Florida winter thread 2010-11

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psyclone
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#121 Postby psyclone » Tue Dec 14, 2010 12:39 am

i don't think anyone in pinellas will freeze tonight. it's still too warm with too much wind with a marine influence. i do think the spine of the county will get at least a light freeze tomorrow night. i suspect the usual radiational cold spots like citrus and hernando counties to the north and highlands, hardee, desoto and glades counties to the south will show some eye popping temps in the upper teens to low 20's tomorrow night.
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#122 Postby Extremeweatherguy » Tue Dec 14, 2010 2:15 am

Temperature now down to 33F in Orlando (at 2am ET). A 1 deg/hr temperature drop has been occurring since 10pm, and if this trend continues through sunrise, then the morning low should wind up somewhere between 27-29F at MCO.
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#123 Postby NDG » Tue Dec 14, 2010 6:42 am

Upper 20s in Orlando this morning as of 6 AM, look at the uniformity of the temps from N to S across the Peninsula, there is only a 10 deg difference between Tallahassee and Miami, when usually there is at least a 20 deg difference during a cold snap. The winds switched to the right direction for cold air advection to do its magic of bringing the very cold air across the interior sections down to Miami.
This is a very rare event when parts of W coast of FL are warmer than W Palm & Miami metro areas.

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#124 Postby NDG » Tue Dec 14, 2010 6:47 am

I take upper 20s any time as long as subfreezing temps are only a few hours like is occuring this morning. Jan 9-10th event earlier this year was 13 hrs long, way too long for sensitive vegetation.
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#125 Postby Scorpion » Tue Dec 14, 2010 6:53 am

27 or so for the low this morning, I think tomorrow morning will be colder. It does look like south FL escaped the worst, certainly not anything near the crazy lows forecast yesterday morning.
Last edited by Scorpion on Tue Dec 14, 2010 6:55 am, edited 1 time in total.
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#126 Postby northjaxpro » Tue Dec 14, 2010 6:53 am

Good morning! The low this morning so far at my home location is 23.2 degrees. Just heard on my local news station that the NWS office at the Jacksonville International Airport did also measure a low of 23 degrees. This is a new record low for the date.

The winds have stayed up all night to mix the atmosphere, and that has kept us from getting down into the teens this morning. But, I just checked current obs and very cold temps down state. I saw Vero Beach reporting 27 degrees and Fort Myers at 32 degrees. And Miami. 37 degrees.

The cold dome of High Pressure will be moving eastward to over the SE US today which should allow the winds to finally subside during the day. Expecting max temps today here in Jax to only reach the mid 40s. The coldest temps will occur tonight as winds will be very light in most areas and the temperatures will really bottom out with decent radiational cooling. Tomorrow morning we should see upper teens in areas of North Floriida and mid 20s deep down into the Central ppeninsula and the freeze line dipping down to Alligator Alley corridor. Brrr!!!!!

We will see warmer temps beginning Thursday through Saturday. Then another cold front arrives Sunday with cooler temps. However, the models are showing the next cold spell will not be anything close to this current arctic intrusion we are currently experiencing.
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#127 Postby NDG » Tue Dec 14, 2010 7:00 am

For tomorrow morning most of SE FL should not be colder than this morning as winds start switching to N-NE. Tomorrow morning W coast of FL from Tampa down to Naples should be at leat as cold as this morning if not colder than this morning, again as winds switch to a N-NE direction.
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Re:

#128 Postby northjaxpro » Tue Dec 14, 2010 7:12 am

NDG wrote:For tomorrow morning most of SE FL should not be colder than this morning as winds start switching to N-NE. Tomorrow morning W coast of FL from Tampa down to Naples should be at leat as cold as this morning if not colder than this morning, again as winds switch to a N-NE direction.


Yeah I am looking for colder readings all down throiugh that I-75 corridor on that stretch from Tampa to Naples by tomorrow morning.
The NWS Jax now reporting 21 degrees at 7:10 a.m. This is a new record low for the date..
Last edited by northjaxpro on Tue Dec 14, 2010 7:25 am, edited 1 time in total.
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#129 Postby NDG » Tue Dec 14, 2010 7:19 am

7 AM temps across the state:

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Re: Florida winter thread 2010-11

#130 Postby NDG » Tue Dec 14, 2010 7:22 am

jhpigott wrote:It looks like my NWS office is pretty convinced the cold is coming. They just bumped down my point forecase low tonight from 26F to 25F. I have a hard to believing this will verify, but if it does it is going to be real bad news for the farmers around here.

http://forecast.weather.gov/MapClick.ph ... tType=text


Your NWS office forecast had to have the biggest bust statewide in how far off they were, but is a good bust :wink:
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Re: Florida winter thread 2010-11

