#314 Postby FireRat » Thu Oct 21, 2010 3:30 pm
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
October 23 will be a crucial date determining the future path of Richard. On that day we will know which road he will take. This will be mostly dependent on his intensity. A stronger Richard is to be feared because he'll probably accelerate due to more sensitivity to the steering currents and may be heading for the Yucatan Channel or extreme western Cuba on the 24th....faster than thought.
A weaker Richard, that is, Category 1 and below will go more west-north west towards the Yucatan Peninsula to land as a slow-moving hurricane on October 25. Then the Yucatan itself might weaken the storm drastically.
Bottom Line in my opinion, it's pure speculation on the exact track and strength Richard will have by early next week until whatever he does on Saturday the 23rd!
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