Personal predictions for 2011

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neospaceblue
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Personal predictions for 2011

#1 Postby neospaceblue » Thu Dec 09, 2010 11:22 am

Since there isn't a thread yet, I figured I would post one.

Disclaimer: I am not a meteorologist. This is a personal guess that is not endorsed by any official agencies.

My prediction is 15/9/5. I came to this total by comparing other active seasons and the season that followed such as 1995-96 or 2005-06. I think we may see a hurricane make landfall on the U.S. mainland, likely somewhere between mid-Florida and North Carolina.

In my opinion, this is going to be a strange season to track, since it's hard for me to picture another storm with these names after the 2005 season.
Last edited by neospaceblue on Fri Dec 10, 2010 2:38 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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frigidice77

#2 Postby frigidice77 » Thu Dec 09, 2010 4:42 pm

22-13-7. five tropical storms will make landfall. 2 hurricanes and one major hurricane. 2004-05 were both active. Everyone should watch out for irene katia and rina. This season may get off to a fast start. Imo
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CrazyC83
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#3 Postby CrazyC83 » Sat Dec 11, 2010 1:42 pm

VERY hard to say at this point. I'm thinking something similar to 1996, 1999 or 2004 may be in store.

My early prediction: 15/9/6. But I think it will be much worse than 2010 for the CONUS, especially the SE coast and W Gulf coast.
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cycloneye
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Re: Personal predictions for 2011

#4 Postby cycloneye » Sat Dec 11, 2010 2:28 pm

VERY hard to say at this point.


That is why the official Storm2k poll never has started so early. I am thinking of starting the 2011 poll on April 1rst instead of March 1rst to give more time to the peeps to think about what set of numbers the season will end up with.

Having said the above,my very very preliminary thinking is 15/9/5.
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CrazyC83
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#5 Postby CrazyC83 » Sat Dec 11, 2010 2:44 pm

That seems reasonable. We need to see winter ENSO trends more than anything.
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Hurricaneman
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Re: Personal predictions for 2011

#6 Postby Hurricaneman » Sun Dec 12, 2010 2:29 pm

13\6\3
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Scorpion

#7 Postby Scorpion » Sun Dec 12, 2010 5:42 pm

Hard to believe we're on the '05 names again :eek: . I'm thinking 17/9/4
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#8 Postby Cyclone1 » Wed Dec 22, 2010 7:39 pm

1/0/0

For now. I'll probably up that in April. ;D
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RL3AO
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#9 Postby RL3AO » Wed Dec 22, 2010 11:08 pm

Probably a busy season. 14/6/4 would be the minimum in my opinion. If we are ENSO neutral or weak La Nina, those have been some of the busiest seasons since 1995.
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somethingfunny
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Re:

#10 Postby somethingfunny » Thu Dec 23, 2010 2:18 am

Cyclone1 wrote:1/0/0

For now. I'll probably up that in April. ;D


You're funnier than I am! 8-)
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I am not a meteorologist, and any posts made by me are not official forecasts or to be interpreted as being intelligent. These posts are just my opinions and are probably silly opinions.
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StormClouds63
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Re: Personal predictions for 2011

#11 Postby StormClouds63 » Sat Dec 25, 2010 10:33 pm

Very early, but here goes:
14/8/4
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Hurricane Jed
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#12 Postby Hurricane Jed » Tue Jan 25, 2011 1:51 am

13/9/6. 1995 also had 19 named storms and 1996 had 13 named storms so I'm gonna guess 2011 will have a similar number of storms unless 2005 happens all over again.
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#13 Postby Migle » Tue Jan 25, 2011 5:58 pm

Too early to tell, but I guess 16/11/6 for now. Have to wait to April or March to see if were going to be Neutral or La Nina.
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Tstormwatcher
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#14 Postby Tstormwatcher » Wed Jan 26, 2011 9:38 pm

I am gonna say 18/10/4.
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Florida1118

Re: Personal predictions for 2011

#15 Postby Florida1118 » Wed Jan 26, 2011 10:03 pm

I'm gonna guess 16/11/5. Only 4 more month until we start up again...
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