#131 Postby jhpigott » Tue Dec 14, 2010 7:43 am

Yea, it was a pretty good bust here. I think WPB got down to 33. However, there were a number of reporting stations up around me here in NE Palm Beach County that were reading anywhere from 29.5 to 31.
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#132 Postby northjaxpro » Tue Dec 14, 2010 8:29 am

Just checked in with NWS office and they confirmed that official low this ¤orning was 20 degrees. This is a new record low temperauture for this date, breaking the previos mark of 24 degrees back in 1960.
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Re: Florida winter thread 2010-11

#133 Postby tshizzle » Tue Dec 14, 2010 9:55 am

FireRat wrote:37 degrees in west Broward, Sunrise near the Sawgrass mall to be exact. My thermometer read 37.6 just now and we still have 6 hours until the low is reached, shivers. We may dip below freezing out here.

Wind chills are expected to be between 10 and 15 degrees here by morning as said on Channel 7, wow! :cold:


im in the same area - flamingo/oakland - when i left for work this morning at about 730 the car said 33 degrees :cold:
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Re: Florida winter thread 2010-11

#134 Postby AdamFirst » Tue Dec 14, 2010 10:14 am

Image

9 AM this morning
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#135 Postby tshizzle » Tue Dec 14, 2010 11:36 am

wow its almost noon and its 43-44 outside
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#136 Postby Extremeweatherguy » Tue Dec 14, 2010 11:37 am

Low temperatures this morning...

≤32F highlighted in light blue
≤27F highlighted in dark blue
≤22F highlighted in pink


Orlando (MCO) = 28F
Orlando (Executive) = 28F
Sanford = 26F
Tampa = 32F
Brooksville = 26F
Melbourne = 29F
Daytona Beach = 24F
Ocala = 25F
Jacksonville (Naval Air Station) = 25F
Jackonville (Intl. Airport) = 20F
Tallahassee = 26F
West Palm Beach = 33F
Miami = 36F
Fort Myers = 34F
Key West = 50F

http://www.srh.noaa.gov/images/fxc/mlb/101214_1435.gif

While not as cold as originally expected, this was still a significant freeze; especially considering it is still mid December and not January. This also now makes two official freezes at MCO for the month; tying December 2000.
Last edited by Extremeweatherguy on Tue Dec 14, 2010 12:01 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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#137 Postby northjaxpro » Tue Dec 14, 2010 11:48 am

Actually Extremeweatherguy the low temperature in Jacksonville officially was 20 degrees, shattering the old record for this date of 24 degrees set back in 1960.

Currently only 36.7 degrees just before noon.
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#138 Postby NDG » Tue Dec 14, 2010 11:58 am

Though another light freeze is expected in Orlando tonight hoping that dewpoints stay down tonight and enough of a wind stays up so that we don't get a killer frost.
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Re:

#139 Postby Extremeweatherguy » Tue Dec 14, 2010 12:00 pm

northjaxpro wrote:Actually Extremeweatherguy the low temperature in Jacksonville officially was 20 degrees, shattering the old record for this date of 24 degrees set back in 1960.

Currently only 36.7 degrees just before noon.
Yes, you're correct. At the International Airport it was 20F.

I was using the Navel Air Station data (http://www.weather.gov/data/obhistory/KNIP.html) in my post since it is the first thing to come up when you type "Jacksonville" into the NWS search bar. I will go back and note the 20F reading now too though.
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Re: Re:

#140 Postby northjaxpro » Tue Dec 14, 2010 12:21 pm

Extremeweatherguy wrote:
northjaxpro wrote:Actually Extremeweatherguy the low temperature in Jacksonville officially was 20 degrees, shattering the old record for this date of 24 degrees set back in 1960.

Currently only 36.7 degrees just before noon.
Yes, you're correct. At the International Airport it was 20F.

I was using the Navel Air Station data (http://www.weather.gov/data/obhistory/KNIP.html) in my post since it is the first thing to come up when you type "Jacksonville" into the NWS search bar. I will go back and note the 20F reading now too though.


No problem. Yeah, I live only about five miles away from the NWS office at the Jacksonville International Airport. I can confirm what they registered for a morning low as well as my thermometer registered 20.3 degrees at my home location earlier this morning.

It is going to be possibly colder tonight as the winds go very light as High Pressure settles overhead across the region. Sets up to be very good radional cooling night and with dewpoint temps right now in the single digits across North Florida, I think it is very possible to see temperatures get down into the teens across my area of jax and across other colder interior locations of North Florida as well.
Last edited by northjaxpro on Tue Dec 14, 2010 12:22 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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