ATL: Remnants of PAULA - Discussion
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- vbhoutex
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Re: ATL: PAULA - Hurricane - Discussion
vbhoutex wrote:What is WISHE?
Wind Induced Surface Heat Exchange
Its the mechanism that pulls heat out of the ocean into the TC.
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Re: ATL: PAULA - Hurricane - Discussion
eastcoastFL wrote:I remember wilma was supposed to be a ts by the time she got to florida. hmm
I don't remember that. Nor can I find an advisory reflecting that in the archive:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/archive/2005/WILMA.shtml
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Re: ATL: PAULA - Hurricane - Discussion
x-y-no wrote:eastcoastFL wrote:I remember wilma was supposed to be a ts by the time she got to florida. hmm
I don't remember that. Nor can I find an advisory reflecting that in the archive:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/archive/2005/WILMA.shtml
I don't think Wilma was ever forecast to be a TS..I know it was forecast to be at least a Cat 1 upon landfall in Florida
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Re: ATL: PAULA - Hurricane - Discussion
Hurricane Warning posted for Pinar del Rio province in extreme Western Cuba
HURRICANE PAULA...WITH 100 MPH WINDS...HEADING TOWARD THE YUCATAN
CHANNEL AND EXTREME WESTERN CUBA...HURRICANE WARNING ISSUED FOR THE
PROVINCE OF PINAR DEL RIO CUBA...
HURRICANE PAULA...WITH 100 MPH WINDS...HEADING TOWARD THE YUCATAN
CHANNEL AND EXTREME WESTERN CUBA...HURRICANE WARNING ISSUED FOR THE
PROVINCE OF PINAR DEL RIO CUBA...
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- Evil Jeremy
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Re: ATL: PAULA - Hurricane - Discussion
Big change in forecast cone. Huge.
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Frances 04 / Jeanne 04 / Katrina 05 / Wilma 05 / Fay 08 / Debby 12 / Andrea 13 / Colin 16 / Hermine 16 / Matthew 16 / Irma 17
Re: ATL: PAULA - Hurricane - Discussion
5pm forecast track has Paula going east up the spine of Cuba...
"NEVERTHELESS...THE TRACK FORECAST IS
HIGHLY UNCERTAIN BEYOND 48 HOURS GIVEN THE EXPECTED COMPLEX FLOW
PATTERN...THE SPREAD IN THE GUIDANCE...AND THE EFFECT OF LAND."
"NEVERTHELESS...THE TRACK FORECAST IS
HIGHLY UNCERTAIN BEYOND 48 HOURS GIVEN THE EXPECTED COMPLEX FLOW
PATTERN...THE SPREAD IN THE GUIDANCE...AND THE EFFECT OF LAND."
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Re: ATL: PAULA - Hurricane - Discussion
NHC now has Paula making landfall on the western tip of Cuba as a hurricane and cutting across the spine of Cuba, weakening and emerging as a depression off north central Cuba
Also the Keys are within the 3 day error cone
Also the Keys are within the 3 day error cone
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- wxman57
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Re: ATL: PAULA - Hurricane - Discussion
New track does look more likely, but Paula could move even faster to the east.
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- cycloneye
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Re: ATL: PAULA - Hurricane - Discussion

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Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here
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Re: ATL: PAULA - Hurricane - Discussion
That's a nasty track for Cuba, a lot of heavy rain and winds for them for a few days. Hopefully it's a lot weaker than forecast and I wouldn't be surprised if it is because it's so tiny. Even the slightest increase in shear and dry air has more than enough power to rip Paula apart because of her tiny size.
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Re: ATL: PAULA - Hurricane - Discussion
I can't see it getting much north of Cuba just by looking at the water vapor. Even though it's still in the cone with the 5PM update, wіshcaster or not, I'm glad it seems to be looking better for South Florida. Not so good for Cuba, though.
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Re: ATL: PAULA - Hurricane - Discussion
The U.S. certainly had their shields up this season, and it's a good thing too because there were a lot of big, bad storms out there. Unfortunately, this meant that other places like Mexico, parts of the Caribbean, and Canada had to deal with those storms. Now it seems like Cuba will deal with Paula, but even that's highly uncertain.
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