13.9N/48.0W--Hmmmm

This is the general tropical discussion area. Anyone can take their shot at predicting a storms path.

Moderator: S2k Moderators

Forum rules

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K. For official information, please refer to products from the National Hurricane Center and National Weather Service.

Help Support Storm2K
Post Reply
Message
Author
User avatar
Vortex
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 4644
Age: 53
Joined: Fri Aug 01, 2003 9:34 pm
Location: Hilton Head, SC

13.9N/48.0W--Hmmmm

#1 Postby Vortex » Mon Aug 18, 2003 6:04 pm

latest imagery looks abit more interesting. Consolidating abit more and even maybe some curvature near the above mentioned Lat/Lon. Opinions welcome.


http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT ... IR4/20.jpg
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
cycloneye
Admin
Admin
Posts: 145337
Age: 68
Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico

#2 Postby cycloneye » Mon Aug 18, 2003 6:13 pm

If there is a low forming there then 92L wont be far away from being up.
0 likes   
Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here
Top
User avatar
wxman57
Moderator-Pro Met
Moderator-Pro Met
Posts: 22979
Age: 67
Joined: Sat Jun 21, 2003 8:06 pm
Location: Houston, TX (southwest)

Agree

#3 Postby wxman57 » Mon Aug 18, 2003 6:34 pm

I agree that the convection is organizing on the western edge of the disturbance. However, it will need to persist for a while if this thing is to develop. If it's still consolidating around that western point in the morning, then I think we'll have 92L.
0 likes   
Top
chadtm80

#4 Postby chadtm80 » Mon Aug 18, 2003 7:41 pm

Improvements continue at this hour as well... Lets see what happens.. Nothing realy seems to be fighting against it all that much
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
ameriwx2003
Category 4
Category 4
Posts: 980
Joined: Tue Jul 22, 2003 10:45 am

#5 Postby ameriwx2003 » Mon Aug 18, 2003 7:52 pm

Yes, it looks like that area approaching 50W now seems to be the focus point. It will be interesting to see how the models initialize this system and what the forecast strength and path may be.The 18Z GFS had this system at about 42 W in 24 hrs:) Lets see if this further West position ( meaning its at about 50W now) makes a difference:)

http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod ... _024.shtml
0 likes   
Top
ColdFront77

#6 Postby ColdFront77 » Mon Aug 18, 2003 8:01 pm

The convection has persisted for at least 24 hours, although it was very elongated yesterday.
0 likes   
Top
Post Reply

Return to “Talkin' Tropics”

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: SconnieCane, StormWeather, Ulf and 58 guests