Recon in the system now...let's see what they find.

#1 Postby **Air Force Met** » Fri Aug 22, 2003 12:30 pm

Current Ob:

URNT11 KNHC 221714
97779 17144 60169 68718 03100 10028 21219 /0011 40930
RMK AF980 0109A INVEST OB 03

They are about 20 miles NE of where the LLC should be.

#2 Postby **Air Force Met** » Fri Aug 22, 2003 12:35 pm

First thoughts: Only 28 kts and they are in an area of pretty good convection. Also...only 1011 mb. So...I would say if they find a circulation they will not find a tropical storm.

#3 Postby **Air Force Met** » Fri Aug 22, 2003 12:42 pm

Ob 4:
URNT11 KNHC 221724
97779 17244 60165 69018 03000 11022 21219 /0010 41320
RMK AF980 0109A INVEST OB 04

Still a west wind. 1010 mb's. They 10 am cdt was 16.4 68.6 so this ob is 30 miles west of the 10 am position. With a WNW motion this ob should be showing a southerly wind if there is a LLC. Either there isn't one or teh system has tracked due west since 10 am

#4 Postby **Air Force Met** » Fri Aug 22, 2003 12:43 pm

sorry...meant to say "still an easterly wind"

#5 Postby **Air Force Met** » Fri Aug 22, 2003 1:02 pm

Obs 5 and 6...

URNT11 KNHC 221742
97779 17424 60158 69700 03000 09011 22228 /0010 49905
RMK AF980 0109A INVEST OB 05

;

URNT11 KNHC 221748
97779 17484 60158 69500 03000 99005 22229 /0010 49905
RMK AF980 0109A INVEST OB 06

Light and variable winds as far south as 15.8. There is no LLc near 16.5/69.4 due to the fact there is an east wind 40 miles SSW of that location.

#6 Postby **Air Force Met** » Fri Aug 22, 2003 1:12 pm

Ob 7:
URNT11 KNHC 221800
97779 18004 60159 68900 03000 15013 22219 /0010 41115
RMK AF980 0109A INVEST OB 07

#7 Postby **Air Force Met** » Fri Aug 22, 2003 1:26 pm

Ob 8:
URNT11 KNHC 221811
97779 18114 60163 69100 14800 18018 15148 /2502 41620
RMK AF980 0109A INVEST OB 08

Looks like they found nothing at the surface and are going up to take a look at the 5000' level to see if there is a circ above the sfc.

Guest · #8 Postby **Guest** » Fri Aug 22, 2003 1:27 pm

Would that be a MLC?

#9 Postby **Air Force Met** » Fri Aug 22, 2003 1:33 pm

Yes. I think they are satisfied that there is nothing at the sfc so they climbed to 5000 to see if there is something to work downwards later today.

#10 Postby **Air Force Met** » Fri Aug 22, 2003 1:49 pm

URNT11 KNHC 221833
97779 18334 60160 70000 14800 99005 15159 /2501 40315
RMK AF980 0109A INVEST OB 09

Guest · #11 Postby **Guest** » Fri Aug 22, 2003 1:52 pm

Come Nelson - decode these for us when you post!!!!

Recon in the system now...let's see what they find.

Recon in the system now...let's see what they find.

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