ATL: MATTHEW - Models

#981 Postby **Vortex** » Thu Sep 23, 2010 5:28 pm

H150 Matthew moving very slowly, nicole form to the SE...

http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod ... n_150l.gif

#982 Postby **Ivanhater** » Thu Sep 23, 2010 5:28 pm

Vortex wrote:Im not so sure ivan...regardless its in the same spot as "matthew" was expected to be...

Track the Vort..it is obvious they are two distinct storms.

#983 Postby **Vortex** » Thu Sep 23, 2010 5:28 pm

then i guess we have otto south of the DR

#984 Postby **Ivanhater** » Thu Sep 23, 2010 5:29 pm

Trough lifting out..and this low is further west by the Yucatan not underneath Cuba this run

ConvergenceZone · #985 Postby **ConvergenceZone** » Thu Sep 23, 2010 5:30 pm

So the Florida threat looks to be diminishing huh?

#986 Postby **Ivanhater** » Thu Sep 23, 2010 5:30 pm

Vortex wrote:then i guess we have otto south of the DR

On this run...yes.

#987 Postby **Vortex** » Thu Sep 23, 2010 5:30 pm

should make a run for LA-FL panahandle

#988 Postby **srainhoutx** » Thu Sep 23, 2010 5:31 pm

#989 Postby **Vortex** » Thu Sep 23, 2010 5:31 pm

H168 pulls a mitch and gets pushed back to the sw....

http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod ... n_168l.gif

#990 Postby **Ivanhater** » Thu Sep 23, 2010 5:32 pm

#991 Postby **Vortex** » Thu Sep 23, 2010 5:34 pm

very dry/stable air across the NW gulf....

#992 Postby **ColinDelia** » Thu Sep 23, 2010 5:34 pm

Bizarro World in the Caribbean

#993 Postby **Vortex** » Thu Sep 23, 2010 5:35 pm

might prefer the euro...lacking the mood swings...

Aquawind · #994 Postby **Aquawind** » Thu Sep 23, 2010 5:35 pm

This is getting seriously weird and disturbing.. :roll:

Fortunately it's all in the long term for the US..

#995 Postby **Ivanhater** » Thu Sep 23, 2010 5:37 pm

I don't even know

#996 Postby **Vortex** » Thu Sep 23, 2010 5:37 pm

h240 Look out bahamas...trash this run

http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod ... n_240l.gif

#997 Postby **srainhoutx** » Thu Sep 23, 2010 5:37 pm

Aquawind wrote:This is getting seriously weird and disturbing.. Fortunately it's all in the long term for the US..

That's the worrisome part. Slow moving or stalled system could = big problems for a lot of folks.

#998 Postby **BigB0882** » Thu Sep 23, 2010 5:39 pm

This is the craziest storm(s) I have ever followed! Guess I have to watch out since Nicole cud head my way if the GFS isn't totally off. I just don't know if I buy it yet. This is 18z afterall. 00z tonight will be very telling.

Wait, maybe spoke too soon. Heading NE at end of run? Thought it wud miss the trough.

ConvergenceZone · #999 Postby **ConvergenceZone** » Thu Sep 23, 2010 5:40 pm

Well, this doesn't look like something to really worry about right now since the models are all over the place and nobody
knows if it's going to even hit the U.S. at this point, and if so, if there's even going to be anything left of it..

southerngale · #1000 Postby **southerngale** » Thu Sep 23, 2010 5:41 pm

BigB0882 wrote:This is the craziest storm(s) I have ever followed! Guess I have to watch out since Nicole cud head my way if the GFS isn't totally off. I just don't know if unit it yet. This is 18z afterall. 00z tonight will be very telling.

Hopefully. People have been saying that for days, but everyone is still just as confused. Crazy from run to run.

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