This is ridiculous

rob8303 · #1 Postby **rob8303** » Fri Aug 22, 2003 4:45 pm

So, folks. We now have about 5 td's that have done absolutely nothing at all. TD 9 has followed the path of all these other td's and simply vanished. This is so frustrating. I wasn't ready to do it now and I still won't say that the CV season is a dud but I do say no major hurricane will hit the U.S this year (and that is a good thing but these things are fun to track in the water at least0.
And, as for TD 9 regenerating, forget about it. NOT GOING TO HAPPEN UNTIL AT LEAST GOM. And then probably spin up to 45 mph at most.
TD 9 IS A GONER. BRING ON THE NEXT WAVE THAT WILL DISSIPATE LIKE ALL THE OTHERS. :cry:

Anonymous · #2 Postby **Anonymous** » Fri Aug 22, 2003 4:51 pm

Chin up Rob! Remember everything happens for a reason. If this doesn't pan out another one will. WE have along time before hurricane season is over. :wink:

ColdFront77 · #3 Postby **ColdFront77** » Fri Aug 22, 2003 4:57 pm

Many tropical waves develop every year and never develop. This became a tropical depression, (of course) and can easily become a tropical depression and a tropical storm at the very least with the favorable conditions continuing.

Remember, regeneration is possible at anytime. A line we don't hear much from the National Hurricane Center.

wow · #4 Postby **wow** » Fri Aug 22, 2003 6:14 pm

At this time, I think it's TD9 again!

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT ... -loop.html

southerngale · #5 Postby **southerngale** » Fri Aug 22, 2003 6:43 pm

Sure "looks" that way!

mf_dolphin · #6 Postby **mf_dolphin** » Fri Aug 22, 2003 6:45 pm

It's almost impossible to tell anything about circulation from the IR alone. I know it's really cooking off the convection but it has to have a close low at the surface to be a TD.

With the rather slow movement I'm sure Hispanola and Puerto Rico are going to have some serious flooding problems. Let's keep those people in mind. They're in for a rough couple of days!

hurricanedude · #7 Postby **hurricanedude** » Fri Aug 22, 2003 6:46 pm

and whatever it is, looks to be drifting more N than W

#8 Postby **vbhoutex** » Fri Aug 22, 2003 6:47 pm

It's a close call right now, but a DEFINITE POSSIBILITY! Check out the low level clouds(only a few) moving in from the West.

rainstorm · #9 Postby **rainstorm** » Fri Aug 22, 2003 6:49 pm

none of the waves in the atlantic look too good right now? td9, if it was a td, has a rocky road ahead

mf_dolphin · #10 Postby **mf_dolphin** » Fri Aug 22, 2003 6:50 pm

I'm having a tough time finding any west movement in the low levels myself. God give me patience.....BUT I WANT IT RIGHT NOW!!!!!!!! ;-)

ColdFront77 · #11 Postby **ColdFront77** » Fri Aug 22, 2003 6:55 pm

hurricanedude wrote:and whatever it is, looks to be drifting more N than W

I have been noticing the convection, at the very least moving more northerly, rather than westerly.

That would put what center does develop north of the islands.

southerngale · #12 Postby **southerngale** » Fri Aug 22, 2003 7:03 pm

Isn't it possible that the center was reforming while recon was there?
And wouldn't that also mean that we still could have a TD?

But what do I know? :roll:

#13 Postby **Air Force Met** » Fri Aug 22, 2003 9:20 pm

Hey vb...I'm looking at the shortwave Ir which is what you need to see low clouds at night and I see no clouds moving in from the west at the low levels. There are some at about 15K'...but nothing at the low levels.

This is ridiculous

This is ridiculous

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