HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
BUTLER COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL KANSAS...
SOUTHWESTERN CHASE COUNTY IN CENTRAL KANSAS...
EASTERN HARVEY COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL KANSAS...
SOUTHEASTERN MARION COUNTY IN CENTRAL KANSAS...
NORTHEASTERN SEDGWICK COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL KANSAS...

* UNTIL 930 PM CDT

* AT 824 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS WERE
TRACKING A LINE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING
QUARTER SIZE HAIL...AND DESTRUCTIVE WINDS IN EXCESS OF 70 MPH.
THESE STORMS WERE LOCATED ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 7 MILES
NORTHWEST OF BURNS TO VALLEY CENTER...AND MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 55
MPH.

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
DOWNTOWN WICHITA...EL DORADO...BURNS...POTWIN...NORTHEAST
WICHITA...EAST WICHITA...MCCONNELL AIR FORCE BASE...ANDOVER...
TOWANDA...CASSODAY...ROSE HILL...AUGUSTA...DOUGLASS...LEON...
LATHAM...BEL AIRE...WONSEVU...JABARA AIRPORT...BENTON AND OAKLAWN.
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#35 Postby Dave » Sun Apr 03, 2011 8:38 pm

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#36 Postby Dave » Sun Apr 03, 2011 8:41 pm

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
836 PM CDT SUN APR 3 2011

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PLEASANT HILL HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
JOHNSON COUNTY IN EAST CENTRAL KANSAS...
SOUTHERN LEAVENWORTH COUNTY IN NORTHEAST KANSAS...
NORTHERN MIAMI COUNTY IN EAST CENTRAL KANSAS...
SOUTHWESTERN WYANDOTTE COUNTY IN NORTHEAST KANSAS...

* UNTIL 915 PM CDT

* AT 832 PM CDT...TRAINED WEATHER SPOTTERS REPORTED A SEVERE
THUNDERSTORM PRODUCING DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH...AND
PING PONG BALL SIZE HAIL. THIS STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR PLEASANT
GROVE KANSAS...OR 8 MILES SOUTH OF LAWRENCE...AND MOVING EAST AT
55 MPH.

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
EDGERTON...GARDNER...DE SOTO...SPRING HILL...BONNER SPRINGS...
OLATHE...SHAWNEE...EDWARDSVILLE...LAKE QUIVIRA...LENEXA...
LINWOOD...RENO...CLEARVIEW CITY...HILLSDALE...CLARE...WAGSTAFF...
CHILES...HOLLIDAY...BUCYRUS AND LACKMANS.
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#37 Postby Dave » Sun Apr 03, 2011 8:41 pm

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
838 PM CDT SUN APR 3 2011

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TOPEKA HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
SOUTHERN LYON COUNTY IN EAST CENTRAL KANSAS...

* UNTIL 930 PM CDT

* AT 836 PM CDT...THE PUBLIC REPORTED A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM PRODUCING
HALF DOLLAR SIZE HAIL...AND DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH.
THIS STORM WAS LOCATED 5 MILES EAST OF AMERICUS...OR 6 MILES NORTH
OF EMPORIA...MOVING EAST AT 70 MPH.

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
NEOSHO RAPIDS...
HARTFORD...

THIS INCLUDES THE KANSAS TURNPIKE BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 118 AND 133.

THIS INCLUDES INTERSTATE 35 BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 128 AND 143.
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#38 Postby Dave » Sun Apr 03, 2011 8:41 pm

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DES MOINES IA
836 PM CDT SUN APR 3 2011

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN DES MOINES HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
TAYLOR COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST IOWA...

* UNTIL 900 PM CDT

* AT 833 PM CDT...TRAINED WEATHER SPOTTERS REPORTED A SEVERE
THUNDERSTORM PRODUCING QUARTER SIZE HAIL. THIS STORM WAS LOCATED 8
MILES WEST OF BEDFORD...OR 10 MILES SOUTHEAST OF CLARINDA...AND
MOVING NORTHEAST AT 75 MPH.

* THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR...
SHARPSBURG AROUND 845 PM CDT.
LENOX AROUND 850 PM CDT.

ONE INCH HAIL WAS REPORTED IN SOUTHEAST PAGE COUNTY WITH THIS STORM.
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#39 Postby Dave » Sun Apr 03, 2011 8:44 pm

Thunderstorm warnings...

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#40 Postby Dave » Sun Apr 03, 2011 8:48 pm

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DES MOINES IA
836 PM CDT SUN APR 3 2011

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN DES MOINES HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
TAYLOR COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST IOWA...

* UNTIL 900 PM CDT

* AT 833 PM CDT...TRAINED WEATHER SPOTTERS REPORTED A SEVERE
THUNDERSTORM PRODUCING QUARTER SIZE HAIL. THIS STORM WAS LOCATED 8
MILES WEST OF BEDFORD...OR 10 MILES SOUTHEAST OF CLARINDA...AND
MOVING NORTHEAST AT 75 MPH.

* THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR...
SHARPSBURG AROUND 845 PM CDT.
LENOX AROUND 850 PM CDT.

ONE INCH HAIL WAS REPORTED IN SOUTHEAST PAGE COUNTY WITH THIS STORM.
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