S ATL: ARANI (01Q) - Subtropical Storm

[cycloneye]

Yes,a South Atlantic invest!! Another Caterina?

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invest_sl902011.invest
FSTDA
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201103101902
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INVEST, SL, Q, , , , , 90, 2011, DB, O, 2011031018, 9999999999, , , , , , METWATCH, , SL902011
SL, 90, 2011030918, , BEST, 0, 197S, 390W, 20, 1007, LO, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0,
SL, 90, 2011031000, , BEST, 0, 200S, 391W, 20, 1009, LO, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0,
SL, 90, 2011031006, , BEST, 0, 198S, 391W, 25, 1008, LO, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0,
SL, 90, 2011031012, , BEST, 0, 194S, 390W, 25, 1009, LO, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0,
SL, 90, 2011031018, , BEST, 0, 190S, 390W, 25, 1007, LO, 34, NEQ,

[cycloneye]

Doesn't look too promising,but only having a invest up is interesting.

[cycloneye]

Hey,dont freak those who see this pic. For those who are new in Storm2k,or those who may not remember,here is Hurricane Caterina in 2004 on that same area that 90Q is.I dont see 90Q doing the same.

[Macrocane]

I didn't see this one coming either! I guess that Feb-March could be considered the peak of the South Atlantic "season" as these months are the peak in the rest of the southern hemisphere.

[CrazyC83]

ASCAT completely missed this system so it is of no real help.

[cycloneye]

Does anyone knows what the Q stands for?

[P.K.]

Not sure but I've also seen T used as the suffix for this basin before.

WWST02 SBBR 101430
1 31 05 02 12 20

WARNING NR 076/2011
ROUGH SEA WARNING
ISSUED AT 2230 GMT - WED - 09/MAR/2011
AREA BRAVO STARTING AT 111200 GMT. WAVES FM SE/NE 3.0/4.0 METERS.
VALID UNTIL 120600 GMT.


WARNING NR 077/2011
NEAR GALE WARNING
ISSUED AT 1330 GMT - THU - 10/MAR/2011
AREA BRAVO E OF 046W STARTING AT 110000 GMT. WIND SE/NE FORCE 7 WITH GUSTS.
VALID UNTIL 130600 GMT.

THIS WARNING REPLACES THE WARNING NR 075/2011.


WARNING NR 078/2011
NEAR GALE WARNING
ISSUED AT 1330 GMT - THU - 10/MAR/2011
AREA DELTA S OF 20S AND W OF 036W STARTING AT 111200 GMT. WIND SE/NE BECOMING NE/N FORCE 7 WITH GUSTS.
VALID UNTIL 131200 GMT.

NNNN

[cycloneye]

The latest.

[HURAKAN]

GFS has a tropical or subtropical system in the next few days

[cycloneye]

Sandy,do you know what name will be used if and is a big if,it develops into a TC?

[HURAKAN]

Sandy,do you know what name will be used if and is a big if,it develops into a TC?

The South Atlantic isn't a recognized basin and therefore, there are no agencies responsible for the area and there are no name lists.

[cycloneye]

Sandy,do you know what name will be used if and is a big if,it develops into a TC?

The South Atlantic isn't a recognized basin and therefore, there are no agencies responsible for the area and there are no name lists.

Brazil may name if it comes to that, as it occured with Caterina in 2004.

[HURAKAN]

Sandy,do you know what name will be used if and is a big if,it develops into a TC?

The South Atlantic isn't a recognized basin and therefore, there are no agencies responsible for the area and there are no name lists.

Brazil may name if it comes to that, as it occured with Caterina in 2004.

That was an unofficial name, in reality that system was never "officially" named

[P.K.]

Brazil is responsible for this area. The warning I posted earlier was from them. However as has been pointed out there is no TC naming list for the region.

[KWT]

Certainly a curious system, if it gets offshore enough there is certainly got to be a chance of development...

[HURAKAN]

Interesting obs, remember that in this part of the world the low pressure systems rotate clockwise.

[Macrocane]

That was an unofficial name, in reality that system was never "officially" named

If I remember well, in March 2010 there was a fully tropical storm that was dubbed Anita I'm not sure if it was an official name though, here's the storm2k thread about it: http://www.storm2k.org/phpbb2/viewtopic.php?f=72&t=107638

[Chacor]

It wasn't an official name either, despite what Wikipedia might tell you. A local Brazilian met blog called it Anita and for some reason Wikipedia calls that the "Brazilian met service" which it plainly isn't.

[cycloneye]

That was an unofficial name, in reality that system was never "officially" named

If I remember well, in March 2010 there was a fully tropical storm that was dubbed Anita I'm not sure if it was an official name though, here's the storm2k thread about it: http://www.storm2k.org/phpbb2/viewtopic.php?f=72&t=107638

Good find Macrocane. Wow,almost the same date a year ago.

[AJC3]

http://www.srh.noaa.gov/data/WBC/CHGQLM

000
WHXX04 KWBC 110054
CHGQLM
ATTENTION...NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER

NCEP COUPLED GFDL HURRICANE MODEL FORECAST MADE FOR

TROPICAL DEPRESSION INVEST 90Q

INITIAL TIME 18Z MAR 10

DISCLAIMER ... THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE. IT
REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY HURRICANE SPECIALISTS AND SHOULD
NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT. PLEASE SEE THE TPC/NHC
OFFICIAL FORECAST.


FORECAST STORM POSITION

HOUR LATITUDE LONGITUDE HEADING/SPEED(KT)

0 -19.0 39.0 5./ 2.9
6 -18.7 39.1 342./ 2.8
12 -18.5 39.4 302./ 4.0
18 -18.6 39.8 256./ 3.2
24 -18.7 40.0 243./ 2.1
30 -18.9 40.4 240./ 4.8
36 -18.8 40.5 298./ 1.4
42 -19.0 40.6 204./ 1.7
48 -19.2 39.9 105./ 6.6
54 -19.9 39.6 155./ 8.3
60 -20.9 39.3 167./ 9.8
66 -21.7 39.3 176./ 8.2
72 -22.4 38.8 145./ 7.8
78 -22.8 38.6 156./ 4.8
84 -23.3 38.7 184./ 5.2
90 -23.9 38.5 165./ 5.7
96 -24.2 38.1 129./ 5.5
102 -24.6 37.1 109./ 9.5
108 -24.9 36.2 110./ 9.0
114 -25.6 34.5 113./16.0
120 -26.1 32.9 109./15.7
126 -26.6 30.8 103./19.2