ATL: MATTHEW - Models

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Vortex
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#1081 Postby Vortex » Thu Sep 23, 2010 10:41 pm

H18 nearing landfall in northern nicaragua...





http://raleighwx.easternuswx.com/models ... cal018.gif
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#1082 Postby Vortex » Thu Sep 23, 2010 10:43 pm

H24 landfall over the nicaraguan/honduras border..



http://raleighwx.easternuswx.com/models ... cal024.gif
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#1083 Postby Vortex » Thu Sep 23, 2010 10:47 pm

H30 turns a bit more NW enter Gulf of honduras


http://raleighwx.easternuswx.com/models ... cal030.gif
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#1084 Postby Vortex » Thu Sep 23, 2010 10:50 pm

H36 slowing down..over Gulf of honduras...another low noted in BOC



http://raleighwx.easternuswx.com/models ... cal036.gif
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#1085 Postby Vortex » Thu Sep 23, 2010 10:52 pm

H42 VERY slowly moving...over gulf of honduras...



http://raleighwx.easternuswx.com/models ... cal042.gif
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Models

#1086 Postby Wx_Warrior » Thu Sep 23, 2010 10:53 pm

Texas? You better go further east with this system. I don't even think La is in play.
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Re: ATL: MATTHEW - Models

#1087 Postby Florida1118 » Thu Sep 23, 2010 10:53 pm

Looks weak and elongated still in the model
Vortex wrote:H42 VERY slowly moving...over gulf of honduras...



http://raleighwx.easternuswx.com/models ... cal042.gif
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#1088 Postby Vortex » Thu Sep 23, 2010 10:56 pm

H48 over belize...broad area of low pressure extens across western carribean...trough/low beginning to develop drop south




http://raleighwx.easternuswx.com/models ... cal048.gif
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#1089 Postby Andrew92 » Thu Sep 23, 2010 11:01 pm

H54.....back offshore?

http://raleighwx.easternuswx.com/models ... cal054.gif
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#1090 Postby Vortex » Thu Sep 23, 2010 11:02 pm

H54 still near belize with little movement...another low shows up over extreme sw carribean..






http://raleighwx.easternuswx.com/models ... cal054.gif
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#1091 Postby Vortex » Thu Sep 23, 2010 11:03 pm

H60 hanging out in belize...cutoff low noted over alabama




http://raleighwx.easternuswx.com/models ... cal060.gif
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#1092 Postby Vortex » Thu Sep 23, 2010 11:04 pm

H72 still hangin over belize....



http://raleighwx.easternuswx.com/models ... cal072.gif
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#1093 Postby Vortex » Thu Sep 23, 2010 11:06 pm

Gut says either mat or a new system is going to appear by 120 over the nw carribean...just a hunch.
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#1094 Postby SouthDadeFish » Thu Sep 23, 2010 11:06 pm

A 50 mile east shift in the 00Z track for Matthew would make a HUGE difference in terms of intensity.
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#1095 Postby AJC3 » Thu Sep 23, 2010 11:06 pm

Vortex wrote:H60 hanging out in belize...cutoff low noted over alabama

http://raleighwx.easternuswx.com/models ... cal060.gif


The center of the cutoff low is still back up north near STL at H60. There's a weak surface reflection over AL.
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#1096 Postby Vortex » Thu Sep 23, 2010 11:07 pm

bingo..H78 back over Gulf of honduras,,,,


http://raleighwx.easternuswx.com/models ... cal078.gif
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Re: Re:

#1097 Postby Vortex » Thu Sep 23, 2010 11:07 pm

AJC3 wrote:
Vortex wrote:H60 hanging out in belize...cutoff low noted over alabama

http://raleighwx.easternuswx.com/models ... cal060.gif


The center of the cutoff low is still back up north near STL at H60. There's a weak surface reflection over AL.



thanks AJ..i meant to edit that... :wink:
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#1098 Postby fci » Thu Sep 23, 2010 11:08 pm

Ok, it is getting late and I don't know who is still out there but I have read the pages of this thread and I'm confused as many are.
This second storm that might form 5-7 days behind Matthew that people Re referring to as the future Nicole. Has this happened before?
Wouldn't the two systems be too close?
Is this a phantom system the models see?
I have seen some say that Matthew is the eastern system right after someone says that Nicole will follow Matthew.
So... I ask a bunch of questions here.
Anyone up to tackling them?
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#1099 Postby Andrew92 » Thu Sep 23, 2010 11:08 pm

So essentially a loop over the Yucatan per the GFS, if I'm analying correctly.

-Andrew92
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#1100 Postby Aquawind » Thu Sep 23, 2010 11:08 pm

Ohh yeah now we have clarity.. :lol: This is just crazy funny..well for now..
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