ATL: OTTO - Post-tropical - Discussion

[Florida1118]

Looking better tonight. Wow a storm that may head into the Caribbean? Where is everybody???? It's a ghost town on here

Who knows...Maybe N/W GOM don't want to track because their season is likely over. Theres nothing wrong with that, They were just here for Info on storms that might affect them. Or their making pancakes for all I know.

[jpigott]

Whoa. That's crazy. Look at all the convection between 10N-20N and 30W-90W.

[MetroMike]

It DOES seem like a ghost town on here b/c there is much doubt on these recent models ramping up cyclones and only to get fizzle and drizzle on what was expected to occur.

[ConvergenceZone]

I noticed the invest dissapeared off the main S2K map, is it still an invest?

[cycloneye]

I noticed the invest dissapeared off the main S2K map, is it still an invest?

A malfunction of the automated graphic.

[Dean4Storms]

Looking better, still has a way to go.

Eastern Carib. Islands need to really watch this one!

[LaBreeze]

Looking better tonight. Wow a storm that may head into the Caribbean? Where is everybody???? It's a ghost town on here

Another front on the way for the weekend - it's going to keep whatever is in the Caribbean out of the GOM. Loving this great weather!!

[LaBreeze]

Looking better tonight. Wow a storm that may head into the Caribbean? Where is everybody???? It's a ghost town on here

Who knows...Maybe N/W GOM don't want to track because their season is likely over. Theres nothing wrong with that, They were just here for Info on storms that might affect them. Or their making pancakes for all I know.

We're still here, watching and monitoring. Not making pancakes, but getting ready to make gumbo for the cooler temps coming next week.

[Gustywind]

It DOES seem like a ghost town on here b/c there is much doubt on these recent models ramping up cyclones and only to get fizzle and drizzle on what was expected to occur.

Hope that's not the ghost of futur Otto in vicinity of us in the islands :?

[Vortex]

looking better on the IR2 tonight...Circulation is becoming better defined...Should begin to slow some tomorrow....

[boca]

As long as we have a trough along the east coast and an ULL in the atlantic this too will miss the US.

[Gustywind]

From WeatherUnderground
http://www.wunderground.com/tropical/at ... ml#a_topad
Invest 97

This area of disturbed weather has the potential for tropical development.
Tracking Info For Invest 97

Time Lat Lon Wind(mph) Pressure Storm type
-------------------------------------------------------------
06 GMT 09/30/10 13.1N 43.2W 25 1009 Invest
06 GMT 09/30/10 13.1N 43.2W 25 1009 Invest
00 GMT 10/1/10 12.5N 53.1W 25 1009 Invest

[bvigal]

LOL, I've been checking on this throughout the day (while traveling), but what's there really left to say?
A LARGE AND COMPLEX AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER .......EXTENDS ...FOR SEVERAL HUNDRED MILES.
Until some low circulation appears and persists as a likely 'candidate', there isn't much to train a floater on, isn't much to run models on. EC will have nasty weather, even if 'only' a strong wave, not to downplay that, mudslides, flooding, and rough seas are serious hazards that cause injury and death. It may even move through here and several days west before anything develops. This is where patience comes into play...

[Gustywind]

[cycloneye]

looking better on the IR2 tonight...Circulation is becoming better defined...Should begin to slow some tomorrow....

Where do you see the main circulation? I see some eddys all around the big complex.

[Gustywind]

[Gustywind]

Have a good night my friends from the islands, let's continue to have a close eye on 97L...

[supercane]

Nothing imminent with messy ASCAT pass:

[bvigal]

'night, Gusty! Stay dry...

[wxman57]

Nothing imminent with messy ASCAT pass:
http://img651.imageshack.us/img651/6430 ... 11flag.gif

ASCAT indicates the feature to watch is the trailing wave near 14N/49W now, not the area to the southwest. It's the crest of the breaking TPW wave. Still looks several days from possibly developing, maybe Sunday as it passes over the NE Caribbean.