22/1732 UTC 16.6N 69.1W T2.0/2.0 09 -- Atlantic Ocean
http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/positions.html
T- Number 2.0
Moderator: S2k Moderators
Forum rules
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K. For official information, please refer to products from the National Hurricane Center and National Weather Service.
- southerngale
- Retired Staff
- Posts: 27418
- Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 1:27 am
- Location: Southeast Texas (Beaumont area)
- cycloneye
- Admin
- Posts: 145343
- Age: 68
- Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
- Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico
Yes waves well organized many times get TOO WEAK and even 1.0 and 1.5 before they develop into TD'S but a wave getting 2.0 is more rare.
0 likes
Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here
- wxman57
- Moderator-Pro Met
- Posts: 22979
- Age: 67
- Joined: Sat Jun 21, 2003 8:06 pm
- Location: Houston, TX (southwest)
Dvorak
It just goes to show you that Dvorak isn't fool-proof. The technique attemts to estimate tropical depression/storm intensity based on banding features observed via satellite. But such banding features can develop in the mid to upper levels and not extend down to the surface, as with Erika at first and now with this system. It certainly is rare to have a number of such systems in a season.
0 likes
- Stormsfury
- Category 5
- Posts: 10549
- Age: 53
- Joined: Wed Feb 05, 2003 6:27 pm
- Location: Summerville, SC
Stormsfury wrote:Yep, the T (and ST numbers for subtropical systems) are assigned based on satellite appearance only and sometimes have no bearing whatsoever in regards to actual surface weather observed as wxman57 stated above.
SF
Exactly right... with that said, the numbers being this high based on satellite appearance only shows that this system "wants to develop" and conditions are generally remaining favorable for intensification. The close proximately to land is the issue now.
It sounds logical that if conditions remain as well as they have been, that soon after moving away from Hispaniola that it will strengthen.
0 likes
Who is online
Users browsing this forum: No registered users and 24 guests