Another severe weather outbreak? February 27-28

[srainhoutx]

CU development now in Central and N TX along the dryline. We may need to watch that area as well and points N and E as the afternoon/evening wears on.

[somethingfunny]

^ Hmmm

I wasn't expecting anything today due to the cap.

[CrazyC83]

Main event is still several hours away probably. This evening and overnight mainly.

Also some warned cells in Tennessee.

[srainhoutx]

Main event is still several hours away probably. This evening and overnight mainly.

Also some warned cells in Tennessee.

Possible rotation S of Cumberland City, TN...

[CrazyC83]

TORNADO WARNING
TNC021-043-083-085-125-272315-
/O.NEW.KOHX.TO.W.0014.110227T2230Z-110227T2315Z/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NASHVILLE TN
430 PM CST SUN FEB 27 2011

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN NASHVILLE HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
NORTHERN CHEATHAM COUNTY IN MIDDLE TENNESSEE...
NORTHERN DICKSON COUNTY IN MIDDLE TENNESSEE...
SOUTHEASTERN HOUSTON COUNTY IN MIDDLE TENNESSEE...
NORTHEASTERN HUMPHREYS COUNTY IN MIDDLE TENNESSEE...
SOUTHEASTERN MONTGOMERY COUNTY IN MIDDLE TENNESSEE...

* UNTIL 515 PM CST

* AT 427 PM CST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO. THIS DANGEROUS
STORM WAS LOCATED 8 MILES NORTH OF MCEWEN...OR 9 MILES SOUTHEAST OF
ERIN...AND MOVING EAST AT 50 MPH.

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
ASHLAND CITY...VANLEER...SLAYDEN AND CHARLOTTE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TAKE COVER NOW. MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
STURDY BUILDING. AVOID WINDOWS. IF IN A MOBILE HOME...A VEHICLE OR
OUTDOORS...MOVE TO THE CLOSEST SUBSTANTIAL SHELTER AND PROTECT
YOURSELF FROM FLYING DEBRIS.

&&

[CrazyC83]

New watch for Kentucky/Tennessee as well.

[CrazyC83]

SEL2

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 22
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
435 PM CST SUN FEB 27 2011

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF

CENTRAL KENTUCKY
NORTHERN MIDDLE TENNESSEE

EFFECTIVE THIS SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 435 PM UNTIL
1000 PM CST.

TORNADOES...HAIL TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.

THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 45 STATUTE
MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 25 MILES SOUTHWEST OF FORT
CAMPBELL KENTUCKY TO 85 MILES EAST OF BOWLING GREEN KENTUCKY.
FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH
OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU2).

REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 20...WW 21...

DISCUSSION...AN ISOLATED SUPERCELL HAS FORMED WEST OF
NASHVILLE...AND IS LIKELY TO PERSIST FOR A FEW HOURS ACROSS NORTHERN
MIDDLE TN AND SOUTH-CENTRAL KY. OTHER STORMS MAY INTENSIFY OVER
THIS REGION CHARACTERIZED BY STRONG LOW LEVEL WARM ADVECTION.
FAVORABLE LOW AND DEEP LAYER VERTICAL SHEAR PROFILES WILL PROMOTE
THE RISK OF TORNADOES...ALONG WITH LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS.

AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
450. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 24035.


...HART

[Dave]

First of the day looks like...

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NASHVILLE TN
430 PM CST SUN FEB 27 2011

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN NASHVILLE HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
NORTHERN CHEATHAM COUNTY IN MIDDLE TENNESSEE...
NORTHERN DICKSON COUNTY IN MIDDLE TENNESSEE...
SOUTHEASTERN HOUSTON COUNTY IN MIDDLE TENNESSEE...
NORTHEASTERN HUMPHREYS COUNTY IN MIDDLE TENNESSEE...
SOUTHEASTERN MONTGOMERY COUNTY IN MIDDLE TENNESSEE...

* UNTIL 515 PM CST

* AT 427 PM CST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO. THIS DANGEROUS
STORM WAS LOCATED 8 MILES NORTH OF MCEWEN...OR 9 MILES SOUTHEAST OF
ERIN...AND MOVING EAST AT 50 MPH.

