CPAC: Tropical Storm OMEKA
Moderator: S2k Moderators
- Hurricanehink
- S2K Supporter
- Posts: 2023
- Joined: Sun Nov 16, 2003 2:05 pm
- Location: New Jersey
CPAC: Tropical Storm OMEKA
From CPHC:
A subtropical low located near the international dateline about 340 miles south southwest of Midway atoll is moving toward the south southwest at about 10 mph. A large area of showers and thunderstorms continues to increase in coverage and intensity near the center of this system. Winds of gale force are located far north of the center of this low. There is a low chance, 10 percent, of this system becoming a tropical cyclone during the next 48 hours. For additional information on this low, see the high seas forecast issued for the north Pacific ocean by the National Weather Service forecast office in Honolulu, Hawaii under AWIPS header hsfnp, or WMO header fzpn40 PHFO.
...
It doesn't have much time in the CPAC since it's moving to the south-southwest, but it's a fun little system before the season ends. Funny how it looks better than what has been in the CPAC all season.
A subtropical low located near the international dateline about 340 miles south southwest of Midway atoll is moving toward the south southwest at about 10 mph. A large area of showers and thunderstorms continues to increase in coverage and intensity near the center of this system. Winds of gale force are located far north of the center of this low. There is a low chance, 10 percent, of this system becoming a tropical cyclone during the next 48 hours. For additional information on this low, see the high seas forecast issued for the north Pacific ocean by the National Weather Service forecast office in Honolulu, Hawaii under AWIPS header hsfnp, or WMO header fzpn40 PHFO.
...
It doesn't have much time in the CPAC since it's moving to the south-southwest, but it's a fun little system before the season ends. Funny how it looks better than what has been in the CPAC all season.
0 likes
Re: CPAC: Invest 98C
No doubt looks to be a small TC. Pretty amazing for this time of year in the CPAC.
0 likes
The following post is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including storm2k.org For Official Information please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
Re: CPAC: Invest 98C
I think it is a full blown tropical cyclone with an eye and eyewall. It is very small storm.
0 likes
- cycloneye
- Admin
- Posts: 139493
- Age: 67
- Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
- Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico
Re: CPAC: Invest 98C
Impressive for being past mid-December. It has crossed the dateline ,so it will be a WPAC system from now on.
0 likes
Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here
- cycloneye
- Admin
- Posts: 139493
- Age: 67
- Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
- Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico
Re: CPAC: Invest 98C
AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS PERSISTED NEAR 22.6N 179.8E,
APPROXIMATELY 375 NM SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF MIDWAY ATOLL. ANIMATED
MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS A WELL DEVELOPED LOW LEVEL
CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) WITH CENTRAL CONVECTION ALOFT, HOWEVER
FURTHER ANALYSIS INDICATES THE SYSTEM APPEARS TO BE SUBTROPICAL. A
RECENT AMSU CROSS-SECTION AND 200 MB ANALYSIS DEPICT A COLD-CORE CUT
OFF LOW ALOFT WITH A COLD-CORE ANOMALY EXTENDING UP TO 10 KM. THE
CIMMS TOTAL PRECIPITABLE WATER PRODUCT SHOWS COLD, DRY, AIR BEING
ENTRAINED INTO THE SYSTEM FROM THE NORTHWEST. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL
PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1000 MB. THE SYSTEM IS CURRENTLY
ASSESSED AS SUBTROPICAL AND WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR POSSIBLE
TRANSITION INTO A TROPICAL SYSTEM. BASED ON THE ABOVE ASSESSMENT THE
POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE
WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR.
APPROXIMATELY 375 NM SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF MIDWAY ATOLL. ANIMATED
MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS A WELL DEVELOPED LOW LEVEL
CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) WITH CENTRAL CONVECTION ALOFT, HOWEVER
FURTHER ANALYSIS INDICATES THE SYSTEM APPEARS TO BE SUBTROPICAL. A
RECENT AMSU CROSS-SECTION AND 200 MB ANALYSIS DEPICT A COLD-CORE CUT
OFF LOW ALOFT WITH A COLD-CORE ANOMALY EXTENDING UP TO 10 KM. THE
CIMMS TOTAL PRECIPITABLE WATER PRODUCT SHOWS COLD, DRY, AIR BEING
ENTRAINED INTO THE SYSTEM FROM THE NORTHWEST. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL
PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1000 MB. THE SYSTEM IS CURRENTLY
ASSESSED AS SUBTROPICAL AND WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR POSSIBLE
TRANSITION INTO A TROPICAL SYSTEM. BASED ON THE ABOVE ASSESSMENT THE
POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE
WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR.
0 likes
Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here
No way do I buy into the assesment. 15-20kts?!
0 likes
The following post is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including storm2k.org For Official Information please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
Re: CPAC: Invest 98C
If this is not a tropical cyclone then Grace and Vince weren't either, very interesting system.
0 likes
Who is online
Users browsing this forum: No registered users and 3 guests