ATL : EX TOMAS - Discussion
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Evil Jeremy
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I think we will get a slightly delayed 2PM TWO from the NHC to give time for recon to confirm west winds, and announce a special advisory will be forthcoming. If recon (for whatever reason) can't confirm west winds, I think they will raise it to 90%.
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Shuriken
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SouthDadeFish
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Re:
HURAKAN wrote:
Latest
WOW! this needs to get inducted into the tropical wave hall of fame.
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SouthDadeFish
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Cryomaniac
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Re: ATL : INVEST 91L - Discussion
Recon can't get there soon enough!
The post-storm analysis should be interesting for this guy.
The post-storm analysis should be interesting for this guy.
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SouthDadeFish
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A STRONG TROPICAL WAVE LOCATED ABOUT 275 MILES SOUTHEAST OF THE
WINDWARD ISLANDS CONTINUES TO SHOW SIGNS OF ORGANIZATION. AN AIR
FORCE RESERVE RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT IS CURRENTLY INVESTIGATING
THIS SYSTEM TO DETERMINE IF A TROPICAL DEPRESSION OR STORM HAS
FORMED. THERE IS A HIGH CHANCE...90 PERCENT...OF THIS DISTURBANCE
BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS AS IT MOVES
WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 15 TO 20 MPH. REGARDLESS OF DEVELOPMENT...
THIS SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO BRING LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL AND STRONG
GUSTY WINDS TO TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE TO PORTIONS OF THE WINDWARD
ISLANDS DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO.
2pm
WINDWARD ISLANDS CONTINUES TO SHOW SIGNS OF ORGANIZATION. AN AIR
FORCE RESERVE RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT IS CURRENTLY INVESTIGATING
THIS SYSTEM TO DETERMINE IF A TROPICAL DEPRESSION OR STORM HAS
FORMED. THERE IS A HIGH CHANCE...90 PERCENT...OF THIS DISTURBANCE
BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS AS IT MOVES
WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 15 TO 20 MPH. REGARDLESS OF DEVELOPMENT...
THIS SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO BRING LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL AND STRONG
GUSTY WINDS TO TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE TO PORTIONS OF THE WINDWARD
ISLANDS DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO.
2pm
Last edited by SouthDadeFish on Fri Oct 29, 2010 12:49 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Ivanhater
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Re: ATL : INVEST 91L - Discussion
Well Well....the hard work has been done.It has gained enough latitude to move north of South America. Recon will almost definitely find Tomas imo.
This has major hurricane written all over it. These are just my opinions of course.
This has major hurricane written all over it. These are just my opinions of course.
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Michael
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SouthDadeFish
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Re: ATL : INVEST 91L - Discussion
Ivanhater wrote:Well Well....the hard work has been done.It has gained enough latitude to move north of South America. Recon will almost definitely find Tomas imo.
This has major hurricane written all over it. These are just my opinions of course.
And my opinions.
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Aric Dunn
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Recon already finding TS force winds ... all that is needed is to close off a center which is highly likely
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Note: If I make a post that is brief. Please refer back to previous posts for the analysis or reasoning. I do not re-write/qoute what my initial post said each time.
If there is nothing before... then just ask
Space & Atmospheric Physicist, Embry-Riddle Aeronautical University,
I believe the sky is falling...
If there is nothing before... then just ask
Space & Atmospheric Physicist, Embry-Riddle Aeronautical University,
I believe the sky is falling...
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latitude_20
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Mystifying how this has no name yet.
Much crummier looking systems have gotten names in the past.
Unless.........someone planted an old satellie picture of a Hurricane and we are not "really" looking at 91L/Tomas. LOL
Seriously, this will probably be classified as a TS and the 2nd advisory will take it to a Hurricane or at least a 60-70 MPH TS.
This one certainly has been handled in a very odd way by the NHC.
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The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
Much crummier looking systems have gotten names in the past.
Unless.........someone planted an old satellie picture of a Hurricane and we are not "really" looking at 91L/Tomas. LOL
Seriously, this will probably be classified as a TS and the 2nd advisory will take it to a Hurricane or at least a 60-70 MPH TS.
This one certainly has been handled in a very odd way by the NHC.
Personal Forecast Disclaimer:
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
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latitude_20
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tolakram
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Re: ATL : INVEST 91L - Discussion
Getting close to the ole 'eye like feature'.
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M a r k
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latitude_20
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