ATL: MATTHEW - Models

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Re: ATL: INVEST 95L - Models

#281 Postby BigB0882 » Tue Sep 21, 2010 11:26 pm

ROCK wrote:that cut off low looks to heading out also....big 1023H off of Maine...


What would the implications of that be?
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#282 Postby Vortex » Tue Sep 21, 2010 11:27 pm

H156 strengthening and beginning to move slowly NE




http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod ... n_156l.gif
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Re: ATL: INVEST 95L - Models

#283 Postby ROCK » Tue Sep 21, 2010 11:28 pm

156hr still hanging

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Re: ATL: INVEST 95L - Models

#284 Postby Vortex » Tue Sep 21, 2010 11:28 pm

BigB0882 wrote:
ROCK wrote:that cut off low looks to heading out also....big 1023H off of Maine...


What would the implications of that be?




tight pressure gradient across the east coast of FL
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Re: ATL: INVEST 95L - Models

#285 Postby ROCK » Tue Sep 21, 2010 11:30 pm

BigB0882 wrote:
ROCK wrote:that cut off low looks to heading out also....big 1023H off of Maine...


What would the implications of that be?



lets see what it does....that high is sliding east with the the MOTHER of all ULL moving NE and out of the picture.....
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#286 Postby Vortex » Tue Sep 21, 2010 11:31 pm

The size of this storm is massive if the GFS is right by 156
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Re: ATL: INVEST 95L - Models

#287 Postby ROCK » Tue Sep 21, 2010 11:32 pm

174hr.....it splitting into 2 pieces.....nice... :D

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Last edited by ROCK on Tue Sep 21, 2010 11:34 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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#288 Postby Vortex » Tue Sep 21, 2010 11:33 pm

H180 strengthens some more....moving slowly ne...will it get left behind?




http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod ... n_180l.gif
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Re: ATL: INVEST 95L - Models

#289 Postby SFLcane » Tue Sep 21, 2010 11:34 pm

This is some trof...

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Re: ATL: INVEST 95L - Models

#290 Postby ROCK » Tue Sep 21, 2010 11:34 pm

I think it misses the connection....
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#291 Postby Vortex » Tue Sep 21, 2010 11:35 pm

Should this verify....with all this time over water and an extremly high heat content this would have the ingredients to be a very powerful storm.
Last edited by Vortex on Tue Sep 21, 2010 11:38 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 95L - Models

#292 Postby ROCK » Tue Sep 21, 2010 11:36 pm

low lifting out at 180hr over the NE US.....our friend is just drifting around in the gulf of honduras...
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Re: ATL: INVEST 95L - Models

#293 Postby South Texas Storms » Tue Sep 21, 2010 11:38 pm

rock what do you think will happen if it misses the trough connection?
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Re: ATL: INVEST 95L - Models

#294 Postby Comanche » Tue Sep 21, 2010 11:38 pm

Well, as you all know, water temps are only a piece of the puzzle. My buddy sent this graphic over today, not that it would keep anything from formation, but hinder what otherwise could be a powerful system.

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#295 Postby Vortex » Tue Sep 21, 2010 11:39 pm

204 gets picked up and heads NE



http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod ... n_204l.gif
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Re: ATL: INVEST 95L - Models

#296 Postby ROCK » Tue Sep 21, 2010 11:39 pm

man this thing it stuck like chuck...look at the BH at 1027 over the ALT.....


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#297 Postby Vortex » Tue Sep 21, 2010 11:40 pm

228 landfall S.FL



http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod ... n_228l.gif
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Re: ATL: INVEST 95L - Models

#298 Postby SFLcane » Tue Sep 21, 2010 11:40 pm

Image
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Re: ATL: INVEST 95L - Models

#299 Postby South Texas Storms » Tue Sep 21, 2010 11:40 pm

oh man this is a night-marish run from this gfs. this would affect A LOT of people if this were to verify.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 95L - Models

#300 Postby Ivanhater » Tue Sep 21, 2010 11:41 pm

I would be shocked to see this this early

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