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
ASHLAND CITY...VANLEER...SLAYDEN AND CHARLOTTE.

[Dave]

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0151
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0457 PM CST SUN FEB 27 2011

AREAS AFFECTED...NRN/CNTRL AR...SRN MO...SRN IL...W KY...WRN TN

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...TORNADO WATCH LIKELY

VALID 272257Z - 280100Z

TORNADO WATCH WILL LIKELY BE REQUIRED BY EARLY THIS EVENING. TSTMS
WILL INTENSIFY AROUND 00Z SRN MO/NRN AR AND EXPAND ENE 00-06Z WITH
POSSIBILITY OF TORNADOES /A FEW STRONG/...DAMAGING WINDS AND LARGE
HAIL.

100+ KT H5 JET WAS PUNCHING ACROSS W TX AND WILL TRANSLATE TO THE
OZARKS LATER THIS EVENING WITH A LEAD WAVE MIGRATING ENE THROUGH AR
AT THE MOMENT. THIS LEAD IMPULSE MAY BE IMPETUS FOR GRADUALLY
INTENSIFYING TSTMS OVER SRN MO/NRN AR BETWEEN 23-00Z...SIMILAR TO
18Z NAM AND 12Z WRF-ARW. VENTILATION OF INITIAL CELLS WILL FURTHER
INCREASE BY MID-EVENING AS THE PARENT TROUGH APPROACHES.

THE CORRESPONDING INCREASING IN THE SSWLY LOW-LEVEL JET OF 60+ KTS
WILL BOOST VERTICAL SHEAR AND THE LOW-LEVEL SRH WILL BECOME QUITE
STRONG. ADDITIONALLY...THE LOW LCL/S AND POTENTIAL FOR INITIAL
STORMS TO BE SOMEWHAT DISCRETE WILL POSE A STRONG TORNADO
THREAT...PARTICULARLY ALONG THE AR/MO BORDER. ACTIVITY SHOULD
TRANSITION TO NE-SW ORIENTED BANDS WITH EMBEDDED BOWS/ROTATING
STRUCTURES AS ACTIVITY DEVELOPS ENE INTO THE LOWER OH VLY BY 06Z.
DAMAGING WINDS...ISOLATED TORNADOES AND LARGE HAIL WILL ALL BE
THREATS.

..RACY.. 02/27/2011


ATTN...WFO...PAH...MEG...LSX...LZK...SGF...TSA...

[CrazyC83]

Could be a PDS watch there since it mentions strong tornadoes.

[Dave]

Be busy here for a little while, got a special wx statement on us with a strong cell in the southern part of the county and one to my west.

[CrazyC83]

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0152
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0510 PM CST SUN FEB 27 2011

AREAS AFFECTED...NE MO AND WCNTRL IL

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH LIKELY

VALID 272310Z - 272345Z

MCV CONTINUES TO MIGRATE ENE ALONG SRN EDGE OF THE SNOWPACK/WARM
FRONT IN NCNTRL MO. ASSOCIATED STORMS CONTINUE TO PRODUCE LARGE
HAIL. OBJECTIVE ANALYSIS PLACES AN AXIS OF MUCAPE ENE INTO WCNTRL
IL AND EXPECT STORMS MAY PULSE TO SVR LEVELS AS THEY TREK INTO
WCNTRL IL BY EARLY THIS EVENING. AS SUCH...A NEW SEVERE
THUNDERSTORM WATCH WILL BE LIKELY.

..RACY.. 02/27/2011


ATTN...WFO...LSX...EAX...

LAT...LON 39979259 40099145 39939088 39489072 39149106 38889190
38819259 39979259

[CrazyC83]

SEL3

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 23
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
535 PM CST SUN FEB 27 2011

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF

WEST CENTRAL ILLINOIS
NORTHEAST MISSOURI

EFFECTIVE THIS SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 535 PM UNTIL
1000 PM CST.

HAIL TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS TO 60
MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.

THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 40
STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 80 MILES WEST
SOUTHWEST OF QUINCY ILLINOIS TO 75 MILES EAST OF QUINCY ILLINOIS.
FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH
OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU3).

REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE
FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY
DO PRODUCE TORNADOES.

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 20...WW 21...WW 22...

DISCUSSION...CLUSTER OF STRONG/SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE TRACKING
ALONG SURFACE WARM FRONT INTO NORTHEAST MO...AND EVENTUALLY INTO
CENTRAL IL. STORMS ARE PRIMARILY ELEVATED...WITH SEVERE HAIL BEING
THE PRIMARY THREAT.

AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT
TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 50
KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 450. MEAN STORM
MOTION VECTOR 24040.


...HART

[CrazyC83]

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0153
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0549 PM CST SUN FEB 27 2011

AREAS AFFECTED...NCNTRL/NERN OK...SERN KS

CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 21...

VALID 272349Z - 280045Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR TORNADO WATCH 21 CONTINUES.

ONE SUPERCELL CONTINUES TO MOVE ROUGHLY 240/45KT ALONG THE KS/OK
BORDER BETWEEN ARKANSAS CITY AND BLACKWELL. STORM HAS SPLIT WITH
NRN MEMBER EXPECTED TO ENCOUNTER THE FRONT AND BECOME AN ELEVATED
HAILER OVER NRN COWLEY COUNTY. SRN MEMBER WILL POSE THE STRONGEST
POTENTIAL FOR DAMAGING WINDS AND PERHAPS AN ISOLATED TORNADO AS IT
TRACKS ENE INTO EXTREME SERN KS THROUGH AT LEAST 0030Z. EFFECTIVE
SRH ACROSS SERN KS CURRENTLY RUNS BETWEEN 200-235 M2/S2 WITH MLCAPES
AROUND 1500 J/KG.

ELSEWHERE...DRYLINE HAS MIXED TO ALONG THE I-35 CORRIDOR IN CNTRL
OK...BUT ARCS BACK INTO NCNTRL OK TO THE FRONT/LOW OVER SRN WOODS
COUNTY. IT IS POSSIBLE THAT THE CUMULUS OVER NRN MAJOR/SRN ALFALFA
COUNTIES MAY DEVELOP INTO ADDITIONAL STORMS THAT WILL TRACK INTO
NCNTRL OK/SERN KS EARLY THIS EVENING. SIGNAL IN LATEST SHORT-TERM
MESOSCALE MODELS...HOWEVER...IS FOR THE MAJORITY OF STORMS TO
DEVELOP ACROSS ERN KS/MO...WITH PERHAPS ELEVATED CONVECTION
DEVELOPING ALONG/N OF THE SURGING COLD FRONT ALONG THE KS/OK BORDER
LATER THIS EVENING.

..RACY.. 02/27/2011

[TwisterFanatic]

Just had a Touchdown live on TV just across the Kansas State line.

[CrazyC83]

... Tornado Warning continues until 645 PM CST for northern Osage
County...

At 625 PM CST... NWS meteorologists and storm spotters continued to
track a tornado located near the Kansas state line to the northeast
of Grainola..moving east-northeast at 50 mph.

Precautionary/preparedness actions...

If you are near the path of this storm... take cover now! If no
underground shelter is available move to an interior room on the
lowest floor. Mobile homes and vehicles should be abandoned for more
substantial shelter. Avoid windows!


Lat... Lon 3698 9637 3693 9660 3700 9665 3700 9651
time... Mot... loc 0026z 256deg 36kt 3702 9652

[Metalicwx220]

Just had a Touchdown live on TV just across the Kansas State line.

Aren't the temperatures in the 30s and low40s?

[CrazyC83]

Just had a Touchdown live on TV just across the Kansas State line.

Aren't the temperatures in the 30s and low40s?

It's in the upper 60s south of the front. North of it, it is near 40.

[CrazyC83]

0023 5 SE MAPLE CITY COWLEY KS 3700 9672 ON THE GROUND NEAR THE KANSAS/OKLAHOMA BORDER NEAR K15. (ICT)

[Metalicwx220]

Just had a Touchdown live on TV just across the Kansas State line.

Aren't the temperatures in the 30s and low40s?

It's in the upper 60s south of the front. North of it, it is near 40.

ITS 34.3 degrees with a windchill of 25 in topeka kansas with a heavy thunderstorm and its snowing according to weather undergrounds radar north of topeka kansas in the severe thunderstorm watch lol